Sales of new single-family homes slowed in January following upward revisions of data for the previous two months. Sales dipped 6.9 percent from December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 607,000, said Commerce in a delayed report. The January rate fell 4.1 percent from the year-ago estimate of 633,000. “Combined with lower mortgage interest […]
Housing starts jumped 18.6 percent in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.23 million, says a delayed report from the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. The increase was higher than the single-digit rise expected by economists. Single-family starts soared 25.1 percent from December to a rate of 926,000. […]
We live in a time when nothing is as it seems and uncertainty rules the roost. This can make for a daunting task when considering when, what and how much steel you need to purchase at any point in time. It appears the second price increase announcement out of Nucor moved some of the end […]
We live in a time when nothing is as it seems and uncertainty rules the roost. This can make for a daunting task when considering when, what and how much steel you need to purchase at any point in time. It appears the second price increase announcement out of Nucor moved some of the end […]
As markets transition from one phase to another, the process can sometimes be “messy” until there is a clear direction as momentum shifts. Many steel buyers reported a higher sense of confidence that the market has “turned the corner” and will move higher from here. However, the feelings are not universally shared as some buyers […]
Sales of new single-family houses rose 3.7 percent from November to December to a seasonally adjusted rate of 621,000, says the latest report by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. November’s data was revised downward to 599,000 homes sold from a previously reported rate of 657,000. Sales fell 2.4 […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison U.S. economic data for December and January are beginning to come in now that the federal government is funded for the remainder of this fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30. December housing starts showed a weak end to 2018 as the total of 1.247 million units for 2018 was […]
Housing starts plummeted 11.2 percent in December to a more than two-year low, signaling continued slowing in the housing market. Single-family starts fell 6.7 percent from November, while multifamily starts plunged 22 percent. “Looking back, the December drop in housing production correlated with the peak increase in mortgage rates and corresponding decline in builder sentiment,” […]
Existing home sales fell for the third month in January for the lowest seasonally adjusted annual rate since November 2015, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales dipped 1.2 percent from December to a SAAR of 4.94 million homes last month. Compared to a year ago, sales were down 8.5 percent. “Existing home sales […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison The partial U.S. government shutdown, which began on Dec. 22, 2018, lasted 35 days and is the longest shutdown in U.S. history. President Trump decided to re-open the government until Feb. 15 to allow time for additional negotiations regarding the border security issues. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that […]
Key Market Indicators in January, indicators of the present situation, remained strong, but trends deteriorated to the weakest level in two years. This report summarizes 36 data streams that we believe critically describe the state of and provide forward guidance for the steel market. Due to the government shutdown, 13 of the 36 indicators were […]
Sales of new homes soared in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 657,000, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Sales increased 16.9 percent from October, but dropped 7.7 percent from the November 2017 estimate. The median sales price for new homes was $302,400 […]
Home prices are continuing to rise but at a slower rate, reports S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index was nearly flat in November, slipping 0.1 percent to a 5.2 percent annual gain for the month. Indices showed a steady drop in price gains throughout 2018. The 10-City […]
Existing-home sales ended the year with a steep decline, tumbling 6.4 percent in December from November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.99 million. The decline in sales was widespread across all four U.S. regions, according to the National Association of Realtors. On a year-over-year basis, existing home sales fell 10.3 percent. December sales […]
Housing start data is on hiatus as the partial government shutdown continues. The National Association of Home Builders, however, estimates that single-family starts ended 2018 at 876,000 units, a 3 percent gain from the 2017 total of 848,900 in 2017. Builder confidence increased in January, rising two points to 58 on the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing […]
Indicators of economic activity in the U.S. do not predict an imminent recession, but the yield curve and housing permits should be on our radar screen. Recessions are defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the organization tasked with identifying when a recession starts and ends, as back-to-back quarters of negative economic growth. […]
Indicators of economic activity in the U.S. do not predict an imminent recession. This month we have revamped our recession monitor report to make it more time sensitive. The reason for steel people in particular to know where we are in the business cycle is that steel demand is related to GDP but is vastly […]
The Christmas holidays slowed freight movement last week, as expected, but shippers still scrambled to find available trucks. A capacity crunch set load-to-truck ratios soaring and increased rates for dry van, refrigerated and flatbed freight. DAT Trendlines reports the flatbed ratio rose to 26.1 loads-per-truck from 19.5 the previous week. National flatbed rates increased by […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The growth of U.S. GDP in third-quarter 2018 came in at 3.36 percent, but the mix of contributors was concerning. On Friday, the Bureau […]
Rising housing affordability issues continue to hinder single-family construction even as total housing starts increased in November, reports the National Association of Home Builders. According to newly released data from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department, overall housing starts rose 3.2 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted annual […]
Tenaris, a global manufacturer and distributor of energy tubular products, has begun the second phase of its service center expansion in Midland, Texas. The project will add pipe and tube storage and service capabilities for customers in the Permian basin and other key shale plays across the U.S. Phase 2 consists of several stages of […]
Editor’s note: The following analysis of the U.S. rod and bar market was contributed by CRU Steel Analyst Ryan McKinley. Steel Market Update will periodically expand its coverage of the steel market with long products content from CRU as an added benefit to our members. U.S. mills announced wire rod price increases of $1.50/cwt across […]
How long will this economic cycle last? That is the difficult question HARDInomics posed to Anirban Basu, Chairman and CEO of Sage Policy Group. Currently, the economy is at the peak of an economic cycle, said Basu, and is experiencing a “49-year low in unemployment, a monthly job creation winning streak that is unprecedented, surging […]
Construction in the United States is experiencing strong growth led by nonresidential building and infrastructure expenditures, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of the latest Commerce Department Construction Put in Place data. On Dec. 3, Commerce released CPIP expenditures data for October. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year […]
Indicators of economic activity in the U.S. do not predict an imminent recession, but the yield curve and housing permits should be on our radar screen. Steel Market Update has been producing this report every three months. We are now increasing the frequency to two months as the pundits are discussing the timing of the […]
Sales of new single-family homes dropped 8.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 544,000 from an upwardly revised September estimate of 597,000 units, according to the latest data by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. October sales were at the lowest sales pace since December 2016 […]
Home price increases are slowing, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index. The National Home Price NSA Index reported a 5.5 percent annual gain in September, down from 5.7 percent in August and the second consecutive decline. Sixteen of the 20 cities reported smaller annual price gains. Gains are now at the lowest level […]
After six months of decline, existing-home sales showed some improvement in October. Completed transactions for single-family homes, condos, townhomes and co-ops increased 1.4 percent from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.22 million, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. The increase was tempered by a 5.1 percent drop in sales […]
Builder confidence, as measured by the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, fell eight points in November to its lowest reading since mid-2016. The index posting of 60 was still in positive territory, but indicated caution among builders. “Builders report that they continue to see signs of consumer demand for new homes but that customers are […]
Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell four points to 56 in December on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) as concerns over housing affordability persist. Although this is the lowest HMI reading since May 2015, builder sentiment remains in positive territory. “We are hearing from builders […]