One of our key Asian steel and commodity trading sources has provided SMU with details about the Chinese steel markets as well as what is happening in Asia,including comments about the circumvention suit which involves Vietnam: Export offers from China have basically risen by USD20/mt in the past two weeks, and it has become a […]
With the end of October at hand, it is time for SMU to take another look at shipping conditions around the U.S. Seaborne MID-SHIP is seeing improvement in freight rates and fuel prices and an increase in period chartering activity for seaborne cargo. A surge in coal pricing in the past few weeks has resulted […]
The conversation has begun regarding when flat rolled steel prices will end their slide and reverse course. Flat rolled steel prices have been in a steep decline since mid-June 2016 when benchmark hot rolled prices peaked at $635 per ton ($31.75/cwt, SMU index average) FOB domestic mill. Since then steel prices have retreated $145 per […]
Trading company sources have been telling SMU to expect foreign flat rolled steel prices, especially light gauge galvanized prices, to rise in the coming weeks. Traders are advising SMU that slab and hot band substrate prices have been rising around the world thus increasing the cost for many conversion mills to produce cold rolled and […]
This report summarizes total steel supply from 2003 through August 2016 and year on year changes. It then compares domestic mill shipments and total supply to the market. It quantifies market direction by product and enables a side by side comparison of the degree to which imports have absorbed demand. Sources are the American Iron […]
The following report on steel exports is from the American Institute for International Steel (AIIS). We thought our readers would enjoy looking at exports from a different perspective: Falls Church, VA. October 11, 2016. Steel exports jumped 10 percent from July to August, nearly returning to their level of a year earlier. The 812,011 net […]
Steel Market Update ferrous scrap sources advised us over the weekend that scrap negotiations have wrapped up between the dealers and the domestic mills and that steel mills, once again, have walked away the winners as scrap prices dropped across the country. However, the weakest areas are those furthest away from the east coast where […]
China’s Commerce Ministry criticized the European Union for antidumping duties imposed Friday on imports of hot rolled steel and plate. The Ministry called the investigation methods unfair. A spokesperson for the Ministry said Chinese steel imports cannot be affecting EUs steel prices because they only account for 5 percent of the European market. “Reckless trade […]
According to the latest data released from the U.S. Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute, apparent steel supply for the month of August 2016 was 9,115,482 net tons and the percentage of imports was 26.2 percent of the market. Apparent steel supply is calculated by adding domestic steel shipments and finished […]
August steel exports totaled 812,010 net tons (736,644 metric tons), up 10.0 percent over July but down 1.7 percent from August 2015. This is the highest export level seen since August 2015, while last month we saw exports at a 7 month low (738,096 tons). Total August figures are above the thee month moving average […]
Licensed data for September was reported by the Steel Import Monitoring System of the US Commerce Department on October 4th. An explanation of the methodology that we at SMU use to analyze the trade data is given at the end of this piece. All volumes in this analysis are reported in short tons. Total rolled […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) reported final census data regarding foreign steel imports for the month of August and revised new license data regarding the month of September. The DOC reported August imports of 3,055,600 net tons and September license data has the month below 3.0 million tons to approximately 2.8 million tons. The […]
China is not likely to meet its steel capacity reduction target of 45 million tons this year. According to data from the World Steel Association, steel output in China has fallen only 0.1 percent from January to August with production at 536 million tonnes. Steel production rose 3 percent year-over-year in August and increased 2.6 […]
Global manufacturing is being hampered by weak trade said IHS Markit. The September JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI, compiled by Markit, rose slightly to 51.0 from 50.8 in August but failed to show any significant growth in the global manufacturing industry. The global report of 28 countries showed only eight reporting deteriorating manufacturing conditions in […]
On Friday Steel Market Update spoke with a number of trading companies as well as end users who are impacted by the circumvention complaint filed against cold rolled and coated steels coming out of Vietnam. The contention of the domestic mills is that the surge of Vietnamese flat rolled comes at the same time as […]
