Stelco Holdings Inc. expects its second quarter earnings results to be notably higher sequentially and year-on-year but is warning that a weakening steel market will mean lower results for the second half of the year. In a preliminary earnings report, the Canadian flatrolled steelmaker said it expects its Q2 adjusted EBITDA to be Candian $460-470 […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this new Premium content – an index comparing lead time and demand data – with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Apparent demand for flat-rolled steel in the US remains on a downward trend – as it has been since late April, […]
We were close to peak steel prices this time a year ago. Are we now close to peak pessimism? Your answer to that question might depend on whether you’re working at a steel mill or at a service center. We’ve noticed a big split in sentiment lately. Roughly 40% of respondents to our surveys – […]
Steel mill lead times through this week were relatively flat for sheet products and down slightly for plate, according to SMU’s latest market check. On average this week, lead times declined by 0.1 weeks across the board compared to early July and are down an average of 0.4 weeks compared to one month ago. Having […]
The appeal to import cheaper foreign hot-rolled coil (HRC) instead of domestic steel continues to lessen, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic price comparison. For the past two months, domestic steel prices have generally declined at a faster rate than foreign prices, meaning the potential discount on imported products has been shrinking. After […]
US plate prices have been holding steady and bucking the downtrend presently seen across sheet and coated products. Plate demand has remained largely steady, while buyers have maintained lean inventories, only taking volumes to fill gaps. The price dynamic has led to historically high premiums over hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices. Presently, plate prices are more […]
SMU’s average hot-rolled coil prices dropped below $900 per ton ($45 per cwt) for the first time since December 2020. And some sources, citing short lead times and spotty demand, said they see little reason for the trend to reverse in the short term. SMU’s hot-rolled coil prices now stand at $875 per ton ($43.75 […]
Flat Rolled = 55 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat rolled inventories edged up in June. At the end of June, service centers carried 55 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, according to SMU data. This was up from 54.7 shipping days […]
SMU canvassed steel buyers on a variety of subjects including steel prices, supply and demand, and new mill capacity on Monday and Tuesday of this week. Rather than summarizing the comments received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. Want to have your voice heard and share your comments with SMU? Contact Brett@SteelMarketUpdate.com […]
Hot-rolled coil prices fell again this week and now have a tenuous grip on $900 per ton ($45 per cwt). We remain at the lowest price levels since mid-December 2020 – more than 18 months ago. What’s going on? For starters, we know that the low end of our range might come as surprise to some […]
Sheet prices continued to slide this week and plate prices to defy gravity. If there is an upside, it’s that the pace of sheet declines has moderated slightly. SMU’s hot-rolled coil price now stands at $910 per ton ($45.50 per cwt), down $45 per ton from $955 per ton a week ago and down $190 […]
The following article on the hot-rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled After a brisk bout of futures activity in HR to close out the first half of 2022, we are experiencing much […]
There has been a broad consensus that wherever the current market bottoms will be higher than pre-pandemic norms. But as our latest survey results indicate, estimates of where that bottom is keep moving lower. About half of respondents to our latest survey think prices will be $800-899 per ton two months from now. In late […]
Steel mill lead times continued to shorten into July for both sheet and plate products, according to our latest market check this week. On average this week, lead times declined by 0.3 weeks compared to late June and are down an average of half a week compared to one month prior. Having gradually declined from […]
Nucor is keeping plate prices flat with the opening of its August 2022 order book. The Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker said it would maintain plate prices, effective with new orders. All published adders and extras will be applied, the company said in a letter to customers dated June 30. In its previous letter to customers dated June 13, Nucor […]
Domestic sheet prices continue to slide back to levels not seen since late 2020 or early 2021. Even plate prices, which had been stable to date, are starting to show signs of cracking. SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price now stands at $955 per ton ($47.75 per cwt), down $300 per ton (24%) from early June […]
Steel prices continued to ease each week throughout June, following declines in May as well. Hot rolled prices were $1,190 per ton ($59.50 per cwt) the first week of June. Prices then slipped between $45 and $90 each of the following weeks, with the SMU index averaging $995 per ton as of last Tuesday. (This […]
US manufacturing activity expanded at a much slower pace in June than in May. The employment, new orders, and prices paid indexes all fell month-on-month (MoM), according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). June’s Manufacturing PMI fell to 53%, a 3.1-percentage-point decline compared to a reading of 56.1% in May. The measure came in weaker […]
The appeal of foreign hot rolled coil (HRC) over domestic steel is slowly diminishing, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic HRC price comparison. Between mid-April and late May, foreign steel prices generally declined at a faster rate than domestic prices, resulting in greater potential discounts on imported products. Now, domestic prices are declining at a faster […]
Steel Market Update’s average hot-rolled coil price has fallen below $1,000 per ton ($50 per cwt) for the first time since December 2020 – or 18 months ago. The move comes as some market participants said that a floor might be near while others said such talk was mostly wishful thinking. Our benchmark hot-rolled coil […]
The steel industry’s push to decrease CO2 emissions in steelmaking will require an increase in high-grade iron ore production and improved beneficiation techniques, according to a report from The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). To reach net-zero emissions by 2050, not only will steelmakers need to switch production methods from coal-consuming blast […]
I mentioned in my last Final Thoughts that you should keep your eyes open for potential catalysts for higher prices even amid all the signs that tags probably have nowhere to go but lower. It turned out we found one hiding in plain sight. It’s contract talk season in the US, with labor pacts between […]
The temptation to purchase foreign hot rolled coil (HRC) over domestic steel is beginning to ease, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic HRC price comparison. Foreign products now hold potential discounts of 9-15% over domestic steel, versus savings of 12-26% one month ago. Between mid-April and late May, foreign steel prices generally declined at […]
Steel Market Update’s latest market check revealed that steel mill lead times continue to inch down for sheet and plate products as they move closer to historical norms. On average, lead times declined by 0.2 weeks compared to our early June figures and are down 0.4 weeks compared to one month ago. Lead times over […]
I’m running out of ways to write about steel prices going down because I’ve been doing it since late April. There are the usual reasons plus a few new ones. There had been hopes that China would come out of Covid lockdowns, that Beijing would roll out stimulus, and that Asian HRC prices would set […]
Sheet prices continued to fall this week on lower raw material costs, a buyers’ strike and concerns in some corners about a potential recession. But that gloomy sentiment was not universally shared, with some sources pointing to strong or at least steady demand despite the lower prices. SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price now stands at […]
Despite falling prices and declining lead times for galvanized sheet, overall demand is still generally strong and a good reason for optimism, according to members of the Heating, Air-Conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International on this month’s call of HARDI’s Sheet Metal/Air Handling Council. One HARDI member in the Rocky Mountain region noted that his company […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is please to share this abbreviated Premium content with our Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. If you are part of a service center company and interested in becoming a data provider, please contact Estelle.Tran@CRUGroup.com. Flat Rolled = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply […]
North American auto assemblies improved by 5.9% in May, after shrinking by 15.8% the month prior – the first decline all year. And though ongoing supply hurdles continue, North American production has improved since bottoming out last December. May’s results are 14.4% higher year-on-year (YoY), but still 17.5% below the pre-pandemic period of May 2019. […]
The following article on the hot-rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled HR futures are coming back to life after a quiet spell in May. Month to date in June more than 225,000 […]