SMU Data and Models

SMU's September at a glance
Written by Brett Linton
October 3, 2024
SMU’s monthly review provides a summary of important steel market metrics for the previous month. This latest report includes data updated through Sept. 30.
Prices of sheet and plate steel showed little movement in September, as buyers reported lackluster demand, high inventories, and caution related to the upcoming election. Sheet mills attempted to raise prices via multiple increases but failed to gain much traction.
The SMU Price Momentum Indicator on sheet was adjusted from higher to neutral in the first week of the month, indicating no clear direction for prices in the short term. Our Price Momentum Indicator for plate remains as it has been since April, pointing lower.
September scrap prices were sideways to down from August, easing as much as $8 per gross ton for some products. Buyers are uncertain about what prices could do in October.
We saw a dip in Steel Buyers’ Sentiment in the middle of September, but it mostly recovered by the end of the month. Our Future and Current Buyers’ Sentiment Indices indicate that buyers remain optimistic about their companies’ chances of success now and in the future.
Steel mill lead times eased slightly through the month and remain near some of the shortest levels recorded in some time. The percentage of buyers reporting that mills were willing to negotiate on new orders edged lower from August to September but remains relatively strong.
See the chart below for other key metrics for September. Historical charts can be found here on our website.


Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.