As US sheet prices continue the rally that began in late November, overall import levels remain relatively low. But lead times have extended and so too have mill asking prices. US mills are now asking for $900 per short ton ($45 per cwt) for hot-rolled coil. Market contacts in Europe note that exports from India […]
There is still a debate on whether the US will enter into a recession during 2023. The beginning of the year has been slower, but overall end-use demand has been holding up relatively well. The mid-part of the year, Q2-Q3, is where most forecasts peg a downturn. Therefore, perhaps the largest challenges are still looming. […]
Inflation indeed! Hot-rolled (HR) spot indexes have risen about $40 per short ton (ST) since the beginning of February. HR futures settlements for the period between Feb. 1 and Feb. 16 also reflect rising prices. The average weighted price for Q2’23 is up over $108/ST to $902/ST; Q3’23 up $65/ST to $853/ST; and Q4’23 up […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) kept its competitive price advantage over imported steel – now on a 16-week run. However, it has continued to lose momentum over the past four weeks, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 2.2% cheaper than foreign prices this week, down from 3.4% […]
The “new normal,” we have heard that a whole lot since the pandemic took hold. Are we really seeing a paradigm shift? Or is it just a trendy phrase? But, first, let’s talk about price hikes. If three’s a crowd, then what’s five – a herd? The week got off to a quick start early […]
Sheet prices rose again this week as a blitz of $50-per-ton ($2.50/cwt) price hikes spurred the market higher. Steel Market Update’s hot-rolled coil price now stands at $825 per ton, up $15 per ton from last week and nearing the highest levels we’ve seen since late July. The difference: HRC prices were on their way […]
US apparent steel supply rose 2% in December to 8.2 million net tons compared to the previous month, according to data from the US Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). Apparent steel supply is determined by combining domestic steel mill shipments and finished US steel imports, then deducting total US […]
The Covid-19-related shutdowns and subsequent supply chain disruptions emphasized the importance of onshoring. Geopolitical uncertainty, the war in Ukraine, and recent sovereign security issues, have added to global supply chain concerns. In the US, new legislation, the IRA, USMCA, and Build Back Better have focused on securing and bolstering North American manufacturing conditions. The task […]
Preliminary Census data indicate that steel imports will have totaled 2.48 million net tons for the month of January. While up nearly 13% from the prior month, January levels are still down more than 3% compared to the previous 12-month average. Recall that monthly import levels declined nearly 17% month on month (MoM) in November, […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor Michael D’Angelo is a researcher and trader at Marex. In his role, Mike performs fundamental and quantitative analysis, which directly leads to actionable trading/risk management strategies across the base, precious, and ferrous metals derivative spaces. Prior to joining Marex, Mike received a BA in economics with a minor in finance from […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Thais Terzian, Analyst Anton Perevezentsev, and Research Analyst Rosy Finlayson On February 6-7, a series of devastating earthquakes struck several provinces in southeastern Turkey and northwestern Syria, leaving thousands dead and many injured. The quakes also resulted in a massive destruction to the infrastructure of both countries. The first quake measured […]
Ternium Mexico president César A. Jiménez sees the company’s investment in Pesquería, outside of Monterrey, as an opportunity to replace imports with steel produced in Mexico. Jiménez sat down with SMU managing editor Michael Cowden at SMU’s Tampa Steel Conference for a Fireside Chat. Beyond Pesquería, he gave his thoughts on a range of topics, […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) continues its competitive price advantage run over imported steel – now 15 weeks running – though it did lose some momentum week on week (WoW), according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 3.2% cheaper than foreign prices this week, down from 7.4% last […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
The outbreak of war in Ukraine triggered an energy crisis in Europe. Gas and consequently electricity prices soared and remain high. European production of commodities such as ammonia, aluminum, and zinc which require significant energy and/or natural gas were and remain disrupted to differing degrees. Natural gas is supposed to be a ‘transition fuel’ in […]
The US long products market was largely stable this month, as end-use demand remained subdued, and buyers continued to work through inventories. Scrap prices rose in January, fuelling bullish sentiments, but sluggish activity limited any expansion in margins. As a result, rebar, merchant bar, and structurals were all flat month-on-month (MoM). Wire rod prices decreased […]
Now that the new year is one-twelfth over, the changes from last year are taking shape. In foreign policy and trade, a primary focus has changed from economics to geopolitics. Trade between the West and China, which has been the key metric for the last 20 years, has tapered off, although it remains strong. Trade […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) kept its competitive price advantage run over imported steel – now 14 weeks running – though it did lose momentum week on week (WoW), according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 7% cheaper than foreign prices this week, down slightly from 8% last […]
Evraz North America Inc. said it would lay off workers in Canada because of high volumes of low-priced imports. The company noted that “unfairly traded imports” continue to negatively impact its Canadian operations. “Due to these imports, and starting next month, Evraz North America will make production adjustments that will regrettably result in layoffs at its Canadian […]
North American Stainless (NAS) has announced a $244-million expansion at its Ghent, Ky., facility. The stainless steel producer said the expansion will boost its total capacity by 20% to 200,000 tons annually. The project, which will add 70 new jobs to the plant, was prompted by increased customer demand for stainless products. “We are proud […]
When President Trump imposed steel tariffs in 2018, he included an exclusion mechanism to liberate customers from tariffs on imported products that were not produced domestically. This was to permit steel-using manufacturers to continue to compete. Steel rolling mills that rely on imported slabs were among the largest users of the exclusion mechanism. When regulations […]
I’ve written in my last two columns about various factors that indicate the price rally that began after Thanksgiving might be running out of steam. You know the list by now: low capacity utilization, lead times not pushing out in tandem with prices, and a consensus that prices will peak this month or next. All […]
The domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) competitive price advantage over imported steel has been on a 13-week run, and it’s been gaining ground over the past week, with foreign HRC prices still largely on the rise, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 8% cheaper than foreign prices this week, […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact becca@steelmarketupdate.com to […]
US apparent steel supply dropped 6% in November to 8 million net tons compared to the previous month, according to data from the US Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). Apparent steel supply is determined by combining domestic steel mill shipments and finished US steel imports, then deducting total US […]
Preliminary Census data indicate that steel imports totaled 2.24 million net tons for the month of December. This is up 11% compared to November, a slight rebound month on month (MoM) after recording the lowest level since February 2021 the month prior. Import levels had been gradually falling since reaching a 26-month high in March […]
US Steel is running all three blast furnaces at its steel mill in Košice, Slovakia, company spokespeople said. “I can confirm that all three blast furnaces have been in operation since the start of this week,” one said in an email to SMU. The Slovakian subsidiary of the Pittsburgh-based steelmaker restarted the No. 1 furnace in […]
This week’s survey didn’t land quite as I expected. Some data points indicate that the price rally we’ve seen since late November will continue, but others suggest it might be running out of steam. For starters, if you’re an SMU subscriber, you can find our latest market survey results here. If you aren’t, this data […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor Michael D’Angelo is a researcher and trader at Marex. In his role, Mike performs fundamental and quantitative analysis, which directly leads to actionable trading/risk management strategies across the base, precious, and ferrous metals derivative spaces. Prior to joining Marex, Mike received a BA in economics with a minor in finance from […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) competitive price advantage over imported steel continues, gaining ground over the past week as foreign HRC prices accelerated, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 9% cheaper than foreign prices this week, doubling the roughly 4.5% mark from last week after consideration of […]