SMU Data and Models
New SMU Research: Hot Rolled Coil Imports with Product Detail
Written by Tim Triplett
January 11, 2018
Premium subscribers to Steel Market Update receive reports on imports with macro data broken down by product on the national level. SMU also provides reports that detail the import tonnage received by district of entry and source nation. This new report from SMU takes the analysis even further.
Using U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) data, SMU takes the tonnage that arrives in each district monthly and year-to-date and breaks it down into sheet and strip, and whether it was in coil or leveled. Then it separates three thickness ranges, it identifies how much was P&O, how much was high strength and how much had patterns in relief.
The table below (click to enlarge) is an extract from the analysis and describes the imports that came into Boston and Buffalo monthly and year-to-date through November 2017. Premium subscribers can access the whole data series here on our website.
Examples of what the data shows are as follows:
- In 2017 year-to-date, the three highest volume items entering Boston were all pickled and oiled coil. Two were thin gauge < #11 and one was mid-range thickness # 11 to # 7. The highest volume item was high strength.
- The two largest volume categories entering Buffalo were leveled sheet in thin and mid-range gauges.
- All five of the items listed above had a steady rate of delivery in the first 11 months of 2017, suggesting an established customer base.
We will continue to study this data to see what else we can extract from it. For example, it would be useful to know, at the national level, how much of the HRC tonnage fell into the 11 product categories we have identified in this analysis.
SMU Comment: It’s one thing to know the volume of HRC that entered your district from offshore, but it’s entirely another to know the characteristics of that material and whether it competed with your business. Also, knowing what the material was not could be valuable information as regards the volume of imports that do compete with your business. For example, it could be that 80 percent of the material that entered your district was irrelevant in terms of the business you are in. We hope you find this type of analysis useful in managing your company and in negotiating with your suppliers, and we welcome your comments before embarking on a similar analysis of other flat rolled products.
Note: This data was accessed through the USITC database. All steel traded globally is classified by the Harmonized Tariff System (HTS). The HTS code has 10 digits. The first six are globally universal. The last four are at the discretion of the nations involved in a particular transaction. For example, the U.S. has used the last four digits to define the product in a specific way. The EU uses the last four digits for its own ideas of product classification.
Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices contrast at year end
Both of our Sentiment Indices remain in positive territory and indicate that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times contract slightly, remain short
Steel mill production times have seen very little change since September, according to buyers participating in our latest market survey.
SMU Survey: Buyers report mills are slightly less flexible on pricing
Steel buyers of sheet and plate products say mills are still willing to bend on spot pricing this week, though not quite as much as they were two weeks prior, according to our most recent survey data.
December energy market update
Trends in energy prices and active rig counts are leading demand indicators for oil country tubular goods (OCTG), line pipe and other steel products
Apparent steel supply remained near two-year low in October
Referred to as ‘apparent steel supply’, we calculate this volume by combining domestic steel mill shipments with finished US steel imports and deducting total US steel exports.