Flat-rolled steel prices have room to rise despite being at record levels, and any correction might not come until well into the second quarter. That was the takeaway from a conference call this morning with members of the Heating, Air Conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International (HARDI). “I don’t remember a market like this. Maybe at […]
By CRU Analyst Sam Grant, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Galvanized steel sheet equates to around 30% of refined zinc demand, making it the most significant first use for zinc globally. China is by far the world’s largest producer, responsible for 33% of the global total, with North East Asia, North America and Europe […]
On Wednesday at noon the Biden administration will take over the Executive Branch of the U.S. government. President Biden is planning on hitting the ground running as he works to control the pandemic, put the U.S. back in the Paris Climate Accord, and (unfortunately) deal with a country fractured by Trump insurrectionists. Biden has made […]
The Biden administration could act fast on a big infrastructure bill if the Senate is quick to approve the president-elect’s Cabinet, the head of the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) said. “By sometime this spring, I think we could have a major infrastructure bill done,” AISI President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin Dempsey said […]
The Biden administration could act fast on a big infrastructure bill if the Senate is quick to approve the president-elect’s Cabinet, the head of the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) said. “By sometime this spring, I think we could have a major infrastructure bill done,” AISI President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin Dempsey said […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis An administrative change in Washington, D.C., arrives this week. Some of the parties with vested interests in Section 232 are already messaging the Biden administration. On Jan. 13, the American Primary Aluminum Association (APAA), which consists of Century Aluminum and Magnitude Seven Aluminum, sent a letter to President-elect Biden […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis U.S. Midwest primary aluminum expressed over LME cash is 26-27 cents per pound, touted at “record levels.” In October 2014, Midwest traded premiums reached 23 cents per pound, so on paper we have set a new high….or have we? 2014: the Era of the LME Warehouse Queues We don’t […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Monitor Global steel prices, as measured by the CRUspi index, have increased for the 10th consecutive month, gaining 9.4% m/m and 116% y/y. This index now stands at 301.1, a new record high. This index continues to be supported by higher finished steel prices across all regions. […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis Primary aluminum prices are on a roll in China and the World ex China. The Shanghai Metal Exchange (SHFE) spot price is 18,425 RMB or $2,825 per metric ton. Even adjusting out the 13% Value-Added-Tax (VAT) embedded in that price, it’s still a 10-year high of $2,500 per metric […]
The U.S. steel industry has enough capacity to meet demand even if the Biden administration passes a big infrastructure bill, said the top executive of the nation’s biggest steelmaker. The United States “desperately needs” an infrastructure package worth “more than $1 trillion,” and Nucor hopes such a bill will be passed in the early days […]
I anticipate next week’s spot hot rolled and other flat rolled steel prices will be higher than what we reported on Tuesday evening (HRC = $1,080 per ton average). We received information from an end user today of hot rolled purchases of $1,140 per ton for end of March/early April production. An order for HR […]
U.S. steel lobbying groups and the United Steelworkers union want the administration of President-elect Joseph Biden to keep Section 232 tariffs and quotas in place. The steel groups and the union think the protections are necessary because of global steel overcapacity and because of the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a recent […]
The U.S. electric-arc furnace steelmaking industry is eager to work with the administration of President-elect Joe Biden to craft better trade, infrastructure and manufacturing policies, the head of the Steel Manufacturers Association said. And those efforts could be fruitful given Biden’s moderate positions on those issues and the moderation that will be necessary to effectively […]
By CRU Prices Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service U.S. steel service center inventories continue to remain low in terms of material in stock, as many buyers reported that they cannot secure all the sheet steel they require. Steel Market Update, which is owned by CRU, reported service centers carried 51.3 shipping […]
After communicating with one of our readers over the weekend, I realize it is important for our readers, and those who interact with our website, to understand what the SMU Price Momentum Indicator means. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator definition on our website clearly states that this is meant to be a visual showing where […]
