Economy

SMU's June At-a-Glance
Written by Brett Linton
June 30, 2020
Steel prices rose in the beginning of June, following May price increase announcements by the mills, but began to decline in the middle of the month and reached $480 per ton as of this week. Scrap prices were flat to down over May, while zinc and aluminum prices increased in June.
SMU Buyers Sentiment Index readings increased over June, with Current Sentiment rising further into positive territory and reaching +39 at the end of the month. Future Sentiment ended the month at +45, while the three-month moving average reached +17.67 as of last Friday. Sentiment readings in the chart below are averages for the month.
The SMU Price Momentum Indicator remained at Neutral for most of June, moving to Lower on the last day of the month as flat rolled steel prices trended downward.
Key indicators of steel demand were up compared to the downturn seen in the prior month. The AIA Billings Index rose to 32.0, and private employment increased by nearly 3,100 jobs.
See the chart below for other key metrics in the month of June:

Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in Economy

CRU: Will US tariff policy be transactional or transformational?
The Trump 1.0 tariffs appeared to have little positive effect on the US manufacturing, partly because they hurt export competitiveness.

Beige Book finds mixed demand trends, tariff concerns
Manufacturing activity exhibited slight to modest increases across a majority of districts. However, manufacturers expressed concerns over the potential impact of looming trade policy changes between late January and February.

Construction spending drops marginally in January
Construction spending edged down slightly in January, slipping for the first time in four months. The US Census Bureau estimated spending at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,196 billion in January, down 0.2% from December’s downward revised rate. The January figure is 3.3% higher than a year ago. January’s result, despite the slight erosion, […]

ISM: Manufacturing expansion slowed in February
The Manufacturing PMI registered 50.3% in February. That’s 0.6 percentage points lower compared to the 50.9% recorded in January.

Chicago Business Barometer up but still pointing to weak conditions
The Chicago Business Barometer rose to an eight-month high in February. Despite the recovery, the measure continues to indicate deteriorating business conditions, as it has for over a year.