By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor U.S. sheet prices have continued to increase, but this week is the lowest w/w rise since the uptrend started. In Europe, HR prices have fallen, albeit marginally, for the first time since October last year. Although we believe prices are at or near […]
By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Chinese sheet prices reached a new high this week after a government policy notice on March 2 notifying of emissions production cuts in Tangshan province in late-February to late-March. We expect the impact of this announcement to be lower than the initial price rise suggests. In other regions, sheet prices globally have continued to rise, […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis The grounding of the MV Ever Given in the Suez Canal has multiple repercussions on the global maritime supply chain, but it is especially acute for the aluminum market. Gulf Region Production is Important The Gulf Region in terms of aluminum production comprises Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and […]
The U.S. automotive industry showed remarkable resiliency in 2020 despite a production shutdown in March and the most challenging year since the Great Recession. U.S. auto sales ended the year at an estimated 14.6 million units, well below forecasts of 16.7 million, yet incredibly robust amidst a pandemic, high unemployment and an economic recession. U.S. […]
I anticipate next week’s spot hot rolled and other flat rolled steel prices will be higher than what we reported on Tuesday evening (HRC = $1,080 per ton average). We received information from an end user today of hot rolled purchases of $1,140 per ton for end of March/early April production. An order for HR […]
The benchmark price for hot rolled steel reached a new record high of $1,080 per ton this week, according to Steel Market Update’s latest check of the market, surpassing the previous high of $1,070 per ton recorded by SMU in 2008. Prices for flat rolled and plate steel products jumped by another $40-80 per ton […]
Most new U.S. flat-rolled electric-arc furnace steelmaking capacity won’t start up until the second half of this year, which could have big implications for spot hot-rolled coil prices. The back-ended nature of the capacity add means the market might sustain hot-rolled coil prices of $1,000 per ton or more longer than many buyers believe, industry sources […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Sheet prices in the U.S. Midwest market have not only continued to rise, but the m/m gains have come so fast that our second Wednesday price assessment completely skipped the $900 /s.ton level. Our Jan. 12 price assessment for HR coil is $1,044 […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Metallics Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) rose by 27.1% m/m in January to 349.9 after metallics prices rose notably in every market we cover. As this is the second month of large price increases, many markets are now at, or nearly at, record highs. […]
By CRU Prices Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service U.S. steel service center inventories continue to remain low in terms of material in stock, as many buyers reported that they cannot secure all the sheet steel they require. Steel Market Update, which is owned by CRU, reported service centers carried 51.3 shipping […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled HR and scrap prices had a very strong move in the last month. All eyes focus on lead times for […]
Hot rolled lead times were slightly shorter this week, but lead times for other products were the same or slightly longer, based on Steel Market Update’s first check of the market in the new year. Lead times for deliveries of hot rolled were still highly extended at an average of nearly eight weeks, and it’s […]
Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic hot rolled steel price comparison shows that foreign producers continue to hold a price advantage over domestic HRC. With U.S. HRC prices now over $1,000 per ton, foreign HRC prices are theoretically between $10-$171 per ton cheaper than domestic steel prices. Recall that the price differentials between domestic […]
Quality information is KEY…in steel and in life. I have been struggling on how to deal with what I saw yesterday at the U.S. Capitol. We cannot allow thugs to attack the workings of our democracy. At the same time, we should hold those who spread disinformation to the public accountable for the disservice they […]
Quality information is KEY…in steel and in life. I have been struggling on how to deal with what I saw Wednesday at the U.S. Capitol. We cannot allow thugs to attack the workings of our democracy. At the same time, we should hold those who spread disinformation to the public accountable for the disservice they […]
Global manufacturing ended 2020 with growth rates for production and new orders among the strongest of the past decade. The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI posted 53.8, unchanged from November’s 33-month high. Output continued to expand in December, although at a slightly slower pace, and was led by growth in Germany, Brazil and India. New […]
Flat rolled steel prices have started the new year strong, jumping by another $25-55 per ton and taking the benchmark hot rolled price above $1,000, within sight of the record high of $1,070 per ton seen in 2008. With steel still in tight supply and ferrous scrap prices likely to increase again in January, Steel […]
Flat rolled steel prices have started the new year strong, jumping by another $25-55 per ton and taking the benchmark hot rolled price above $1,000, within sight of the record high of $1,070 per ton seen in 2008. With steel still in tight supply and ferrous scrap prices likely to increase again in January, Steel […]
Two phenomena that we have not seen in a long time have recently appeared. Whether they are short-term events or long-term realities is provoking debate. I am speaking of the distinct but related issues of inflation and shortages of, it seems, nearly everything. Inflation was a major factor in the U.S. economy throughout the 1970s. […]
As we enter the New Year (goodbye 2020, welcome 2021), you will notice changes to Steel Market Update. One of the very first things you will notice is that our newsletters will have more relevant content in them. This is due to the addition of Michael Cowden who joins us after spending 13 years with […]
John Packard, President & CEO of Steel Market Update discusses changes being made at the company, events on the books for 2021, and the status of the flat rolled and plate steel markets – including steel price commentary: As we enter the New Year (goodbye 2020, welcome 2021), you will notice changes to Steel Market […]
Recently we were asked how we can produce our flat rolled and plate price indices when there are limited transactions either due to high prices or a holiday period like we are in now. In both scenarios there continue to be transactions (although few and far between), but we are careful not to overheat or […]
Steel Market Update has heard reports of buyers paying well over $1,000 a ton to secure much-needed hot roll, but the average from respondents to SMU’s poll this week puts the HR price at around $985 per ton (among those who have managed to find available steel). With demand persisting despite year-end seasonality and mill […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market a few days before Christmas shows no let-up in steel demand, as prices continue to rise and lead times continue to extend. With steel supplies remaining extremely tight, lead times for deliveries of hot rolled have stretched to more than eight weeks and coated steel orders to around […]
Weekly raw steel production by U.S. mills totaled 1,619,00 net tons in the week ending Dec. 19, up from 1,567,000 net tons week on week. The operating rate was 73.2 percent, up 3.3 percent from 70.9 percent the week prior. The increase is likely a reflection of mills adding capacity, including U.S. Steel’s restart of […]
U.S. Steel is optimistic about its financial outlook for 2021. The addition of a strong performer to their portfolio with the acquisition of Big River Steel and improved demand and higher prices in the fourth quarter bode well for the new year. Positive EBITDA is expected in the flat rolled segment for the fourth quarter, […]
Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic hot rolled steel price comparison shows that, with U.S. HRC prices nearing $1,000 per ton, foreign imports theoretically have become cheaper than domestic steel prices. U.S. producers have lost their price advantage over HRC imports from Far East Asia by over $100 per ton, and imports from Germany […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled Hot rolled futures markets have experienced high velocity upward price moves along the futures curve in conjunction with spot over […]
Nucor expects improved fourth-quarter earnings due to higher pricing of sheet and plate as well as strong results at its bar and structural mills. Profitability for the steel products segment is expected to decrease modestly, consistent with typical seasonality. The raw materials segment will benefit from higher prices for raw materials and improved financial performance […]
Flat Rolled = 40.0 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 45.7 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled Service center flat rolled steel inventories continue to reach new lows. At the end of November, service centers carried 40 shipping days of supply, down from 43.1 days in October. November had 19 shipping days, compared to October’s […]