Economy

Manufacturing activity tumbles through March in New York state
Written by Brett Linton
March 15, 2024
New York state manufacturing activity slipped deeper into negative territory this month, according to the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The General Business Conditions Index fell in March to -20.9. This is the third consecutive month the reading has indicated deteriorating business conditions.
“Manufacturing activity fell significantly in New York State in March, with a decline in new orders pointing to softening demand,” noted Richard Deitz, an economic research advisor at the New York Fed. “Labor market conditions remained weak as both employment and hours worked decreased.”
On a three-month moving average basis (3MMA) the index eased to a 45-month low of -22.33 in March (Figure 1). Since 2010, the only instances we have seen a 3MMA lower than this March measure were the months of March, April, and May 2020.
The manufacturing index saw significant swings in the first two months of this year, plummeting 29 points in January and then rebounding 41 points in February, remaining in negative territory in both months. In 2023, the index peaked at 10.8 in April and has only indicated business condition improvements for eight months out of the last two years.

An interactive history of the Empire State Manufacturing Index is available on our website.

Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in Economy

Durable goods orders rise again in February
Transportation equipment led the increase, rising 1.5% to $98.3 billion.

Consumer confidence falls for fourth consecutive month
People remain concerned about inflation, trade policies, and tariffs.

Housing starts ticked up in February
Single-family starts last month hit a rate of 1.10 million, a month-over-month increase of 11.4%, census data shows.

Architecture billings continued to slide in February
The ABI is a leading indicator for near-term nonresidential construction activity and projects business conditions ~9-12 months down the road (the typical lead time between architecture billings and construction spending).

New York state manufacturing activity tumbles in March
After a modest recovery in February, business activity in New York state’s manufacturing sector declined sharply in March, according to the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.