By CRU Senior China Economist Henry Hao, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook and China Macro Monthly In May, overall economic activity in China has improved marginally as the relaxation of Covid-19 restrictions led to the resumption of production in late May. Export and infrastructure investment have regained momentum. However, prospects for construction remain weak. While the contraction […]
Despite inflation, rising interest rates, and faltering equities markets, the outlook is not all doom and gloom when it comes to the metals markets, says Rick Marabito, CEO of service center group Olympic Steel. In fact, the outlook for demand and consolidation is actually quite good, he told attendees of this week’s Steel Market Update […]
US consumer confidence edged lower in May as Americans’ view of their present and future prospects dimmed in the midst of persistent inflation, The Conference Board reported. Confidence could stumble further as stubborn inflation may be around for a bit. Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. […]
Strict and strictly enforced trade laws are key to backing the steel industry’s investments in decarbonization. That was the takeaway from a press conference on Tuesday, May 17, at the AISTech 2022 conference in Pittsburgh. Executives from Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI), Commercial Metals Co. (CMC), the Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA), and the American Iron and […]
International trade has become increasingly important to the US economy and national security over the last seven decades. But in recent years, we have lost our confidence in it. Donald Trump was the first post-World War II President to try to reduce the volume of international trade, principally by imposing tariff barriers on steel, aluminum, […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group It is natural to speculate about how well demand for aluminum can hold up given the effects of dramatically higher prices, both on aluminum itself and the broader economy. Conversations with many of our clients’ center on concerns about demand destruction. The logic is simple: With gasoline, food and interest […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. US construction spending in February totaled $1.704 trillion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, rising less than expected as an increase in outlays on private projects was partially offset by a decline […]
US consumer confidence bounced back slightly from a one-year low in March on labor market optimism. But confidence could slip as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to tamp down inflation, The Conference Board reported. Sentiment about current business and labor market conditions recovered in March after falling in the prior two months. Americans’ outlook for the […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 2.2%, or $6.0 billion, in February, snapping a four-month rally, according to the Commerce Department. Orders at domestic factories for long-lasting goods fell more than expected last month, while business investment fell for the first time in a year. February’s outcome suggests high inflation and ongoing supply […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor, March 16 Global sheet prices took notably different directions this week as the war in Ukraine caused record w/w increases in Europe and the USA, while a fresh outbreak of Covid-19 in China pushed domestic prices lower and prevented increases in other Asian […]
U.S. consumer confidence slipped again in February following a downward revision in January, reported The Conference Board. The slight erosion in the headline index was the second straight decline following a small recovery in late 2021 that saw gains from September through December. Though results are mixed, the shift in momentum is worth noting. Sentiment towards […]
Ferrous scrap has been described as “the new precious metal,” as mills all over the world invest in scrap-fed electric arc furnaces as a means of lowering harmful greenhouse gas emissions. Indeed, prime scrap may prove to be even more rare and prized than most realize. In the United States alone, producers will add 5.3 […]
Builder confidence fell again in February despite strong demand from buyers, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). Home builder sentiment fell for the second straight month on ongoing building material production bottlenecks, which have pushed up construction costs and delayed projects. February’s HMI reading moved one point lower […]
Industry analyst Paul Lowrey is “bullish on the short-term outlook for steel,” but his goal as a presenter during the Tampa Steel Conference this week was “to get some of you to think differently about what is going on.” Lowrey, founder of Pittsburgh-based Steel Research Associates, is a contrarian when it comes to the common […]
U.S. Steel isn’t letting current lower prices get it down after a record year in ’21 and in anticipation of more good times rolling into ‘22. The Pittsburgh-based steelmaker said it had expected the first quarter would be weaker but that such weakness would to be temporary. “Supply chain issues will ease, inflationary pressures will […]
The ongoing correction in steel prices is not a reflection of demand, which is strong now and is expected to remain so for the balance of 2022, Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) executives said. Hot-rolled coil prices are roughly in line with published price ranges of $1,300-1,400 per ton ($65-70 per cwt), although a limited number […]
U.S. consumer confidence fell in January, the first decline in four months, reported The Conference Board. The headline index lost momentum at the onset of 2022 after staging a small recovery during the fourth quarter, rebounding from a summer lull. Sentiment towards current business and labor market conditions was slightly improved in January even though […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. U.S. consumer confidence rose for the third straight month in December, following a slight upward revision on November’s results and steady momentum after decreasing from July through September, reported The Conference Board. […]
Tubular products producer PTC Alliance has agreed to purchase the business of Metal-Matic Inc., another maker of welded and drawn over mandrel (DOM) carbon steel tubing. The transaction, which will strengthen the company’s foothold in the Midwest, is expected to close by the end of the year. The deal will add four production facilities employing […]
Market forces are beginning to restore equilibrium to some parts of the economy, but not to others, said supply-chain expert Tom Derry, CEO of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Supply constraints will continue to be a drag on economic recovery in 2022, along with inflation and labor issues, he said during Steel Market Update’s […]
New orders, production, employment, and imports grew in November. But prices fell, and delivery delays increased on tightening backlogs. That’s the takeaway from the Institute for Supply Management’s latest Manufacturing Report on Business. ISM’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 61.1% in November, up 0.3 percentage points from October and indicating continued expansion in the overall economy for the […]
U.S. consumer confidence slipped to a nine-month low in November, decreasing four out of the past five months. Novembers’ reading was driven by rising prices and continued COVID concerns, reported The Conference Board. “Consumer confidence moderated in November, following a gain in October,” said Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at The Conference Board. […]
Sheet and plate prices are nearing parity for the first time in about a year, the latest sign of a market in flux. Below is a good way to visualize that trend. The chart below maps out the spread between sheet and plate going back to 2017. If we rewind to mid-November of last […]
Sheet and plate prices are nearing parity for the first time in about a year, the latest sign of a market in flux. Below is a good way to visualize that trend. The chart below maps out the spread between sheet and plate going back to 2017. If we rewind to mid-November of last […]
New orders, production and employment grew in October, while supplier deliveries slowed at faster rate and backlogs lengthened further, said the Institute for Supply Management in its latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The Manufacturing PMI fell for the third straight month in October, down 0.3 percentage points to 60.8% in October, but still indicating […]
The U.S. and European Union (EU) announced a deal this weekend that removes Section 232 tariffs on imports from the EU and replaces them with a tariff rate quota (TRQ) system. The agreement ends a dispute dating back to 2018 when President Trump imposed Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, and it heads […]
U.S. consumer confidence saw a surprise increase in October, after declining the three months prior, as concerns over the Delta virus improved, reported The Conference Board. The October index recovered by 4.0 points month on month after slipping 5.4 points in September. “Consumer confidence improved in October, reversing a three-month downward trend as concerns about […]
Global steel demand will grow by 4.5% in 2021 and reach 1.855 billion metric tons following a 0.1% growth the year prior, according to World Steel Association’s (worldsteel) October 2021 Short-Range Outlook (SRO). An additional increase of 2.2% to 1.896 billion metric tons in 2022 is forecast for steel demand worldwide. The current forecast assumes […]
Flat Rolled = 54.5 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 54.9 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories grew in September to the highest level seen since August 2020, according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of September, service centers carried 54.5 shipping days of supply on an […]
Whether they believe steel prices are in for a sharp or a gradual correction, most of the service center and manufacturing executives responding to SMU’s latest survey agree the market is at a turning point. Here are a few of their recent observations: “Yes, I think we are at the inflection point. The market appears to be […]