The Chinese economy grew by 7.7 percent year-over-year (y/y) in the fourth quarter and by 7.7 percent in 2013 as a whole (Figure 1). The GDP growth rate has been in the range 7.4 percent to 7.9 percent for the last seven quarters. The Chinese economy is performing in line with the government’s goals at […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United […]
Financial Markets: The equities markets have stabilized after their reaction to the poor jobs number in December last week. The S+P closed at 1836 today, exactly 3 points higher than where I reported it last week. We are likely headed higher as it will take a lot more than a poor jobs report to scare […]
The Federal Reserve publishes a trade weighted index of the value of the US$ against a basket of the currencies of our major trading partners weekly and monthly. The H.10 weekly release contains daily rates of exchange of major foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar. The data are noon buying rates in New York for […]
Andre Marshall, CEO of Crunchrisk, LLC has the duties of outlining the hot rolled futures and busheling scrap futures markets for our readers (as well as taking a look at the financial markets, iron ore and commodities in general): On the March S+P future we closed at 1833, this is up from the 1806 level […]
Market sentiment in Asia is contrary to the United States. Finished steel sales have been very lackluster and slow. Main causes: • Exchange rates: US$ has been stronger recently, approximately 1.3-1.5% against most Asian currencies. This affect on exchange rates also is affecting Turkish buyers. On a currency exchange difference from 3 weeks ago, it […]
In the United States approximately 60 percent of the steel produced is through electric arc furnaces (EAF) used by so-called “mini-mills.” Electric arc furnaces use primarily scrap along with pig iron or DRI (direct reduced iron) to charge the furnaces. All of the long products (rebar, bar, angles, beams) are produced through EAF technology and […]
Chinese iron ore imports rose to 77,840,000 metric tons (MT) in November, a 14.8 percent increase over October tonnage. Compared to the same month one year ago, November imports were up 18.3 percent. Year-to-date (YTD) iron ore imports stood at 746,100,000 MT for the first 11 months of 2013. Steel scrap imports to China were […]
In the first half of 2013 the profit on one ton of steel sold in China was only 0.43 Yuan. At that rate, it took the sale of two tons to earn just enough money to buy an ice cream bar or Popsicle. A far cry from peak profits of 1000 Yuan per ton. The […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. The total number of indicators considered at present is thirty six. The present situation of eleven of the indicators based on historical standards was positive on December 28, the same as on November […]
Australian ports Port Hedland, Dampier and Cape Lambert resumed operations on Wednesday after Cyclone Christine tore through the area. The cyclone shut down operations and shipments but caused only minor infrastructure damage. BHP Billiton, Fortescue Metals Group and Rio Tinto reported all mines back in operation with no injuries to personnel. Only minor damage has […]
I thought our Premium Level readers might appreciate the latest forecast from Timna Tanners, Bank of America Merrill Lynch metals and mining analyst. Timna was a little “light” in her price forecast for 2013 hot rolled coil which was originally $555 average and was upgraded during the year to $622. Tanners believes some of the […]
According to The Steel Index (TSI), iron ore spot prices were reported at $132.7 per dry metric ton CFR Tianjin Port (China) for 62% Fe fines and $120.5/dmt on 58% Fe fines. Trading was quiet this week as TSI reported 62% Fe prices down $3.30/dmt and 58% Fe prices down $4.70/dmt over the past week. […]
Financial Markets: Well two weeks back the S+P held that 1775 zone it tested. It has since rallied back to new highs yesterday at 1806.75, this for the March future. Yesterday the Fed announced the beginning of the easing of the easing, or bond buyback program. The Fed will start to taper their bond buying […]
AK Steel announced its fourth quarter earnings guidance and expects to realize net income of $0.01 to $0.06 per diluted share. Steel shipments are expected to increase by 13 percent to 1,400,000 tons in the fourth quarter compared to 1,242,400 tons in the third quarter. The company says demand has increased, especially in carbon sales […]
