Final Thoughts
The spot market remains quiet on fears of a potential United Auto Workers (UAW) union strike late next week.
The spot market remains quiet on fears of a potential United Auto Workers (UAW) union strike late next week.
Turkish scrap import prices have remained relatively stable over the past two weeks due to slow trade activity. This was partly due to the holiday on August 30. CRU’s latest price assessment for HMS1/2 80:20 is $368 /metric ton CFR, up $1 /metric ton week-over-week (WoW) and up $21 /metric ton month-over-month (MoM). The holiday […]
Scrap sources had a mixed outlook for US scrap prices for September.
Leading voices in US the scrap industry discussed the current outlook and future challenges at Steel Summit 2023’s panel on Scrap and Metallics: Navigating the Boom in EAF Sheet Production.
The US scrap market showed some stability in August, with prices mostly sideways on busheling and shredded grades, and HMS prices ticking up from the previous month, sources said.
August could see US scrap prices stabilizing, or even rising, depending on the grade or region, scrap sources told SMU.
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices continued to narrow in July, according to Steel Market Update data. SMU’s average HRC price rose this week, while busheling scrap tags fell. Our HRC average price rose $10 per net ton week over week to $890 per ton ($44.50 per cwt) as of Tuesday, July 11. Busheling tags, […]
There’s been a lot of talk about AI. We’ve even used ChatGPT a bit here ourselves at Steel Market Update. But this week I had the chance to get a broader view on what’s on offer in the field at the Reuters Momentum Conference on July 11-12 here in Austin, Texas, where I live. I went […]
Next month is expected to bring some stability after months of falling scrap prices, with sources seeing the market as sideways. “The July market expectations are soft sideways,” one scrap source told SMU. “A stable export market combined with reduced inbound scrap flows should halt the recent run of large price drops.” He said that […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices narrowed further in June, according to Steel Market Update data. Both the averages of SMU’s HRC and busheling scrap prices slipped this week. Our HRC average fell $5 per net ton week-over-week to sit at $930 per ton ($46.50 per cwt) as of Tuesday, June 13. Meanwhile, after settling, […]
June is expected to be a weaker month for scrap prices, but there is still a lot of uncertainty, especially with the Turkish elections set for Sunday, according to scrap market sources. “The mood is generally bearish, but I think the bears are a little too far out over their skis with the prognostications for […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices narrowed in May from April after having widened since the beginning of the year, according to Steel Market Update data. Both SMU’s hot-rolled coil price average and busheling prices dropped this week. Our hot-rolled coil average slipped $15 per ton week over week to $1,105 per ton ($55.25/cwt) […]
After surprising the market watchers of HR futures in the first week of May, the index finally gave back $40 per short ton (ST) in the second week, coming in just shy of $1,130/ST. Interestingly, the May futures settlement was almost unchanged from April 10 . While the market may be in a hurry for price […]
Domestic scrap prices are expected to fall in May, market sources told SMU. “Despite decent domestic demand, the recent and apparently continuing drop in the global scrap price will pressure US prices in May,” one market source said. “The global market for finished steel and semis is oversupplied, and Turkish demand is in a holding […]
Sheet prices are coming down now. The question isn’t one about market direction anymore. Instead, the question is whether the declines will be “managed” by a more consolidated group of sheet mills or whether it will be more precipitous, akin to what we saw last fall. We won’t release full results of our steel market […]
The prime scrap and metallic shortage in the US will continue over the next few years, according to Cleveland-Cliffs’ top executive. “Our conviction that this country’s prime scrap and metallic shortage will continue to tighten over the coming years is at the core of our strategy,” Cliffs’ chairman, president, and CEO Lourenco Goncalves said during […]
We’ve written in SMU about “green” steel and whether steel consumers, including market-leading OEMs, will pay a premium for it. What about the potential for premiums in scrap too? Maybe not for green scrap. But what about for “prime grade” or prime-equivalent shredded scrap? Shred that transforms into prime – maybe we could call it […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices has widened again in April from March, though much smaller than last month’s number, according to Steel Market Update data. Both SMU’s hot-rolled coil price average and busheling prices dropped this week. Our hot-rolled coil average slipped $15 per ton week-over-week to $1,145 per ton ($57.25 per cwt) as […]
CRU expects metallics prices to continue trending down in May 2023 as supply will continue to outpace demand in most markets. In the US, obsolete scrap prices are expected to move lower as the inflow to scrap yards will pick up seasonally, and dealers get more inclined to sell. In Europe, the macroeconomic environment will […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices has widened significantly in March as both products saw large price gains, according to Steel Market Update data. With a flurry of recent price increases, our hot-rolled coil price average jumped $25 per ton week over week to $1,140 per ton ($57 per cwt) as of March 21. […]
March scrap prices have settled up across the board after extensive trading. As previously reported, mills were resistant and prices were up. With prime scrap reportedly hard to obtain, March prices settled up nearly $100 per gross ton above February, market participants said. And it doesn’t appear this prime scrap rally is ending this month. […]
What’s perhaps most shocking about Cleveland-Cliffs starting the week up $100 per ton ($5 per cwt) on sheet and targeting $1,200 per ton for hot-rolled coil (HRC) is that many of you didn’t find it shocking. In early February, we got used to prices going up by $50 per ton from one week to the […]
The steel industry in the US, and across much of the developed world, finds itself between two greens. On the one hand is the constant innovation towards sustainable, decarbonized “green” steel. And, on the other, is a more traditional green, the bottom line: money. The hope is to keep the two aligned, increasing profits while […]
By CRU Senior Analyst, Puneet Paliwal, from CRU’s Scrap, DRI/HBI & Pig Iron Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) for March rose by 7.4% month on month (MoM), to 357.7, which is its highest value since June 2022. Strong Turkish buying of scrap and pig iron since the second half of February is the key […]
March scrap trading is ongoing as of Friday, but prices are reportedly up. One scrap source said the reason behind the continued trading was pretty simple. “Yes, it’s taken too long,” the source said. “Market is up, and mills are resistant. Took a while to sort through things.” Regarding what he’s seeing in the market at […]
What a difference a month makes in light of a difficult forecast environment for hot rolled (HR) prices. The mills have been raising HR spot prices faster than folks can track, and the futures appear to be in lockstep as lead times continue to extend. While steel capacity utilization rate seems stuck in the mid-70% […]
We’ve just seen the biggest week-over-week increase in hot-rolled coil prices since the frenzy following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year. SMU’s hot-rolled coil (HRC) price is up $140 per ton ($7 per cwt) week over week. That’s our biggest such gain since prices jumped $210 per ton in mid-March of last year at the height of […]
Three US senators have asked the US Trade Representative to engage with the European Union on proposed measures that would limit the trade of steel scrap. Thom Tillis (R., N.C.), Joe Manchin (D., W.Va.), and Todd Young (R., Ind.) wrote a letter to USTR Katherine Tai on Feb. 28. The letter outlines the potential fallout to […]
Steel market participants are bracing for prime scrap prices to rise in March, according to SMU’s most recent survey data. Approximately 82% of survey respondents think prime scrap prices will increase when prices settle later this month. Prices for obsolete grades are heating up as well, according to scrap sources contacted by SMU. One scrap market source […]
February came in with a bang and went out with one too. We saw two rounds of $50-per-ton sheet price increases early in the month. Then one of $100 per ton. And finally Cleveland-Cliffs came in near the buzzer on Monday with another $100-per-ton price hike. We think that was the last shot of the […]