GDP growth slowed in the first quarter, but on a trailing 12-month basis has improved for the last seven quarters, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of government data. The first estimate of GDP in the first quarter was 2.32 percent, down from 2.87 percent in Q4 2017. Economy.com reported: “U.S. GDP growth moderated […]
Steel Market Update’s scrap sources expect ferrous scrap prices to drop by at least $10-$20 per ton in May, and possibly as much as $30-$40 per ton, as spring weather increases the scrap flows and boosts supply. Adding to the downward pressure on prices, they report, is weakness in the global market. One dealer in […]
Steel Market Update’s scrap sources expect ferrous scrap prices to drop by at least $10-$20 per ton in May, and possibly as much as $30-$40 per ton, as spring weather increases the scrap flows and boosts supply. Adding to the downward pressure on prices, they report, is weakness in the global market. One dealer in […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: Product Exclusions—The Latest No objections to product exclusions had been posted on the regulations.gov website as of April 29. The BIS regulations require objections to be submitted to BIS within 30 days after a request has been posted. […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: Product Exclusions—The Latest No objections to product exclusions had been posted on the regulations.gov website as of April 29. The BIS regulations require objections to be submitted to BIS within 30 days after a request has been posted. […]
ITR Economics continues to expect economic growth in 2018 followed by a mild recession in 2019. Concern over looming tariffs aligns with the HARDI/ITR quarterly forecast of macroeconomic deceleration in the U.S. economy late in 2018. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, the Heating, […]
Steel quotas may be in the cards for Brazil as it attempts to negotiate its way into a permanent exemption from the 25 percent steel tariffs scheduled to go into effect on May 1. U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross reportedly told Brazil’s Minister of Affairs that the quickest way to win exemptions would be to […]
President Trump’s tariffs on steel imports, designed to protect steel industry jobs, are likely to lead to a net loss in U.S. employment, at least in the short to medium run, contend economists with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The tariffs, and their effects on steel prices, are likely to cost more jobs […]
U.S. steel exports in February totaled 805,353 net tons (730,605 metric tons), down 3.1 percent from the month before, and down 2.7 percent from February 2017. Total exports have averaged around 820,000-840,000 tons over the last few months. The total February export figure is above the three-month moving average (average of December 2017, January 2018 […]
U.S. demand for steel sheet products expanded slowly through February, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and the U.S. Department of Commerce. Apparent supply is a proxy for market demand. Demand momentum for sheet products in total was negative in the three months through February, […]
February apparent steel supply declined over January to 8,773,912 net tons, according to the latest data from the U.S. Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute. Apparent steel supply is calculated by adding domestic steel shipments and finished U.S. steel imports, then subtracting total U.S. steel exports. February apparent steel supply saw […]
On Monday, April 9, trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz shared the following observations regarding Section 232, Section 301 and other trade-related issues with Steel Market Update. Here is what he had to say: Another eventful day in Washington. Stocks rallied today as fears of a trade war “eased,” at least in the minds of Wall Street […]
In Q1 2018, steel sheet product imports increased and plate products decreased compared to Q4 2017. Total rolled steel imports increased by 3.6 percent, and sheet products by 0.5 percent, in the three months through March compared to three months through December 2017. Plate products decreased by 9.7 percent on the same basis, according to […]
Major developments yesterday in the escalating trade war between China and the United States could have serious consequences for global commerce. Washington trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz offers the following assessment of the trade situation: The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released a list of about 1,400 tariff line items. Tariffs of 25 percent on […]
Major developments this week in the escalating trade war between China and the United States could have serious consequences for global commerce. Washington trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz offers the following assessment of the trade situation: The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released a list of about 1,400 tariff line items. Tariffs of 25 percent […]
