SMU Data and Models
SMU survey: Most sheet buyers find mills more flexible on price, plate less
Written by Ethan Bernard
June 19, 2024
Steel buyers of hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized products found mills more willing to negotiate spot pricing this week, according to our most recent survey data. However, buyers of plate products said mills were less willing to talk price.
For buyers of HRC, 92% of respondents said mills were more flexible on price, up four percentage points from two weeks earlier. Meanwhile, plate’s rate ticked down three percentage points to 78%, in the same comparison.
Every other week, SMU polls steel buyers, asking if domestic mills are willing to negotiate lower spot pricing on new orders.
This week, the rate remained flat overall, with 83% of participants surveyed by SMU reporting mills were more willing to negotiate prices for new spot orders. The steady reading keeps the rate around the highest territory this year except for mid-March’s 84% (Figure 1).
Figure 2 below shows negotiation rates by product. The rate for cold-rolled coil stands at 81% this week, a five-percentage point rise from the previous market check, and the rate for galvanized increased eight percentage points to 94%.
Here’s what some survey respondents had to say:
“Depending on the mill (for hot rolled), pricing can be negotiated now.”
“Big tons are getting much lower numbers (on hot rolled).”
“Yes (on cold rolled), but really trying to maintain a $250+ spread to help cover the tight HR band margins.”
“Seemingly willing to deal (on galvanized). Perhaps the increased zinc adders are adding in some margin?”
“Getting aggressive offers for 1,000 tons (on galvanized).”
“Mills seem to be dealing around $700-720 and sub-$700 for larger volume (on hot rolled).”
Note: SMU surveys active steel buyers every two weeks to gauge their steel suppliers’ willingness to negotiate pricing. The results reflect current steel demand and changing spot pricing trends. SMU provides our members with a number of ways to interact with current and historical data. To see an interactive history of our steel mill negotiations data, visit our website. Additionally, negotiation rates for all products, including Galvalume, are available to premium subscribers on our website here: https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/data-tools/mill-spot-price-negotiations/
Ethan Bernard
Read more from Ethan BernardLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices stable to start 2025
Both SMU Steel Buyers' Sentiment Indices remain in positive territory, indicating that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times short and steady to start 2025
Buyers participating in our first market survey of 2025 reported a slight decline in mill lead times compared to our last survey in mid-December. After rising moderately in early December, lead times edged lower through this week and are now only slightly above the lows seen back in July and November. Overall, production times have remained historically short since last summer, with minimal movement since then.
SMU’s December at a glance
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of important steel market metrics for the previous month. Our latest report includes data updated through December 31st.
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices contrast at year end
Both of our Sentiment Indices remain in positive territory and indicate that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times contract slightly, remain short
Steel mill production times have seen very little change since September, according to buyers participating in our latest market survey.