SMU Data and Models

SMU market survey results now available
Written by David Schollaert
July 19, 2024
The latest SMU market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.”
Historical survey results are also available under that selection.
If you need help accessing the survey results, or if your company would like to have your voice heard in our future surveys, contact info@steelmarketupdate.com.
Key points and takeaways
We go over the big highlights of the survey in Final thoughts. Here are some other key points that we think are worth your time. (And, again, our premium subscribers can follow along with the latest results here.)
Steel Buyers’ Current Sentiment recovered a bit after plunging to a four-year low (slide 9), and Future Sentiment (slide 11) was five points higher than the prior market check.
Lead times remain short/normal (slide 13). And depending on the product, 75-91% of buyers surveyed said mills were willing to negotiate lower prices (slide 16).
The scrap market surprised many with prices moving sideways in July. Still, about a third (slide 19) expect lower prices in August. Most though (56%) are expecting prices to move up next month.
Nearly 40% of respondents said they expect to miss their business forecasts this month (slide 20). It’s also notable that just 2% expect to exceed forecasts for July.
More than three-quarters of service centers said they are releasing less steel (slide 28). And 84% said they are lowering prices. None reported increasing releases (slide 38).
There’s a lot more to unpack in the survey. Be sure to check out this week’s Final thoughts for some of the comments and key reactions directly from our sources.


David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Steel buyers maintain confident market outlook
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices showed mixed movements this week but remain strong, reflecting continued confidence among steel buyers.

SMU Survey: Perspectives differ on impact of Trump tariffs
Are President Trump's tariff policies helping? Steel buyers offer their opinions on the impact of Trump's tariffs.

SMU Survey: Lead times stabilize as tariff-induced buying slows
After a multi-week increase, buyers responding to our market survey this week reported that lead times are stabilizing or marginally declining for each of the sheet and plate products we track.

SMU Survey: Mills hold firm on price, little negotiation room for buyers
The majority of the steel buyers responding to our latest market survey continue to report that domestic mills remain firm on pricing, showing little willingness to talk price on new spot orders this week.

HRC vs. scrap spread widens over $150/ton in March
The HRC vs. prime scrap spread increased again in March.