Join Steel Market Update for the final Steel 101 Workshop to be held this year, running virtually on Tuesday and Wednesday, Oct. 5-6, 2021. Unsure what to expect from the virtual training experience? SMU and CRU have been successfully running virtual events on our customized virtual platform since 2020, including the last SMU Steel Summit […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Market fundamentals in the North American sheet market continue to evolve and clearly suggest that supply tightness is easing. From a broad point of view, these fundamentals include rising supply, service center inventories that are balanced with outbound shipments, and demand growth that […]
By CRU Aluminum Advisor Greg Wittbecker Steel and aluminum are vigorous competitors, but share a common plight, supply chain woes. Just-in-time manufacturing, lean manufacturing, vendor-managed inventory…we all know the buzzwords that have shaped the way both the aluminum and steel supply chains have operated for several decades. Since the Global Financial Crisis, the primary aluminum market […]
By CRU Aluminum Advisor Greg Wittbecker China has been wrestling with inflationary tendencies in its aluminum market for some time: Spot Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) high aluminum is at $3,516 per ton; that compares to $2,139 a year ago and $1,849 five years ago. The Chinese State Reserve Board (SRB) is releasing part of its […]
Now is a good time to think about protecting your business. Steel Market Update’s Introduction to Steel Hedging: Managing Price Risk course will introduce you to hedging principles and give you a solid foundation, so you can learn how to protect your business and minimize the risk associated with unfavorable price changes. In just two […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Regional sheet markets have continued to exhibit divergent trends for not only prices, but also production and demand. The lone continent where sheet prices have yet to fall from a peak is North America. All other markets now have prices below their recent […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Richard Lu, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor In a recent Insight titled “Iron ore at $140 /dmt – what’s driving the fall?”, we explained that weak demand in China has caused a sharp iron ore price fall and we expect the downtrend to persist for the rest of the year. […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Metallics Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) fell by 4.6% in September to 375.5, marking a second straight month of decline. Scrap prices were down in nearly every market we cover, although pig iron and HBI prices again fell by more than scrap. Lower demand […]
By CRU Economist Frank Eich, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook COP26, the first Conference of the Parties since the outbreak of the pandemic, is widely seen as an important follow-up to the 2015 Paris Agreement. In 2015 countries committed to carbon reduction targets in the form of nationally-defined contributions. Expectations are high that governments will […]
Prices for four of the seven steelmaking raw materials tracked in this SMU analysis decreased over the last 30 days. Through Sept. 1st, iron ore prices stumbled 18% in one month’s time, pig iron prices fell 11%, shredded scrap prices declined 4%, and zinc prices decreased 2%. Busheling scrap prices remained flat month over month, while aluminum prices rose […]
As domestic hot rolled steel prices surpass $1,900 per ton, foreign steel imports continue to tempt U.S. buyers, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price comparison. While domestic prices rise week after week, foreign prices have remained steady or declined, holding potential discounts of 16% to 44% after taking freight […]
By CRU Aluminum Advisor Greg Wittbecker The fundamentals in the aluminum market are continuing to tighten as we complete the third quarter. Growing Deficit in 2021 Driven by Chinese and Canadian Production Excursions CRU has substantially increased the size of the global deficit for 2021, moving it from a 240,000-ton surplus to a deficit of 1,180,000 […]
In the near term, ferrous scrap prices are heading down. But in the long term – with the proliferation of electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking around the globe putting added pressure on scrap supplies – the price trend for scrap is definitely pointing upward. The cost of scrap and other metallics is of high interest […]
Earlier this month Steel Market Update celebrated our 13th anniversary of officially being in business. I say “officially” because I was publishing the newsletter for a few years prior to starting SMU as a legal entity. It has been a while since I last related the history of Steel Market Update. Where did the idea […]
