Futures

Hot Rolled and Galvanized Price Spread Shrinks Further
Written by Laura Miller
June 30, 2023
As sheet prices continued to decline throughout June, the spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and galvanized coil base prices also shrank further.
Recall that at the end of May, the galvanized premium over hot-rolled coil (HRC) averaged $175 per ton.
As of this week, that premium had fallen to $150 per ton.
Let’s look at the numbers further.
Figure 1 below shows SMU’s HRC and galvanized base prices as of June 27.
The average HRC price was unchanged this week at $875 per ton. That’s down 11.6% from $990 per ton the last week of May and down 24.6% from the highest point so far this year of $1,160 per ton during the week of April 11.
For galvanized sheet, the average price registered $1,025 per ton this week, down 12% from the last week of May and down 24% from this year’s peak of $1,350 per ton mid-April.
Highlighted in Figure 2, the average galvanized price premium over hot rolled fell to $150 per ton this week. That’s down from $175 per ton the last week of May and $205 per ton the last week of April.
That $150-per-ton figure is the lowest the premium has been in 16 weeks. We have to go back to the week of March 7 to see a lower premium – $100 per ton – and that’s the lowest the premium has been in about two years.
Figure 3 shows the galvanized premium over hot rolled as a percentage of the HRC price.
The premium fell to 17% this week, down one percentage point from a month ago. The premium as a percentage has been fairly steady since March.
By Laura Miller, laura@steelmarketupdate.com

Laura Miller
Read more from Laura MillerLatest in Futures

HR Futures: Nascent rally in HRC futures settles above 6-week downtrend
The CME Midwest HRC futures market’s response to Trump’s election and subsequent comments about blanket 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico was surprisingly counterintuitive.

HR Futures: Market at crossroads after turbulent run
The market appears to be pausing after a turbulent run. But tension remains just beneath the surface. With net long positioning still elevated, sentiment-driven selling could quickly reignite volatility. Still, supply constraints and limited imports are laying the groundwork for a resilient physical market. This moment of calm feels more like a crossroads than a conclusion.

HR Futures: Traders’ views mixed as market navigates tariffs
A look at the HR futures market.

Market pressures trigger HR futures reversal
Market dynamics are shifting rapidly, with futures pricing diverging from physical fundamentals, creating a complex landscape for steel traders.

HR Futures: Correction in market after big rally
Another eventful week in the physical and financial steel markets is coming to a close, but with a markedly different tone than the last update at the end of February.