Steel Products
Mills More Willing To Negotiate Lower Sheet Prices: SMU Survey
Written by Ethan Bernard
July 20, 2023
Steel buyers report that mills are willing to negotiate lower spot prices for the sheet products SMU surveys. It’s a different story in plate, where buyers find mills less willing to negotiate lower, according to SMU’s most recent survey data.
The percentage of respondents saying steel mills were willing to talk price on plate stood at 29% this week, off from 63% two weeks ago. Galvanized, in contrast, increased six percentage points to 90% in the same comparison.
Every two weeks, SMU asks steel buyers whether domestic mills are willing to negotiate lower spot pricing on new orders. This week, (Figure 1) 67% of participants surveyed by SMU reported mills were willing to talk price on new orders, down nine percentage points from two weeks earlier – largely because of producers being less willing to drop plate prices.
Figure 2 below shows negotiation rates by product. Hot rolled slipped two percentage points to 84% of buyers reporting mills more willing to negotiate price vs. two weeks earlier, while Galvalume dropped 41 percentage points to 59% in the same comparison. Recall that Galvalume can be more volatile because we have fewer survey participants there. Cold rolled has increased since the last market check, rising five percentage points to 76% of respondents saying mills were willing to talk price.
What SMU Survey Respondents Had to Say:
“We will have challenges but will do OK.”
“Cheap imports from Asia are flooding in.”
“Market is tough, but we will continue to make money.”
“Demand is better than the past two months with contract prices decent, and some restocking happening, along with auto doing well.”
“Climate is slightly better for us.”
Note: SMU surveys active steel buyers every other week to gauge the willingness of their steel suppliers to negotiate pricing. The results reflect current steel demand and changing spot pricing trends. SMU provides our members with a number of ways to interact with current and historical data. To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.
Ethan Bernard
Read more from Ethan BernardLatest in Steel Products
Nucor’s weekly HR spot price unchanged, again
Nucor’s consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil remains unchanged for another week – now on an 11-week streak. Nucor’s HR coil CSP, still at $750 per short ton (st), has been at that level since Nov. 12. The spot price for HR from Nucor’s joint-venture subsidiary California Steel Industries (CSI) is also flat […]
Price gap between domestic, offshore CRC narrows
The price spread between US-produced cold-rolled (CR) coil and offshore products tightened in the week ended Jan. 17. Domestic CR coil tags were lower week on week (w/w), while offshore products ticked higher. The result? The US premium over imports shrank. In our market check on Tuesday, Jan. 14, US CR coil prices averaged $895 […]
US HR price premium over imports narrows slightly
Hot-rolled (HR) coil prices ticked down in the US last week, while tags abroad varied. The result: US hot band margin over imports on a landed basis has narrowed to a slight extent. SMU’s average domestic HR price last week was $685 per short ton (st), down $5/st from the week before. US hot band […]
SMU Community Chat: Jan. 22 with Alan Kestenbaum, founder of Bedrock Industries
Alan Kestenbaum, the founder of Bedrock Industries and the former CEO of Stelco, will be the featured speaker on the next SMU Community Chat. The webinar will be on Wednesday, Jan. 22, at 11 am ET. It’s free to attend. You can register here. We’ll look at Stelco’s recent sale to Cleveland-Cliffs and what made […]
December service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 77.1 shipping days of supply Plate = 58.1 shipping days of supply Flat rolled Flat-rolled steel supply at US service centers ballooned in December with higher inventories as well as seasonally lower shipments. At the end of December, service centers carried 77.1 shipping days of flat-rolled steel supply on an adjusted basis, […]