Two of the steel industry’s most respected analysts delivered a reality check to the market on Monday during SMU’s Steel Summit in Atlanta. Record-high steel prices enjoyed by steelmakers and distributors for the past year “can’t last,” they declared. Simply put, supply-demand fundamentals indicate that prices are due – indeed overdue – to drop significantly in the next […]
In the face of tough circumstances, the SMU and CRU teams proved once again that we could conduct a safe, energetic, entertaining and informative Steel Summit conference. We did it despite suffering a power outage at the Georgia International Convention Center that lasted the entire afternoon on Monday. Our team was quick to react, and […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg and Senior Analyst Richard Lu, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor After reaching a new all-time high of more than $230 /dmt in May, iron ore prices held steady in the following months and traded in the $200-220 /dmt range for most of June and July. However, things have […]
By CRU Principal Analyst James Campbell, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor Long product prices have fallen in most regions this month as demand was lower than expected. Part of the weakness was seasonal, but parts of Asia were also affected by further outbreaks of Covid-19. Except for the USA, the tight supply seen in […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook The spread of the Delta variant, plus some disappointing data from the U.S., have led us to slightly revise down our forecast for 2021 GDP growth from 6.1% to 5.9%. Growth in industrial production […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor After rising at end-August, iron ore prices have started pointing downward again in the past week as Chinese demand remains tepid while seaborne supply has been at the strongest level since end-June. Iron ore is currently trading at $135.5 /dmt, down by $18.5 /dmt […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen A disappointing outlook for U.S. Q3 growth, and the problems in China’s construction sector, have led us to downgrade our forecast for 2021 world growth from 5.8% to 5.4%. Our forecast for 2021 growth in Industrial Production has been revised […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service, Nov. 18 The world economy is facing multiple headwinds. Supply-chain problems continue to hold back industrial sectors and elevate inflation. Meanwhile, an energy crisis is adding to the pressure on manufacturers and consumers. On the demand side, the biggest risk remains the Chinese […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook, Jan. 31 2022 has begun with tentative signs that supply chains are slowly normalizing. Business survey measures of delays, bottlenecks and price pressures in the U.S. and Europe are moderating. PPI inflation looks to have peaked. This is essential to our view that consumer price inflation […]
Here’s the Steel Summit program for Wednesday, Aug. 25, at the Georgia International Convention Center in Atlanta: 7 a.m. – Doors open at GICC. All day beverage sponsored by Felux and pastries sponsored by Ratner Steel 8:20-8:30 a.m. – Opening Remarks by SMU President and CEO John Packard 8:30-9:30 a.m. – Steel […]
After 12 months of planning, countless hours of discussions about our agenda, whether we would be virtual, live or both, and agonizing over how to best conduct a safe live event not knowing what direction the pandemic would be taking – the bottom line is it’s showtime. The weather forecast is for no rain on […]
The 2021 SMU Steel Summit started with a bang on Monday morning. Turns out it was a transformer that blew. Just as the opening video and music was revving up and host John Packard was getting into his opening remarks, the Georgia International Convention Center was plunged into darkness save for some emergency lighting. Thinking […]
Settling on the direction of SMU’s Price Momentum Indicators has been an easy task for the past year. Prices on all products were clearly moving upward week after week as demand continued to outstrip supplies. Today, the market is changing, and the trend is less clear. Determining price momentum is considerably trickier. SMU does not […]
On Friday, Steel Market Update sent data providers the final analysis for July of service center inventories, shipments, steel on-order, and percentage of inventories tied up for contract sales. Premium members will receive the report on Monday. As expected, after reviewing our Flash Report which is provided to data providers five days into the new […]
One Week to Go… There is now but one week to go before the doors open at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta for the 2021 SMU Steel Summit Conference on August 23. This year the conference will be unique as it will be a “hybrid” event. By this I mean we will […]
What does the infrastructure spending plan passed this week by the Senate mean for steel? On Tuesday, in a bipartisan vote, the Senate passed a $1 trillion infrastructure package that includes $550 billion in new federal spending. That measure now moves on to the House for consideration. Around 44% of total U.S. steel demand is […]