SMU Data and Models
Ternium Records Skinnier Q4 Profits, Predicts Better '23
Written by Michael Cowden
February 15, 2023
Ternium recorded narrower profits in the fourth quarter on lower steel prices and higher costs.
The Luxembourg-based steelmaker, which operates primarily in Latin America, said it expected results to improve in 2023, echoing the comments of its competitors in their recent earnings releases.
Ternium’s earnings financial results are in the table to the left. The company shipped 3.3 million short tons (3 million metric) tons in the fourth quarter, up 2% from the third quarter and up 7% from the fourth quarter of 2021.
Ternium said it shipped nearly 2.1 million short tons (1.9 million metric tons) in Mexico in the fourth quarter, its best shipping quarter ever in that market. The gains were driven by restocking and by market share gains.
The company said that 2022 started out strong but that prices fell and costs rose in the second half of the year. It expects those trends to “gradually reverse … over the next few quarters,” according to commentary released with fourth-quarter and full-year 2022 earnings data on Tuesday, Feb. 14.
Ternium predicted better times in the first half of 2023, in particular in Mexico, thanks to recovering steel prices and continued restocking.
The company also sees better industrial demand in Mexico this year. It expects that trend to be amplified by new business resulting from “nearshoring” of manufacturing capacity to North America.
By Michael Cowden, michael@steelmarketupdate.com

Michael Cowden
Read more from Michael CowdenLatest in SMU Data and Models

Apparent steel supply contracts in February
The amount of finished steel that entered the US market in February receded from January’s peak, according to our analysis of Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data.

SMU Steel Survey: Sentiment Indices dip as buyer optimism softens
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices experienced multi-point declines this week, though both remain positive and continue to reflect optimism among steel buyers for their companies' ability to be successful.

SMU Scrap Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment flat, Future Sentiment tumbles
SMU's Current Scrap Buyers' Sentiment Index remained flat this month, while the Future Sentiment Index declined.

SMU Survey: Steel mill lead times show diverging trends
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that sheet lead times continue to gradually decline from recent highs. Meanwhile, plate lead times increased to levels last seen one year ago.

SMU Survey: Mills unlikely to budge on price, buyers say
Four out of every five steel buyers who responded to our latest market survey say domestic mills are unwilling to negotiate on new order spot pricing. Mills have shown little flexibility on pricing for nearly two months.