Steel demand and prices are seeing some softening, but perhaps not enough to trigger a big inventory correction yet, report respondents to Steel Market Update’s flat rolled market trends questionnaire this past week. About 27 percent of the steel buyers who responded believe demand for their products is declining. However, the majority, 58 percent, report […]
Future Sentiment, measured as both a single data point and as a three-month moving average (3MMA), is near its low point of the year as conflict on the trade front keeps buyers guessing. Future Sentiment registered +55 in Steel Market Update’s latest Steel Buyers Sentiment Index, down from +67 in mid-August. Current Sentiment registered +63, […]
Lead times on most flat rolled steel products continue to shorten, according to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends data. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level—the longer the lead time the busier the mill. Shortening lead times suggest steel demand is easing. Lead times for hot rolled […]
Steel buyers appear to have considerably more leverage in mill negotiations than at any other point this year. Twice per month, in a proprietary poll, Steel Market Update tracks how buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel represent the mill negotiation position. Most buyers report that mills are willing to negotiate spot prices today. According […]
The Trump administration tariffs have had the expected effect on steel imports and steel pricing this year, but prices for hot rolled coil and plate could moderate a bit next year as economic growth slows and the cost of steelmaking raw materials begins to decline, forecasts Josh Spoores, principal steel analyst for the CRU Group. […]
What is in the nation’s best interest when it comes to international trade? Are the Trump administration trade policies the best approach? Speaking at the Steel Market Update Steel Summit Conference in Atlanta on Aug. 27, a spokesperson for the domestic steel industry and a Washington trade attorney offered sharply contrasting views. The Steel Manufacturers […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following commentary on the latest developments in Washington: I am just back from Atlanta, where I attended the SMU Steel Summit. I was pleased to be able to speak to many steel industry folks concerned about the steel tariffs, the China tariffs and […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following commentary on the latest developments in Washington: I am just back from Atlanta, where I attended the SMU Steel Summit. I was pleased to be able to speak to many steel industry folks concerned about the steel tariffs, the China tariffs and […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following commentary on the latest developments in Washington: A reader asked recently about the ability of the president to withdraw the United States from the NAFTA agreement, should negotiations for a new agreement with Canada and Mexico falter. While the U.S. and Mexico […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following commentary on the latest developments in Washington: After months of complaints, hearings, letters, denials, approvals and delay, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Industry and Security published new rules on processes, criteria and time limits for specific product exclusions under the President’s Proclamations […]
Those hoping for the inside scoop on Nucor’s plans to purchase Big River Steel were left to speculate following comments by Nucor Chairman and CEO John Ferriola during Steel Market Update’s steel summit this week in Atlanta. Ferriola neither confirmed nor denied Nucor’s rumored interest in BRS, but his posture suggested it’s a possibility. Nucor […]
Results from live polling during Steel Market Update’s Steel Summit Conference this week in Atlanta produced a few surprising results. Using the SMU App, Steel Market Update was able to capture the views of more than 450, or about half, of the steel industry executives in attendance at the event. For the most part, the […]
The Nucor Sheet Mill Group and USS-POSCO Industries have notified customers of changes in their coating extras as a result of lower zinc prices. The announcements follow on a similar letter to customers from California Steel Industries (CSI) last week. Nucor’s Aug. 30 letter stated: “Consistent with our practice to monitor the cost of zinc, […]
Ferrous scrap prices are likely to decline further in September after a modest drop in August, agree Steel Market Update sources. CRU Steel Analyst Ryan McKinley expects a drop of about $20 per ton across the board in September, driven primarily by an overhang of shredded scrap in the market and weak export demand. “There […]
The American Iron and Steel Institute reported a mill capability utilization rate for the week ending Aug. 25 of 79.3 percent, down slightly from 79.5 percent in the prior week, but up from 75.8 percent in the same week last year. Raw steel production for the week ending Aug. 25 totaled 1,858,000 net tons, the sixth week in a […]