China will control the global ferrous scrap market, it’s just a matter of time, says scrap expert John Harris of Aaristic Services, Inc. China produces about half the world’s steel every year and has accumulated a scrap reservoir more than sufficient to meet its domestic steelmaking needs. There is little reason for China to import […]
Tensions between Washington and Beijing over China’s policies toward U.S. and foreign investment and the multibillion-dollar trade surplus with the United States continued to escalate this week. In retaliation for the Trump administration’s tariffs of 25 percent on steel and 10 percent on aluminum, which took effect March 23, China has imposed tariffs on up […]
Brazil is one of seven countries granted a temporary retrieve from Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum. If the 25 percent tariff is imposed on the Brazilian steel industry, it would impact 13 percent of the nation’s steel exports and lead to losses estimated at $350 million annually, according to a new study by […]
Manufacturing activity expanded in March, though at a slower rate than February, reports the Institute for Supply Management. ISM’s March PMI registered 59.3 percent, down from 60.8 percent in the February survey of corporate purchasing managers. Any reading above 50 indicates growth. New orders continued to expand in March, although slowing 2.3 percentage points from […]
U.S. GDP grew by 2.86 percent in fourth-quarter 2017. In its third estimate of GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the figure upward from its first estimate of 2.53 percent. While still positive, U.S. economic growth in the last quarter of the year showed a decline from the strong performance of the second […]
I just can’t understand how a quote by Richard Chriss (president of the American Institute for International Steel), which is outdated and clearly wrong can make it into a story. There seemed to be no balance to the story. How can this sentence be left to stand?–“With other nations already indicating that they will retaliate […]
Recognizing the current sensitivity of trade relations with the Trump administration, Canada is taking extra precautions to ensure there is no circumvention of U.S. tariffs through the Canadian borders. The Canada Border Services Agency will be empowered to identify businesses that are attempting to dodge duties by shipping cheap steel to Canada. Agents will have […]
I don’t know how to keep up with the changing winds associated with President Trump when it comes to trade, trade negotiations and the Section 232 tariffs (or threats of tariffs). According to Bloomberg, Trump said that he may delay the revamped trade agreement reached with South Korea that includes a quota and permanent exclusion […]
The U.S. and South Korea have reached an agreement on amendments to the KORUS agreement. In return for exemption from Section 232 tariffs, Korea will reduce its steel exports to the U.S. by 30 percent to 2.68 million tons annually. In addition, Korea agreed to increase automotive imports from the U.S. to 50,000 vehicles per […]
Ferrous scrap prices are expected to rise $20 to $30 per gross ton in April, and possibly more, according to Steel Market Update sources. All grades are expected to see increases, and with relative parity across the country. One dealer told SMU there is pressure on obsolete grades as the long winter has impeded the […]
U.S. steel exports jumped by more than one-tenth to start the year, rising to 831,184 net tons in January, according to the American Institute for International Steel, which represents foreign steel producers. The monthly total, which was 10.5 percent higher than in December and 1.6 percent above the January 2017 level, included 429,384 net tons […]
U.S. steel exports jumped by more than one-tenth to start the year, rising to 831,184 net tons in January, according to the American Institute for International Steel, which represents foreign steel producers. The monthly total, which was 10.5 percent higher than in December and 1.6 percent above the January 2017 level, included 429,384 net tons […]
The world’s scrap trade continues to expand as the growth of global GDP accelerates. Steel Market Update performs this analysis quarterly to help readers understand the gyrations of the global scrap market. This data is a quarter in arrears because some nations are slow to report. In the 12 months of 2017, U.S. scrap exports increased […]
President Trump’s Section 232 steel tariffs went into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Friday—but hardly as expected. At the last minute, the president suspended the tariffs for a large group of ally nations until May 1 while negotiations continue. The suspension could head off retaliatory trade measures threatened by various foreign countries, at least […]
New home sales dipped 0.6 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 618,000, according to the latest data from the Department of Commerce. The rate was 0.5 percent higher than the February 2017 estimate. “The recent upward revisions to the sales numbers reflect our forecast for a gradual strengthening of the single-family […]