Futures

Hot Rolled Futures Prices Pop after Weeks of Malaise...
Written by Bradley Clark
July 31, 2014
The HRC futures market has continued its upward trend in the past few weeks with recent bullish events in the physical market supporting prices. While nearby periods remain firm with August and September trading around $650-660, further down the curve cal 15 prices have trended upwards trading up to $643. Similarly, Q1 and cal 15 prices have seen upward pressure trading between $635-645, with the bid moving up $5 / ton from last week.
Further news from the physical market of yet further consolidation with Severstal being sold to domestic mills has continued to support prices. So far, the summer lull has not materialized and with U.S. GDP at 4 percent growth the demand side looks to help prices extend further. Increasing tensions in the Black Sea continues to limit new imports on HRC from Russia, the fundamentals look to support the market through the end of the year.
Volumes have slowed a bit this week with about 10,000 tons trading over the past few days.
Below is our interactive graph depicting the hot rolled futures market. The graph can only been seen and interacted with when you are logged into the website and reading this article online (otherwise it just appears to be an empty space on your screen).
{amchart id=”73″ HRC Futures Forward Curve}
U.S. Midwest #1 Busheling Ferrous Scrap (AMM) Market Firming
The scrap market remains flat for the time being, but sentiment is slightly more bullish compared to last week. With increasing finished product prices, and strengthening raw material markets across Asia and Turkey, market sentiment moving into August is becoming more positive. The futures market has remained quiet with nothing trading however the market remains well bid down the curve between $390-400.
Another one of those pesky interactive graphs below – this time depicting ferrous scrap futures.
{amchart id=”74″ BUS Futures Forward Curve}
Bradley Clark
Read more from Bradley ClarkLatest in Futures

HR Futures: Meaningful rally grips market
Another eventful week in the physical and financial steel markets is coming to a close. Most importantly, this week provided complete clarity that, after months of waiting for a catalyst, we are now definitively in the early stages of a meaningful rally. The 3rd month future (currently the April contract) rose more than 8% for […]

HRC and scrap futures: Markets pop on hot steel and tariff headlines
It’s been an event-filled month in US ferrous derivatives markets since my last column for SMU. There’s been no shortage of writings and musing about the ongoing steel and aluminum tariffs proposed by the Trump administration. And steel and scrap futures markets have responded accordingly. CME HRC futures prices have risen, and the curve has firmed. The February 2025 HRC futures contract, now in the pricing period, has added $47 per short ton (st) since its contact lows on Jan. 20 to settle at $767/st today.

HR Futures: What’s next for HRC and busheling prices?
Since the publication of our last market update on Dec. 10, several notable developments have shaped the landscape

HR Futures: Awaiting Trump’s 25% tariff
Midwest HRC indices have been stuck in a tight range since last summer with the weekly CRU Midwest HRC price spending the past 32 weeks between $656 and $714 per short ton (st). The rolling Midwest HRC future has been rangebound between roughly $650 to $800 since last June. The rate at which the price of HRC futures move over a certain period or “volatility” has compressed dramatically over the past few months.

HR Futures: Market coiled and ready to move in 2025?
The last six months have been littered with uncertainty and mixed signals, a choppy and rangebound market. Spot indices have largely held steady, despite the pressure from domestic mills pushing for higher prices on spot tons. This has provided a signal of a lack of upward momentum and little downside room based on mill costs. […]