The annualized GDP growth rate in the third estimate of the second quarter of 2016 was 1.41 percent which was slightly above the consensus expectation of 1.3 percent and an improvement from the first estimate which was 1.2 percent. GDP is measured and reported in chained 2009 dollars and in the third estimate of Q2 […]
In light of the recent circumvention complaint against China/Vietnam we thought our readers would be interested in learning what countries have been in the top ten exporters of galvanized steel to the United States beginning in 2008 through July 2016. Canada has consistently been a major supplier of galvanized to the U.S. market. SMU thinks […]
Freight reports are mixed for August and September. Seaborne freight is seeing a resurgence in volume and pricing while U.S. truck, rail and river freight has been somewhat weak. August was reported as a good month for cargo shipments on the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway. Seaborne An increase in China demand for coking […]
On Monday of this week the US Department of Commerce released Preliminary Census Data for August foreign steel imports. Based on the latest data August came in a smidgen below 3.0 million net tons. The DOC has August foreign steel imports as totaling 2,988,724 net tons. This is 277,325 tons fewer than the month of […]
Production in the month of August at 134,125,000 metric tons was up by 0.2 percent from July and the three month moving average (3MMA), that we prefer as a measure, was down by 0.13 from July. Capacity is 2.35 billion tonnes per year and the 3MMA of capacity utilization in August was 68.8 percent. Figure […]
On Thursday, September 22, 2016 four steel mills: ArcelorMittal USA, Nucor, AK Steel and US Steel submitted petitions asking the US Department of Commerce to review imports of cold rolled and corrosion resistant steels (galvanized and Galvalume) arriving in the United States from Vietnam as actually being a way for China to circumvent antidumping and […]
Steel Market Update reached out to trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz and to review the Vietnam CORE (corrosion resistant steels = galvanized and Galvalume) filing by California Steel and Steel Dynamics. The filing was made by the law firm Schagrin Associates. I only have time for a brief response after quickly reviewing the Schagrin filing asking […]
We might as well get the debate started. The circumvention complaints against Vietnam have prompted comments and a healthy discussion is needed as the industry tries to wrap its collective mind around the facts of the latest request of the US Department of Commerce to stop Vietnamese exports of cold rolled and coated steels. We […]
Earlier today California Steel and Steel Dynamics filed a Request for Circumvention Ruling with the U.S. Department of Commerce against Vietnam. One of the trading companies Steel Market Update spoke to this afternoon termed the complaint a “game breaker” for steel trading companies importing foreign steel who will now shy away from any country that […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: The focus in HR this past week has been primarily in Q4’16 and 1H’17. Futures prices have dropped to the psychological $500 level […]
Baosteel and Wuhan Iron and Steel (WISCO), the fifth and eleventh largest steel manufacturers in the world, are merging to form a new entity, China Baowu Iron and Steel Group. The combination of assets will give the new company an estimated 60 million tons of capacity, placing it as second largest producer behind ArcelorMittal. Both […]
SMU attended the regional meeting of the Associated Steel Distributors (ASD) on Sept. 15 in Cleveland, Ohio. The meeting was well attended for a presentation by Cliffs Natural Resources CEO Lourenco Goncalves. Mr. Goncalves spoke about the environment, trade and how conditions in the iron ore industry impact global steel supply, or, in recent years, […]
U.S. ports contacted by Steel Market Update report steel imports are beginning to increase in recent months after dropping in the first half of the year. Port of Houston Authority reports that steel imports were down 59 percent through August 2016 for a total of 1.56 million tons. Steel exports also plunged by 45 percent […]
Tenaris is recalling workers to its Tenaris Algoma Tubes factory in Sault Ste. Marie. The facility which make seamless pipe for the oil and gas industry has been idle since February 8 due to continued adverse market conditions in the energy sector. Tenaris Algoma Tubes said it will recall 120-150 employees and restart production in […]
We don’t think the domestic steel mills would have envisioned winning virtually all of their antidumping (AD) and countervailing duty (CVD) suits and still have foreign steel imports at, or above, 3 million net tons per month. Unfortunately for the domestic mills that is the reality that is sinking into the market (and probably a […]