Steel buyers in the October ISM Steel Buyers Survey are expecting general economic activity to remain unchanged for the next six months. When asked about the trend for sales and production during the six month period, seventy-five percent responded “the same.” A solid 91.7 percent of steel buyers said the trend for incoming orders will […]
Manufacturing activity in New York expanded at a faster pace in November, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Index, but missed analyst expectations. The Index rebounded to 10.2 from 6.17 in October but failed to reach the forecast reading of 12. The October and November readings are significantly lower than the May through September average […]
WASHINGTON, DC –The Board of Directors of the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) today elected three new members to its Board of Directors. Lourenco Goncalves, Chairman, President and CEO of Cliffs Natural Resources, Inc.; Roger K. Newport, Senior Vice President, Finance and CFO of AK Steel Corporation; and Conrad J. Winkler, President and CEO […]
Evraz Claymont Steel is slated for demolition by Commercial Development Company, Inc. (CDC). The Delaware mill, which has been idled since December 2013, will be sold by Evraz to CDC for an undisclosed figure by the end of the year. CDC plans to “take the site through a brownfield-cleanup process, which will include the demolition […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report on non-farm employment indicated that 214,000 jobs were added in October, September and August were revised up by 8,000 and 23,000 respectively. The three month moving average, (3MMA) has declined for four straight months but this job recovery is stronger than was the case in the mid-2000s, (Figure […]
It may be a different day but buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel are still singing the same optimistic song regarding their company’s chances of being successful in the current (and future) steel environment. Steel Market Update has been conducting our early November flat rolled steel market survey all week and this afternoon we […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) conducted our early November flat rolled steel market survey this week. We invited approximately 600 companies to participate in the process. Of those participating 44 percent were manufacturing companies and 44 percent were steel service centers. The balance of the respondents was comprised of 6 percent trading companies, 5 percent steel […]
Ternium reported earnings for the 3rd quarter 2014 this week. Ternium is a large steel producer in Mexico, which accounts for 60 percent of the company’s shipments, as well as Argentina which accounts for 24 percent. Ternium also owns a conversion mill in the United States which produces galvanized and Galvalume products along with prepainted […]
Each month the Commerce Department issues its construction put in place (CPIP) data on the first working day covering activity two months earlier. September data was released on November 3rd. Construction put in place is based on spending work as it occurs, estimated for a given month from a sample of projects. In effect the […]
AK Steel reported a net loss of $7.2 million for the third quarter of 2013 due to one-time costs associated with the acquisition of Severstal Dearborn. Excluding the acquisition related costs, AK Steel’s adjusted net income was $16.4 million. Net sales were $1.59 billion on shipments of 1,462,900 tons. Shipments increased from 1,242,400 tons in […]
The Institute of Supply Management released their October report on November 2nd and the report surprised analysts on the upside. The October purchasing managers index, PMI registered 59.0 up from the 56.6 reading in September and equal to the August result. Any number >50 indicates expansion and this was the seventeenth straight month in which […]
The Institute of Supply Management released their October report on November 2nd and the report surprised analysts on the upside. The October purchasing managers index, PMI registered 59.0 up from the 56.6 reading in September and equal to the August result. Any number >50 indicates expansion and this was the seventeenth straight month in which […]
Global manufacturing continued to expand for the 23rd successive month according to JP Morgan and Markit. The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI registered 52.2 in October, unchanged from September. “The global PMI continues to signal 3-4% annualized gains in manufacturing output as we head towards year-end,” said David Hensley, Director of Global Economics Coordination at […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. The total number of indicators considered has been increased by one this month to thirty six. We have added the price of coking coal FOB the Australian East Coast to the raw […]
US Steel announced in their earnings conference call that Carnegie Way benefits now total $495 million for 2014 due primarily to improvements in manufacturing processes, supply chain and logistics, and SG&A reductions. “While our operating difficulties in North America in the first half of the year made it difficult to see the results of our […]
