In the last months, 14 of the 16 currencies that Steel Market Update tracks were down against the dollar, led by Turkey down by 29.4 percent, and Russia and South Africa both down by 8.5 percent. The Chinese yuan has declined by 7.9 percent in the last three months. Please see the end of this […]
Production increased by 1.33 percent in May and for the first time exceeded 150 million metric tons, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of World Steel Association data. In three months through May, China grew by 7.7 percent year over year as the rest of the world grew by 3.3 percent. In 2018, […]
The climb in home prices eased somewhat in April, according to the latest data from the S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller National Home Price Index. The national index showed a 6.4 percent annual gain in April, down from 6.5 percent in March. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 6.2 percent, down from 6.4 percent […]
New home sales took off in May, soaring 6.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 689,000 units from a downwardly revised April rate of 689,000, according to data from HUD and the U.S. Census Bureau. May sales were at the second-highest level since the Great Recession, driven by sales in the South. “Sales […]
Existing home sales declined for the second month in a row, dipping 0.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.43 million in May, said the National Association of Realtors. Compared to a year ago, sales are down 3.0 percent. The sales pace is much weaker than it should be considering the solid economy […]
Housing starts rose 5.0 percent in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,350,000, the highest level since July 2007, according to data from the Commerce Department. Starts were 20.3 percent above the rate in May 2017. Single-family housing starts rose 3.9 percent from April and multi-family housing of five units or more jumped […]
Total construction spending through April has expanded for eight straight months, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Commerce Department data. The growth of total construction on a rolling three-month basis year over year has increased every month since August last year and reached 6.0 percent in April. Construction expenditures data is developed by […]
In the last 12 months, manufacturing employment has grown by 2.1 percent and construction employment by 4.1 percent, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data—both positive indicators of future steel sales. Table 1 breaks total employment down into service and goods-producing industries and then into private and government employees. Most of the goods-producing employees work […]
The American iron and steel industry supports nearly two million jobs and contributes more than $520 billion to the U.S. economy, when considering the direct, indirect (supplier) and induced impacts of related commerce, claims a study released last week by the research firm John Dunham & Associates. The study also shows that the iron and […]
In May, consumer confidence improved to the highest level since December 2000, according to the latest findings from The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Survey. The composite value of consumer confidence in May was 128.0, up from 125.6 in April. While consumer confidence increased in May from April’s downwardly revised result, the three-month moving average (3MMA) […]
Global steel production was at an all-time high in March and declined only slightly in April. Production declined by 0.07 percent in April month over month and grew by 4.0 percent in three months through April year over year, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of World Steel Association data. China grew by […]
Home prices are continuing to rise, according to the latest S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Index. The U.S. National Home Price NSA Index gained 6.45 percent in March. The 20-City composite was up 6.8 percent year-over-year with no change from the previous month. Seattle, Las Vegas, and San Francisco reported the highest year-over-year gains, at 23.0 percent, […]
Sales of new homes softened in April after a 4 percent jump in March and a relatively strong first quarter. Sales of new single-family homes dipped 1.5 percent in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 662,000, according to Commerce Department data. New home sales still exceeded the year-ago rate by 11.6 percent. The […]
Housing starts slowed in April, falling 3.6 percent from revised March data to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,287,000. Compared to a year ago, starts increased 10.5 percent, reports the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). Most of the April decline was a result of a 12.6 percent plunge in multifamily housing after making […]
The California Energy Commission voted unanimously last week to require solar panels for new homes beginning in 2020. Included in the plan are new single-family homes, condos and apartment buildings up to three stories high. “Homes under the (new) standards will use about 50 percent less energy than those under the previous 2016 standards,” said […]
Employment increases in manufacturing and construction are signposts for steel sales activity. 2018 is starting off well. Rising employment and wages are the basis of GDP growth because personal consumption accounts for almost 70 percent of GDP. Steel consumption is related to GDP; therefore, we need to be aware of changes to the employment picture. […]
Total construction spending has expanded for seven straight months, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Department of Commerce data. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year increased from 2.1 percent in January to 2.2 percent in February to 2.3 percent in March this year. On a rolling […]
Economic growth is expected to continue in 2018 followed by a mild recession in 2019, says ITR Economics. Concern over looming U.S. tariffs on aluminum and steel, as well as retaliatory Chinese tariffs, aligns with the HARDI/ITR quarterly forecast of macroeconomic deceleration in the U.S. economy late in 2018. Steel Market Update is a member […]
Key market indicators tracked by Steel Market Update are at an all-time high for April but have shown signs of weakening in the past few months. Data released in April shows that 18 of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 5 negative. The balance is within the historically normal band. Trends took a […]
This is Steel Market Update’s first Key Market Indicators report since April as we have renegotiated some data supply contracts and made a few changes to the content. The report still summarizes 36 data streams that we believe critically describe the state of the steel market and provide forward guidance to steel buyers. Data released […]
Steel Market Update is sharing this Premium content with Executive-level readers. For more information about upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Key market indicators in December were at an all-time high in the history of Steel Market Update’s analysis, but trends are deteriorating. This report summarizes 36 data streams that we believe critically describe […]
Global steel demand will reach 1,616.1 million tons in 2018, an increase of 1.8 percent over 2017, estimates the World Steel Association in its spring Short Range Outlook. In 2019, WSA forecasts global demand will grow by 0.7 percent to 1,626.7 million tons. “In the next couple of years, the global economic situation is expected […]
ITR Economics continues to expect economic growth in 2018 followed by a mild recession in 2019. Concern over looming tariffs aligns with the HARDI/ITR quarterly forecast of macroeconomic deceleration in the U.S. economy late in 2018. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, the Heating, […]
Sales of single-family homes jumped 4 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 694,000, according to information from HUD and the Census Bureau. Sales of new homes were 8.8 percent above the March 2017 estimate of 638,000. Commerce estimates the number of new homes for sale at the end of March was […]
Existing home sales in March rose 1.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.60 million. Tight inventory and affordability have kept sales 1.2 percent below year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors. “Robust gains last month in the Northeast and Midwest – a reversal from the weather-impacted declines seen in February […]
Low inventory continues to drive up home prices across the U.S. The S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller National Home Price NSA Index rose 6.3 percent in March, up from 6.1 percent in February. “Year-over-year prices measured by the National index have increased continuously for the past 70 months, since May 2012. Over that time, the price […]
The International Monetary Fund has made an upward revision to its forecast for global GDP growth in 2018 and 2019. The IMF updates its World Economic Outlook (WEO) in April and October each year. The IMF blog last Tuesday stated: “The world economy continues to show broad-based momentum. Against that positive backdrop, the prospect of […]
Once each quarter, Steel Market Update publishes the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, but we include them in our reports because of the importance of China in the global steel scene, and these numbers are all that’s available. […]
Housing starts increased more than expected in March due to a rebound in multi-family construction. Housing starts grew 1.9 percent from February to March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,319,000. Year-over-year, housing starts leapt 10.9 percent, reports the National Association of Home Builders. Single-family housing starts were weak in March at a rate […]
Key market indicators tracked by Steel Market Update in March remain very positive, but took a small step back from the all-time highs reported in February. Data released in March shows that 18 of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 5 negative. The balance is within the band of historically normal. Trends deteriorated […]