NLMK USA and striking workers at its operations in western Pennsylvania appear no closer to a labor accord than they were more than four months ago. And the two sides remain at loggerheads despite near-record hot-rolled coil prices and despite slab being available following the reset of the Section 232 quota on Brazilian semi-finished goods. […]
U.S. steel producers are worried that a change to the Section 232 exclusion process could gut the Trump administration’s signature trade act. The focus of concern: The Commerce Department’s potential adoption of “General Approved Exclusions” (GAEs) into the Section 232 exemption process. “If permitted to stand, the GAEs will effectively eliminate Section 232 tariffs on […]
Brazil’s annual Section 232 slab quota has reset, a move that is likely to at least partially relieve a supply squeeze that has sent U.S. sheet prices to their highest point in more than 12 years. Brazil’s Section 232 slab quota for 2021 is approximately 3.86 million tons, according to information from U.S. Customs and […]
Brazil’s annual Section 232 slab quota has reset, a move that is likely to at least partially relieve a supply squeeze that has sent U.S. sheet prices to their highest point in more than 12 years. Brazil’s Section 232 slab quota for 2021 is approximately 3.86 million tons, according to information from U.S. Customs and […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: As the nation (and the world) prepares for the inauguration of Joe Biden as the new president, many groups are releasing position papers telling the new administration what it should do about trade-related issues. They run the gamut from […]
Can we measure the relative importance of steel-producing versus steel-consuming industries? Last week, I looked at some ways to measure the steel industry’s importance to the economy and national defense today and in the past. Today, I explore another major point of comparison—the economic and strategic importance of steel production and steel-consuming industries economically and […]
Lately there has been a great deal of news on the legal front. Readers of this column have asked a lot of questions. Today I will try to get to at least some of them. Most of the recent court decisions relate to the Section 232 tariffs, so that is a good place to start. To […]
Steel price levels are in uncharted territory these days. The current prices, especially in an economy where interest rates are near zero and inflation remains low, are truly remarkable. How did this happen and when will it end? The short answer is that nobody really knows—but we can analyze the events surrounding the spike and […]
Eyes often glaze over when trade lawyers talk about the intricacies of antidumping law to what lawyers sometimes patronizingly call “laymen.” With a clear understanding of that risk, today’s piece dives into a recent decision by the Court of International Trade dealing with the Commerce Department’s treatment of Section 232 duties on steel in antidumping […]
Last Thursday, policy wonks observed the confirmation hearing of Katherine Tai to be the new United States Trade Representative, replacing Robert Lighthizer. When a new administration takes over, the previous leadership departs at noon on Jan. 20 and “acting” leadership assumes authority, but generally not much power. The new team is nominated, typically on Jan. […]
Last Thursday, policy wonks observed the confirmation hearing of Katherine Tai to be the new United States Trade Representative, replacing Robert Lighthizer. When a new administration takes over, the previous leadership departs at noon on Jan. 20 and “acting” leadership assumes authority, but generally not much power. The new team is nominated, typically on Jan. […]
An interesting feature of trade remedy law, by which I refer to as antidumping, countervailing duty, safeguards and Section 232 import “adjustments,” is alleged circumvention of these orders. Readers have asked questions about this subject, which can catch downstream users and importers unawares. Circumvention refers to processing goods that are subject to trade restrictions (duties […]
An interesting feature of trade remedy law, by which I refer to as antidumping, countervailing duty, safeguards and Section 232 import “adjustments,” is alleged circumvention of these orders. Readers have asked questions about this subject, which can catch downstream users and importers unawares. Circumvention refers to processing goods that are subject to trade restrictions (duties […]
A court decision last week highlights the limits Congress placed on presidential authority under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act. In PrimeSource Building Products v. United States (decided April 5), the Court of International Trade ruled that presidential Proclamation 9980 (issued Jan. 24, 2020), imposing tariffs on certain steel and aluminum “derivative products” was […]
Count me as an optimist—that events move, sporadically and inconsistently, but generally toward progress. I received a lot of messages during the past week that wondered openly whether talks between the United States and the European Union might lead to an end to the steel and aluminum tariffs that have been in effect since 2018. […]