World vs. US HRC Price Spread Shrinks as US Prices Move Lower

The world export price for hot rolled bands is $439 per net ton ($484 per metric ton) FOB the port of export according to data released by SteelBenchmarker on Monday of this week. This is down $9 per ton from the previous release in mid-January and down $16 per ton from mid-December.

SMU uses a minimum of $70 to as much as $100 per ton which is then added to the export number in order to get the steel to ports in the United States (freight, handling, and trader margin). This additional cost more closely mirrors the “true” world HR export price ranging from $509 to $539 per ton CIF USA Port.

The latest Steel Market Update hot rolled price average is $540 per ton for domestic steel; this is down $30 from mid-January and down $60 per ton from mid-December. The theoretical spread between the world HR export price and the SMU HR price is $1 to $31 per ton ($101 prior to import costs), down $21 per ton from our previous analysis and down $44 from mid-December.

The $1 to $31 spread is the lowest seen since late-May 2013 when we had a spread of -$20 to $10 per ton ($80 prior to import costs). Over the summer we reached a spread of $84 to $114 per ton ($184 prior to import costs). One year ago the spread was $53 to $83 per ton ($153 prior to import costs).

Steel Market Update has been hearing reports of foreign hot rolled offers into the port of Houston of $480 to $540 per net ton.

Freight is an important part of the final determination on whether to import foreign steel or buy from a domestic mill supplier. Domestic prices are referenced as FOB the producing mill while foreign prices are FOB the Port (Houston, NOLA, Savannah, Los Angeles, Camden, etc.). Inland freight from either a domestic mill or from the port can dramatically impact the competitiveness of both domestic and foreign steel.

Below is an interactive graph which you can use to compare world HR export prices against the SMU domestic HR average price. We also have included a comparison with freight and traders’ costs added which gives you a better indication of the true price spread. You will need to read this article on our website in order to see and interact with the graphic. If you need assistance with either logging in or navigating the website, please contact our office at 800-432-3475 or info@SteelMarketUpdate.com.

{amchart id=”130″ Domestic vs. Foreign Hot Rolled Pricing- Steel Benchmarker World China Europe Prices}