The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Construction spending was unchanged from January compared to December, said the Associated General Contractors of America in its analysis of new government data. “Construction spending in January showed a mixed pattern, with noteworthy increases in public outlays and single-family homebuilding balancing out declines in private nonresidential and multifamily investments,” said AGC Chief Economist Ken Simonson, […]
Steel imports surged more than 17 percent from December to January, reaching 2.87 million net tons, 2.1 percent higher than at the start of last year, according to data from the American Institute for International Steel. Imports from Canada increased nearly 13 percent to 558,000 net tons, 5 percent ahead of the January 2017 total, […]
President Trump now says he will sign a measure next week calling for a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum imports on national security grounds under Section 232. Trump had looked set to make the trade action official today, even calling industry executives to a meeting at the […]
The U.S. steel industry reacted with enthusiasm to the president’s decision to impose a 25 percent tariff under Section 232 on steel imports to the United States. Nucor Chairman and CEO John Ferriola said in a statement, “The president has consistently been a strong advocate for holding other countries accountable that systematically and flagrantly violate […]
We had another week of “up” pricing as everyone tries to grapple with the impact of Section 232 tariffs. One thing does appear to be a certainty – the laws of supply and demand are now clearly in the hands of the U.S. government. Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: […]
Steel buyers are confiding in Steel Market Update advising us of the “craziness” that is going on in the market as both buyers and steel mills react to both the “known” and “unknown.” The known are the issues at California Steel, which has been advising some customers to expect they will get only 50 percent […]
California Steel Industries (CSI) surprised customers with a whopping $120 per ton price increase on all its flat rolled products on Monday, the same day that its main West Coast competitor USS-POSCO (UPI) informed customers that its April order book is now closed. In its Feb. 26 letter to customers, CSI announced that it’s April […]
Ferrous scrap prices for March delivery are expected to increase by around $10 per ton, report Steel Market Update’s scrap market sources. “Strong demand for raw materials both domestically and internationally are allowing little chance ferrous scrap prices will drop in March,” said one East Coast dealer. “All the mills I sell to will have […]
The American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) Board of Directors recently approved its 2018 public policy agenda outlining the institute’s aggressive pro-manufacturing public policy priorities. “The impact public policies have on manufacturers must be carefully considered to ensure both economic growth and our national security,” said Thomas J. Gibson, president and CEO of AISI. “AISI’s […]
There was a lot of buzz on the trade front today, from posturing over the next round of NAFTA negotiations to commentary on the 2018 “Economic Report of the President”: • Senate Finance Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT) told reporters that Congress will take “veto-proof” action if President Trump attempts to terminate NAFTA, adding that “we […]
California Steel Industries (CSI) surprised customers with a whopping $120 per ton price increase on all its flat rolled products on Monday, the same day that its main West Coast competitor USS-POSCO (UPI) informed customers that its April order book is now closed. In its Feb. 26 letter to customers, CSI announced that it’s April […]
North Star BlueScope sales for the first half of FY 2018 totaled $670 million from shipments of 1,037,500 metric tons. The 12 percent year-over-year gain in sales revenue was due to higher steel prices and volume. Underlying EBIT fell 31 percent to $113.3 million in the first half of FY 2018 as prices receded from […]
The next few months are going to be a wild ride (in my opinion). There appears to be a cascading “Gray Swan” event in process prompted by Section 232 and expectations associated with 232, which now are for Trump to announce a 24 percent tariff on all steel products and let the chips fall where […]
President Trump is favoring a 24 percent global tariff on steel imports, according to sources reported by multiple media outlets. Trump’s pick for Section 232 aluminum trade restrictions is a 10 percent tariff on all aluminum imports. The rumors are contrary to analysts’ expectations of a more targeted tariff on imports. Broad-based tariffs are likely […]