Cliffs Natural Resources is a leading producer and supplier of iron ore pellets to the Great Lakes regions. CEO Lourenco Goncalves spoke at length about the iron ore market during the Cliffs earnings conference call this week. “Our U.S. Iron Ore pellets are often incorrectly compared with seaborne iron ore fines. Fines require additional processing […]
The following is the Chicago Federal Reserve statement followed by our own graphical analysis. The CFNAI is an excellent reality check for much of the economic analysis that we routinely provide in The Steel Market Update. An explanation of the Index is provided at the end of this piece. Index Shows Economic Growth Picked up […]
As expected, the Russian hot rolled tonnage won’t be missed for very long as Brazil, Turkey and other countries look to fill the void. The upside for buyers is the replacement mills produce a superior product to what was coming in from Russia. At the moment we are being advised by current Russian buyers that […]
Durable goods orders unexpectedly fell 1.3 percent in September for a second consecutive monthly decline. The drop follows a tumble of 18.3 percent in August. Economists were forecasting a gain of 0.5 percent for September. The disappointing performance may lead economists to revise forecasts for the third quarter GDP scheduled for release on Thursday. Current […]
The metalforming industry is expecting little change in business conditions during the next three months according to the October 2014 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. Firms surveyed predict that there will be a slight drop in incoming orders during the next three months. Average daily shipping levels improved, however, showed improvement. Only 7 […]
Steel Market Update is beginning to see weakness in demand based on the results of our last two flat rolled steel market surveys. The manufacturing companies are the first to report the weakness and service centers are beginning to follow. Our Premium (and free trial) level members can review the Power Point presentation that we […]
Steel buyers and sellers continue to be optimistic about their company’s ability to be successful in the current market conditions. However, there are some signs of strain growing, either due to seasonal pressures or margin squeezes, that may be giving pause to some within the industry. Even so, the results from the mid-October flat rolled […]
A proposal by Transport Canada may be devastating for U.S. cargo ships delivering raw materials on the Great Lakes. The proposal would require lakers to be equipped with ballast water treatment systems like their oceangoing sister ships. The water treatment systems are designed to eliminating invasive species from being introduced to coastal waters through ballast […]
Figure 1 shows historical gas and oil prices since January 2000. The daily spot price of West Texas Intermediate fell below $100 in August and by October 14th was down to $81.72, the latest daily figure available from the Energy Information Administration, (EIA.) Brent closed at $86.36 on the same day. The EIA has calculated […]
The Manufacturing Business Outlook published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia dropped slightly in October. The index for current activity slipped from 22.5 to 20.7 with 34 percent of respondents reporting an increase in activity while 14 percent reported a decrease. The current shipments index remained positive although dropping to 16.6 from 21.6 in […]
The headline index for the Empire State Manufacturing Survey Index fell 21 points in October. The general business index registered 6.2 after a robust September at 27.54. The decline indicates that business activity is still considered growing but a slower pace. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the share of responses indicating […]
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) made the following statement this week: “Despite setbacks, an uneven global recovery continues. Largely due to weaker-than-expected global activity in the first half of 2014, the growth forecast for the world economy has been revised downward to 3.3 percent for this year, 0.4 percentage point lower than in the April […]
Steel Market Update conducted our early October flat rolled steel market survey this past week and the results are available in a power point format for our Premium level members on our website. The power point is also shared with those who completed the survey. As with past surveys, SMU invited just over 600 people […]
Buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel continue to be optimistic regarding their company’s ability to be successful in the current market environment as well as out three to six months into the future. Steel Market Update reported their Sentiment Index as +64 on Thursday, October 9th. The + 64 reading is unchanged from their […]
2015 annual contract negotiations have begun, according to both manufacturers and service center steel buyers. The next month or two should be quite interesting as the process continues. Early reports are suggesting that the domestic steel mills may be more “flexible” in their flat rolled steel price negotiations than they were at this point in […]