Sixty-two percent of those responding to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire believe steel prices on the spot market are on the decline. Another 35 percent expect prices to remain the same. Only 3 percent feel steel prices could still move higher. SMU has adjusted its Price Momentum Indicator to Lower, meaning prices are […]
The steel market is watching and waiting to see if President Trump will hit other countries with higher tariffs as he did with Turkey. If he does, the majority of observers will not be surprised. Indeed, more than 60 percent of the steel executives responding to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire expect further […]
Both Current and Future Sentiment, measured as three-month moving averages (3MMAs) to smooth out the data, are below levels of this time last year, possibly reflecting concerns among steel buyers about the volatile trade situation in the U.S. Data from Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index remains at optimistic levels, however, by historical standards. […]
Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level—the longer the lead time the busier the mill. Lead times on hot rolled and cold rolled steel products have remained flat over the past couple of weeks, while coated products saw some shortening of delivery times, according to Steel Market Update’s […]
Mills appear more willing to negotiate spot prices on most flat rolled steel products than at any other point this year. Twice per month, in a proprietary poll, Steel Market Update tracks how buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel represent the mill negotiation position. According to respondents to this week’s market trends questionnaire, 71 […]
California Steel Industries was the first mill to announce a change to its coating extras this week. Steel Market Update’s comparison of the new rates with the previous rates that took effect one year ago, on Oct. 1, 2017, shows an average reduction of 14.1 percent, with no change in the width/thickness extras. Buyers of […]
U.S. mill capability utilization hit another new high for the year last week, moving closer to the 80 percent level sought by the industry. The American Iron and Steel Institute reported a utilization rate for the week ending Aug. 18 of 79.5 percent, up from 79.1 percent in the prior week, and up from 75.8 […]
Editor’s note: The following was contributed by Analyst Ryan Cochrane of the CRU Group. Global concentrate inventories first reached critical levels in 2017 Q1, leading to Chinese smelter utilization rates falling below 90 percent and remaining at depressed levels since. Without much buffer concentrate stock remaining, the relationship between mine supply and Chinese smelter output […]
Distributors of secondary steel report generally positive market conditions, though the nonprime sector has experienced a bit of a lull in recent weeks. Secondary steel is nonprime or excess material that did not meet the specifications for its original intended use, but is acceptable to other buyers for other applications. The spot market on nonprime […]
Looking back last week, the Lex Group celebrated 50 years as a family-owned service center business. Looking ahead, as an affiliate of Union Partners, the company sees a different but equally promising future. With locations in Los Angeles and Chicago, the Lex Group currently distributes more than 240,000 tons of steel per year to a […]
Editor’s note: The following was contributed by analysts at the CRU Group. The Turkish-U.S. political relationship has soured sharply in the past week. U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted relations were “not so good” on Friday, Aug. 10, and doubled tariffs on U.S. imports of Turkish steel. Turkish President Erdogan responded with anger, suggesting the country […]
Turkey may not be the last nation to face escalating tariffs from the Trump administration, according to the American Institute for International Steel’s (AIIS) interpretation of the presidential proclamation. President Trump doubled the Section 232 duties on steel products from Turkey from 25 percent to 50 percent, effective Aug. 13. The proclamation behind the action […]
Productivity growth was strong in the second quarter and unit labor costs increased 1.9 percent year over year, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data. Unit labor costs and productivity changes are reported quarterly by the BLS and results for Q2 2018 were released this week. This basic […]
Mills historically have enjoyed a healthy price premium for cold rolled and galvanized products over hot rolled, at times reaching as high as $220 per ton. More recently, due to the tight supplies of hot rolled, the differential has dipped as low as $80 per ton, prompting at least one mill to act. ArcelorMittal USA […]
Effective Monday, August 13, the Trump administration doubled the tariffs on steel imports from Turkey to 50 percent, stunning the market and setting off a wave of speculation on how this trade action may impact the steel and scrap markets in North America. A tweet from President Trump early Friday set the change in motion: […]