President Trump is favoring a 24 percent global tariff on steel imports, according to sources reported by multiple media outlets. Trump’s pick for Section 232 aluminum trade restrictions is a 10 percent tariff on all aluminum imports. The rumors are contrary to analysts’ expectations of a more targeted tariff on imports. Broad-based tariffs are likely […]
In 2017, the domestic steel market contracted by 0.5 percent, but domestic shipments were up while imports were down. Table 1 shows 11 years of history of total steel supply to the U.S. market broken down into shipments from domestic mills and imports, excluding semi-finished. The hot rolled steel market totaled 106.4 million tons in […]
President Trump has made no official announcement about his plans for Section 232, leaving the steel market to speculate on last week’s Commerce Department recommendations. The majority of respondents to this week’s Steel Market Update market trends questionnaire are guessing he will come up with his own solution to combat unfair imports. The Commerce recommendations […]
Ironically, the Department of Defense is among the least enthusiastic about the Section 232 investigations into the impact of steel and aluminum imports on national security. After reviewing a draft of the Section 232 report last year, the DoD determined that trade restrictions proposed by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross would “unnecessarily vex U.S. allies.” The […]
New rules requiring electronic logging devices (ELDs) to monitor drivers’ hours behind the wheel are having the predicted effect on the market, disrupting trucking operations, igniting fierce competition for trucking capacity and sharply raising freight rates. Under the complicated hours of service regulations that took effect Dec. 18, drivers can work no more than a […]
Grant Aldonas believes Wilbur Ross “ill-served the president” when he released Section 232 recommendations that don’t address the real issues: curbing global steel overcapacity and dealing with Chinese illegal business practices. A keynote speaker at this year’s Port of Tampa Steel Conference, Aldonas should know what he is talking about. As a former Undersecretary of […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Ternium has extended its agreement to supply steel slabs to AM/NS Calvert for an additional 12 months, until December 2020. During Ternium’s fourth-quarter earnings call, CEO Daniel Novegil said Ternium Brazil will deliver the remaining 3.5 million metric tons of slab in annual increments of 1.2 million tons per year instead of 2.0 million tons […]
NLMK USA’s fourth-quarter sales and shipments dropped 3 percent from the third quarter due to expected seasonality. Sales totaled $410 million on shipments of 550,000 metric tons. Prices in the fourth quarter were flat due to uncertainty surrounding the pending Section 232 investigation. For full-year 2017, NLMK USA sales increased 21 percent from 2016 to […]
Canadian steel mill Stelco held its first earnings call since becoming a publically held company and reported stellar results for the fourth quarter. The company, formerly owned by U.S. Steel, presented a strong balance sheet, no debt and no legacy liabilities. Revenue for the quarter increased 45 percent from a year ago to $452 million. […]
When the pressure begins, and the cooking surface gets “hot,” that is when you have to be at your best, most nimble and anticipate problems. USS/POSCO announced new prices late yesterday. We have not heard from California Steel Industries (CSI) on what they are going to do regarding pricing. We have heard from their customers […]
International trading companies are reacting to the report released by Department of Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross recommending three options to protect the U.S. steel industry based on national security concerns. As we speak with trading companies here at the Port of Tampa Steel Conference, as well as traders located around the country, we are finding […]
The possible forthcoming Section 232 decisions on steel and aluminum imports have alarmed nations across the globe. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said he “wouldn’t be surprised if there were retaliations to the measures,” but perhaps he underestimated the negative response to his recommendations. Numerous countries have expressed concern for their own domestic markets, while others […]
The American Institute for International Steel, which represents foreign steelmakers, called the Commerce Department’s recommendations in the Section 232 report on steel imports “excessive and unnecessary” and warned of global retaliation that would push the U.S. and world toward a recession. AIIS Board Chairman John Foster issued the following statement on Monday: “The recommendations in […]
The first advice I have for steel buyers is don’t panic. Nothing has been announced on 232 yet. Someone mentioned to me this evening that in reality the president hasn’t made a bad decision yet (I am going to ignore Russia – just talking about business related issues). Section 232 may be the first, but […]