Sheet prices continued to inch upward as most market participants reported solid first-quarter demand, despite concerns in some corners about 2H activity. But the pace of price gains appears to have slowed, at least temporarily, and lead times have leveled off as well. Any significant additional sheet price gains will hinge less on mill announcements […]
This week’s survey didn’t land quite as I expected. Some data points indicate that the price rally we’ve seen since late November will continue, but others suggest it might be running out of steam. For starters, if you’re an SMU subscriber, you can find our latest market survey results here. If you aren’t, this data […]
The London Metal Exchnage aluminium three-month price was moving up again this week, and peaked near $2,650 per tonne– its highest level since June 13, 2022, but late week trading saw a $100 correction. Still $200-300 higher than on the close of 2022, we can only assume a return to volatility following a 2022 Q4 […]
Steel mill lead times were flat to down this week, declining by an average of 0.5 weeks across all five products we track. Steel buyers reported mill lead times ranging from 4 to 6 weeks for hot rolled and plate, and 5 to 8 weeks for cold rolled, galvanized, and Galvalume. SMU’s hot-rolled lead time […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) competitive price advantage over imported steel continues, gaining ground over the past week as foreign HRC prices accelerated, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 9% cheaper than foreign prices this week, doubling the roughly 4.5% mark from last week after consideration of […]
Sheet prices continued to inch upward this week as market participants debated whether a third round of price increases from Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. would gain traction. Those who thought the $50-per-ton price hike would stick pointed to higher scrap costs, solid demand, and new capacity still struggling to ramp up. Those who questioned whether the increases […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Flat Rolled = 61.2 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 57.3 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat-rolled steel supply spiked in December, in line […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) continues to hold a competitive price advantage over imported steel, though it has declined over the past couple of weeks, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately just 1–8% cheaper than foreign prices this week, after consideration of freight costs, trader margins, and […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact Becca@SteelMarketUpdate.com […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact Becca@SteelMarketUpdate.com […]
Sheet prices are up again. I haven’t heard much quibbling with that. Upstream, scrap prices are moving up as they typically do in January. And downstream, we’re seeing service centers raising prices roughly in tandem with domestic mills – or at least holding them steady. No, 2023 is not starting off with a big bang […]
Sheet prices continued their upward trek this week on the heels of a $50-per-ton price increase announced by Nucor Corp. on Monday. Plate prices, which were not impacted by that move, were unchanged. Nucor’s increase, which matched one announced last month by Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., was seen by market participants as timed to reflect an upward […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) continues to hold a competitive price advantage over imported steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 3–13% cheaper than foreign prices this week, after consideration of freight costs, trader margins, and any applicable tariffs. This is the tenth consecutive week US prices have […]
Steel mill lead times increased again this week, extending by an average of 0.6 weeks across all five products we track. You may recall that lead times for hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized products were at or near multi-year lows in our late November market check. Lead times have increased an average of 0.9 weeks compared […]
US manufacturing activity slipped in December, for the second consecutive month, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The ISM’s December manufacturing PMI remains below the neutral 50.0 mark — the level typically dividing expansion from contraction. On the heels of a 29-month period of growth, this is now the lowest level since May […]
Sheet prices entered 2023 moving upward on expectations of higher prime scrap prices, and on a modest uptick in activity as some buyers looked to get ahead of anticipated higher steel prices as well. The gains also came on the heels of a price increase of $50 per ton ($2.50 per cwt) initiated last month […]
Steel mill lead times increased again this week, extending by an average of 0.3 weeks across all five products we track. Recall that lead times for hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized products were at or near multi-year lows in our late November market check. Lead times have increased an average of 0.8 weeks compared to levels […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
A significant percentage of steel buyers continue to report that mills willing to negotiate lower prices on new order prices. But that rate has been declining since early November, according to Steel Market Update’s recent market checks. Mills’ willingness to negotiate lower prices for sheet products is at its lowest point since late April, when tags […]
Prices of imported hot-rolled coil (HRC) remain higher than domestic steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 2–12% cheaper than foreign prices this week, after consideration of freight costs, trader margins and any applicable tariffs. This is the eighth consecutive week domestic prices have been cheaper […]
I’m eager to see the results of our survey later this week because I think it might shed some light on what appears to be a tale of two steel markets. Some of you are telling me that you’re already busy and will only get busier as people come back into the market after the […]
Sheet prices continued to inch upward this week, but the pace of gains slowed ahead of the holidays. Some market participants noted sharply higher offers from mills following a round of $50-per-ton ($2.50/cwt) price hikes last week. They also said activity and backlogs were strong heading into 2023. But others said mills were still offering […]
Sheet markets in most areas of the world have established a price floor within the last week. Still, in all markets we cover, demand weakness persists and threatens to either cap potential price increases or even reverse them. The CRUspi was little changed month-on-month (MoM) in December at 190.8 after nearly all markets reached a […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor Michael D’Angelo is a researcher and trader at Marex. In his role, Mike performs fundamental and quantitative analysis, which directly leads to actionable trading/risk management strategies across the base, precious, and ferrous metals derivative spaces. Prior to joining Marex, Mike received a BA in economics with a minor in finance from […]
Flat Rolled = 52.4 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 50.3 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat-rolled supply in November was steady month on month (m/m), according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of November, service centers had 52.4 shipping days of flat-rolled steel supply on an adjusted basis, compared […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) continues to hold a competitive price advantage over imported steel, though that advantage is slightly easing, according to our latest analysis. US HRC is theoretically 3–13% cheaper than foreign prices this week, after consideration of freight costs, trader margins, and any applicable tariffs. This is the seventh consecutive week domestic prices […]
On Monday and Tuesday of this week, SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. We are sharing the comments we received in each buyer’s own words rather than summarizing them in ours. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
There had been some debate around whether mills would announce another price hike before the holidays. That debate is settled. Cleveland-Cliffs, one of four major sheet producers in the US, aims to increase spot prices by $50/ton, and has set a target minimum base price for HRC at $750/ton. In the style of the former […]
Hot-rolled coil prices have risen for a third consecutive on the heels of a $60-per-ton ($3-per-cwt) post-Thanksgiving price hike by domestic mills. Also providing a lift to sheet prices are higher scrap costs, expectations of buyer restocking in the first quarter, and a sense among mills that momentum is on their side. A second round […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. aims to increase spot market base prices for flat-rolled steel by at least $50 per ton ($2.50 per cwt) effectively immediately. The steelmaker announced the price hike, a leading move, in a press release on Tuesday, Dec. 13. The increase applies equally to hot-rolled, cold-rolled and coated products. The company noted that the […]