U.S. manufacturing activity fell to its lowest point of the year in November. Producers reported near-record supply delays, the slowest new order inflows year-to-date, and waning job growth, according to the latest U.S. Manufacturing PMI data from IHS Markit. The report noted that extended lead times, supplier shortages and higher energy prices pushed the rate of […]
Steel prices declined for the third consecutive month in November, following a 12-month streak of continuous price increases. Hot-rolled coil prices declined $105 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,770 per ton ($88.50 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Nov. 30. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for hot-rolled coil was adjusted from Neutral […]
Sometimes it is the little things that provide hints as to the direction steel prices will take. During our Steel 101 workshops, I use the example of when you hear from that steel salesman on what seems like a daily basis – that’s when you know a market is about to turn (or has turned). […]
Sometimes it is the little things that provide hints as to the direction steel prices will take. During our Steel 101 workshops, I use the example of when you hear from that steel salesman on what seems like a daily basis – that’s when you know a market is about to turn (or has turned). […]
Plate prices moved up this week as recent mill price increases gained some traction, but prices for sheet products were flat to down, based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market on Monday and Tuesday. The plate price was up $60 to an average of $1,835 per ton, while hot rolled coil was down […]
Published mills lead times are back, another sign that the steel market is returning to something resembling normal. Hot-rolled coil lead times, for example, are three to four weeks at some mills. That would be unremarkable in a normal market. But it is news after a year in which customers were either on allocation or […]
Flat rolled and plate steels all saw double-digit decreases this week as the price trend appears be gaining downward momentum The average price for hot rolled dropped by $50 to $1,780 per ton, the first time that benchmark has been below $1,800 since early July. Prices for cold rolled and coated products saw declines of […]
Steel buyers have gained a clear advantage when it comes to negotiating lower prices for hot-rolled coil and galvanized product. The change in pricing power toward buyers – following a year in which mills could name their price – comes as prices for most products are down, lead times are coming in, and inventories are increasing. SMU […]
Spot prices might be wobbling. But mill balance sheets are as strong as they’ve ever been – and the cash will continue to pour in as 2022 contracts reset at substantially higher numbers. Here are two opposing trends I’m keeping an eye on: (1) whether mills will use their cash hoards to expand outside of steel […]
By CRU Senior Prices Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service, Nov. 18 In the last several weeks, U.S. sheet prices have started to decline, though prices remain well above global prices. Under pressure from imports and service centers eager to sell high-cost inventory before the end of the year, prices for processed […]
Steel Market Update’s poll of buyers on Monday and Tuesday showed further small declines for flat rolled steel prices, while plate prices were up a bit. No sign yet of a sharp correction as prices continue to ease downward. The benchmark price for hot rolled is now down to $1,830 per ton, $25 lower than […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share the below excerpt of a Premium item with Executive members. SMU publishes service center shipment and inventory data for Premium subscribers on the 11th business day of each month, one day after our data providers receive the data. Premium member reports include expanded analysis with detailed shipment and inventory levels, […]
Hot-rolled coil prices continue to slide. And galvanized base prices are holding more or less steady. What gives? Check out the slide below. The green line is galvanized base prices. The blue line is lead times. Prices are on the left-hand side of the slide. Lead times are on the right. Prices have been around […]
Distributors who sell galvanized steel products to the construction and HVAC sectors still feel very positive about their prospects heading into next year despite weakening prices and rising inventories. Declines in galvanized prices out of the domestic mills have been fairly minor so far and demand remains strong, reported members of the Heating, Air-Conditioning & […]
Some of our key market indicators are pointing toward higher inventories at service centers and an “expectation” of lower prices out of the domestic steel mills. There are many questions yet to be answered as to what the “new normal” will look like when it comes to flat rolled steel prices. We have not seen […]
Flat Rolled = 56.7 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 62.0 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories increased in October, as shipments slowed, according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of October, service centers carried 56.7 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, compared to 54.5 […]
Total mill shipments of steel products fell 12.2% in September to 8.502 million tons, after seeing an 11.1% increase the month prior. Apparent supply also slipped in September, down 6.9%, following a 7.9% increase in August. September’s contractions mark the first decrease in steel supply in seven months. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment […]
Algoma Steel posted record profits in its fiscal second quarter, and the Canadian flat-rolled steelmaker expects money to continue to pour in as high spot prices roll into 2022 contracts. The Sault Ste Marie, Ontario-based company also thinks that the traditional relationship between sheet and plate prices will be restored as infrastructure spending increases demand for […]
Buyers continue to gain leverage in steel price negotiations, especially for hot rolled products. Steel Market Update asks buyers every two weeks whether mills are willing to talk price on spot orders. Nearly three out of four (72%) of the hot rolled buyers responding to this week’s poll said mills are now willing to negotiate HR […]
Lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate steel continue to shorten, as expected in a period when steel prices are declining. SMU’s latest check of the market shows the typical hot rolled lead time has now dipped below seven weeks for the first time since November 2020. That’s nearly a month shorter than […]
Even as domestic prices ease, foreign steel imports continue to tempt U.S. buyers with potential discounts of 24-43%, according to Steel Market Update’s latest comparison of domestic and foreign hot rolled steel prices. Foreign hot rolled steel prices are now theoretically $452-801 per ton cheaper than domestic steel, after taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week shows both flat rolled and plate prices declining by another $10-25 per ton. The declines were not unexpected and are in line with the downtrend that has materialized in the last two months as seasonal dips in demand and competition from imports put pressure on domestic […]
The House has finally passed a bipartisan infrastructure bill after months of wrangling not only among Republicans and Democrats but also among factions within the Democratic party. “American steel built this country, and the industry is now ready to get to work on rebuilding this country. Repairing and modernizing our national transportation system is essential […]
As expected, steel prices are volatile and unpredictable as the market approaches year-end. Hot rolled continued its slow, gradual descent averaging $1,875 per ton this week, down another $10, based on Steel Market Update’s survey data gathered on Monday and Tuesday. Cold rolled and coated products, on the other hand, saw small increases to around […]
October saw a gradual decline in steel prices for the second consecutive month, following one full year of continuous price increases. Hot rolled steel prices decreased $45 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,885 per ton ($94.25 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Oct. 26. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for hot […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Falling demand in most markets around the world has continued to weigh on steel sheet prices. Meanwhile, the announcement that the USA will remove Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum producers in the EU and replace them with a quota system means […]
New orders, production and employment grew in October, while supplier deliveries slowed at faster rate and backlogs lengthened further, said the Institute for Supply Management in its latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The Manufacturing PMI fell for the third straight month in October, down 0.3 percentage points to 60.8% in October, but still indicating […]
We’re all on the same price roller coaster, and that’s true whether we’re talking steel, plastic or wood. But we’re not all on the same car – and so your impression of the market might be vastly different if you’re in the front car instead of the back one. That’s the impression I got while speaking […]
“Business is great! Why is Steel Market Update always spreading so much gloom and doom about falling steel prices?” That’s not an actual quote, but we hear comments to that effect nearly every week. As if folks believe it will be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Of course, if prices decline, it won’t be because of some […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]