We communicated with one of our main Asian contacts over the past few days. We wanted to know what they have been seeing regarding new carbon sheet price offers out of China for their European customers (this source does not ship steel to the USA). We also wanted to learn more about iron ore prices […]
Earnings for the shipping market are bullish right now according to the Dec. 4 MID-SHIP Report, with continued optimism for next year’s market. Average earnings for forward freight agreements in 2014 are expected to increase by 13 percent for Handysize, 18 percent for Supramax, 22 percent for Panamax and 28 percent for the Cape market. […]
In the first half of 2013 the profit on one ton of steel sold in China was only 0.43 Yuan. At that rate, it took the sale of two tons to earn just enough money to buy an ice cream bar or Popsicle. A far cry from peak profits of 1000 Yuan per ton. The […]
We continue to get positive feedback regarding the new SMU website. As with any new site as complicated as ours is there will be a few bugs and a learning curve to negotiate through in the early stages. We are working through those and believe we are offering a unique experience for those involved in […]
Brazilian mining company, Vale SA, plans to sell its share of CSA owned by ThyssenKrupp according to a report published by the Wall Street Journal. Jose Carlos Martins, head of Vale’s Ferrous division and Strategy told WSJ that Vale typically invests in Brazilian steel plants to increase domestic steel production and then sells its share […]
The S+P has stumbled in the last week, if you can call retracing 1.5% off the highs in a 175 percent 6 year rally stumbling! As I mentioned two weeks back, we were likely to test resistance at 1800 for a bit before retracing slightly. Since this market doesn’t even recognize retracements anymore, we didn’t […]
The recent resurgence of the steel industry in Japan has resulted in a scrap shortage in the Far East, despite lackluster finished steel sales. Japan’s resurgence is a partial result of Abenomics due to the weakening yen (currently at 101). Automobile sales, appliances and public infrastructure spending/reconstruction has resulted in very healthy steel demand in […]
Shipping markets in the Gulf are seeing some strong rates as producers are anxious to fix and load cargoes before the holidays and year end according to the November 20th MID-SHIP Report. Shipping rates in the The Cape and Panamax markets have eased in the past two weeks but Chinese steel mill restocking of iron […]
The total number of Key Market Indicators considered at present is thirty six. The present situation of eleven of the indicators based on historical standards was positive on November 21st the same as on October 31st but there were two changes. We changed the situation of demand for commercial and industrial bank loans from green […]
Iron Ore Resilient is the word best used to describe this market with Iron Ore still $136.6/MT on the index. A third ISM number out of China above 50, this time for October, has some traders quite buoyed by the growth potential there. Growth out of China is as clear as mud as always, but […]
Severstal NA reported sales volume increased 2.6 percent quarter-over-quarter to 1.2 million tonnes in the third quarter due to improved sales of CRC and galvanized products. Revenue was reported at $993 million, up 4.2 percent from $953 million in the second quarter. Higher sales volume and pricing along with lower costs at Severstal Columbus resulted […]
Cia Siderúrgica Nacional SA (CSN) reported a record third quarter with net revenue of $4.7 billion reais ($2.02 billion) , up 15 percent from the second quarter and 23 percent from third quarter 2012. EBITDA rose 51 percent from second quarter to $1.7 billion reais ($731 million) due to strong performance in its steel and […]
TSI Iron Ore: Market Remains Firm Iron ore prices have continued to be strong as Rebar futures have bounced off recent months lows last week and spot steel in China continues to go higher. Over the past couple of weeks iron ore prices have pushed up around $5/ton down the curve with Q1 trading around […]
Vale reported net earnings of $3.5 billion in the third quarter, up 120 percent from the same quarter in 2012. Iron ore production was 85.9 million tonnes, up 17.3 percent from the previous quarter and the second best quarter of production in Vale’s history. Iron ore production for the first nine months of 2013 was […]
ArcelorMittal reported a net loss of $193 million in the third quarter. Sales of $19.6 billion were down from $19.7 in the second quarter and $20.2 billion in the third quarter of 2012. EBITDA of $1.7 billion was reported for the quarter, 24 percent higher than the same quarter in 2012 and well above analyst […]