October saw a gradual decline in steel prices for the second consecutive month, following one full year of continuous price increases. Hot rolled steel prices decreased $45 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,885 per ton ($94.25 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Oct. 26. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for hot […]
It goes without saying, the steel industry is in a dynamic, volatile market and the only thing that is certain is the volatility will continue as we move into calendar year 2022. It is not just price we need to watch over the coming months. There are many moving pieces to this puzzle. The agreement […]
It goes without saying, the steel industry is in a dynamic, volatile market and the only thing that is certain is the volatility will continue as we move into calendar year 2022. It is not just price we need to watch over the coming months. There are many moving pieces to this puzzle. The agreement […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz At the last minute, the U.S. and EU announced a deal to keep the tariff wars from getting worse. Yesterday, at the G20 meeting in Rome, the two sides announced an agreement that will prevent major retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports to Europe from going into effect on Dec. 1. […]
The U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a deal this weekend that removes Section 232 tariffs on imports from the EU and replaces them with a tariff rate quota (TRQ) system. The agreement ends a dispute dating back to 2018 when President Trump imposed Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, and it heads […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai has been traveling. She has a lot on her plate. In an effort to attract allies to the United States’ plan to rein in China, the U.S. has floated a proposal, according to reports, to replace the 25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs with a […]
By CRU Analyst Helen O’Cleary, from CRU’s Zinc Monitor Zinc’s price started LME Week looking mildly bullish on short covering, with the 3-month official price settling at $3,246 /t on Oct. 12. By Oct. 15, it had reached $3,944 /t, turbocharged by news of smelter cutbacks in Europe due to soaring energy prices and the […]
In this year’s edition of CRU Breakfast – part of LME Week – we explored three key themes that shaped the commodities markets – the global economic and commodities outlook, the changing role of China, and Navigating ESG. All three themes have been central to many developments in the industry and remain equally crucial moving […]
By CRU Research Manager Eoin Dinsmore, from CRU’s January Zinc Monitor Buyers who are unfortunate enough to find themselves in the spot market are paying 18-23¢ /lb for SGH zinc. The most recent deals have all been at 20¢ /lb or higher. Buyers are fearful of being left short metal, while suppliers are either sold […]
NLMK USA posted record third-quarter earnings supported by strong downstream demand and historically high steel prices. The U.S. subsidiary of NLMK Group – Russia’s largest steelmaker – reported EBITDA of $354 million in the third quarter, a 66% surge from the previous high mark of $213 million in the second quarter and a big jump […]
North American auto assemblies fell in September, reaching the second lowest monthly total year-to-date. The impact of the chip shortage and supply-chain disruptions pulled automotive production down nearly 13% month on month. Semiconductor scarcity and parts delays further worsened, reducing vehicle inventories and causing regional sales to tumble during the month, according to LMC Automotive […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley from CRU’s Steel Metallics Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) changed little in October, declining slightly by 0.4% to 374.1. Price directions were mixed but fell by the most for European scrap and DRI while scrap prices in Asia had the largest increases. We expect to see similar […]
August apparent steel supply increased by 130,000 tons over July to 9.83 million net tons, according to the latest U.S. Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute data. This is the highest supply level seen since January 2019, a 31-month record. August supply is up 2.69 million tons compared to the same month […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz A reader turned me on to a recent column by former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. I have known Ambassador Lighthizer for quite a few years now. He is smart and an able advocate. But that does not mean we see eye to eye. The column, which appeared in the […]
Whether they believe steel prices are in for a sharp or a gradual correction, most of the service center and manufacturing executives responding to SMU’s latest survey agree the market is at a turning point. Here are a few of their recent observations: “Yes, I think we are at the inflection point. The market appears to be […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor Iron ore prices have increased in the past week on post-holiday optimism that a real estate collapse can be avoided and the fact that steel production is increasing after the Chinese holiday. CRU has assessed the iron ore price at $132.0 /dmt, up […]
U.S. steel exports increased 1% from July to August at 764,000 tons, according to the latest U.S. Department of Commerce data. August levels remain in line with exports over the last few months. Recall that July saw the second highest monthly export level in the last three years (778,000 tons), just behind the April 2021 […]
By CRU Senior Editor Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Sheet prices outside of the USA fell markedly this week as demand declines and inventories build. The largest of these declines occurred in Europe, as lower-priced imports forced Italian domestic prices to fall below the €1,000 /t mark for the first time since […]
U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew by a healthy 6.7% in the second quarter of 2021 on an annualized basis, slightly faster than the 6.6% previously estimated, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This third and final review was adjusted higher thanks to upward revisions in personal consumption expenditures, exports and private inventory […]
U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 2.0% annual rate in the third quarter, the slowest pace in more than a year, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Delta variant is likely to blame for slowing U.S. economic growth in the third quarter. Consumer spending was stifled as the new strain of […]
North American auto assemblies rebounded in August after light vehicle production hit a 14-month low the prior month. Despite the increase, the impact of the chip shortage continued to worsen, diminishing vehicle inventories and pushing regional sales down during the month, according to LMC Automotive (LMCA). Total North American vehicle production, including personal and commercial […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz While Section 232 has gotten a lot of attention in the last few years, the antidumping and countervailing duty laws have been the mainstay of protecting domestic industries from steel to aluminum to solar panels to auto parts for many years. In the runup to the 2020 election, the Commerce […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz The Section 232 tariffs are uppermost on people’s minds again, according to questions I’m getting from readers. My view is that the tariffs (and quotas and “monitoring”) have remained because of politics and the lack of ideas for reconciling the irreconcilable. We need a policy that protects domestic steel (and […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor Iron ore prices have continued to fall with the commodity now reaching $93.0/dmt, a $31.0/dmt fall in the past week. Chinese demand remains weak and seasonal improvements in construction activity have thus far not materialized in any significant improvement in market conditions for […]
Prices for four of the seven steelmaking raw materials tracked in this SMU analysis decreased over the last 30 days. Through Sept. 17, iron ore prices stumbled 21% in one month’s time, busheling scrap prices declined 12%, pig iron prices fell 11%, and shredded scrap prices declined 3%. Coking coal prices jumped 49% in that […]
By CRU Senior Editor Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Steel sheet prices were either little changed or fell w/w across most of the globe, with the U.S. market now joining in the global cooldown. Prices in the U.S. fell w/w for the first time in over year, albeit the decline was only […]
Tonnage moved across the Great Lakes-St. Lawrence Seaway has risen significantly thanks to a strong showing from vessels carrying iron ore and steel. Total cargo stood at 22.8 million tons (20.7 million metric tonnes) through the end of August – the midpoint of the Great Lakes shipping season – up more than 5% from 21.7 […]
July apparent steel supply increased 312,000 tons over June to 9.70 million net tons, according to the latest U.S. Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute data. This is now the highest supply level seen since January 2019, a 30-month record. July supply is up 2.73 million tons compared to the same month […]
By CRU Aluminum Advisor Greg Wittbecker China has been wrestling with inflationary tendencies in its aluminum market for some time: Spot Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) high aluminum is at $3,516 per ton; that compares to $2,139 a year ago and $1,849 five years ago. The Chinese State Reserve Board (SRB) is releasing part of its […]
The end of summer marks a return to normal in Washington. Congress is back, and so are the president’s cabinet and advisors. This is the time of year for officials to float new ideas. In the international trade arena, American business groups grew increasingly impatient with the lack of ideas on resetting the economic relationship […]