The volume of light vehicle assemblies in the U.S. and Canada is declining at more than 15 percent per year as Mexico’s volume is increasing by 7.7 percent, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of auto production in the NAFTA region. U.S. Vehicle Sales: U.S. new-vehicle sales surged in September to 18.6 million […]
Third-quarter job creation was severely affected by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in the South Central and South East regions, according to third-quarter employment data by state released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. Economy.com summarized it as follows: “Job growth is slowing but wage growth is heating up across much of the […]
The growth in global steel production is surging, driven by construction in the developing world, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of World Steel Association data. WSA’s October 2017 short-range outlook, while painting a generally improved picture over the April update, is no big surprise. Global steel recovery has picked up further, and there are […]
China’s economy continues to show robust growth, and in August recorded its highest-ever share of total global steel production. Once each quarter, we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Currently available data is through the third quarter. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, […]
Service centers’ daily steel shipments in September were 0.9 percent higher than in August, matching the average since 2009. Therefore, the latest numbers were exactly on the historical track for this time of year, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of Metals Service Center Institute data (MSCI). Carbon steel shipments were 144,400 tons per day […]
Demand for steel sheet products continued to expand through August. This report summarizes total steel supply by product from 2003 through August 2017 and year-on-year changes. It then compares domestic mill shipments with total supply to the market. It quantifies market direction by product and enables a side-by-side comparison of the degree to which imports […]
The International Monetary Fund updates its World Economic Outlook (WEO) in April and October each year. The introduction to the WEO released on Tuesday reads as follows: “The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018. Broad-based upward revisions in […]
This Steel Market Update analysis of sheet and plate imports by district of entry and source through August 2017 includes both coiled and cut-to-length plate for the first time. We believe that misinformation (or a lack of) about regional import volumes is often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis of tonnage […]
U.S. employment contracted in September, and there was more going on than just hurricanes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) net job creation report released on Friday was very disappointing for more reasons than the impact of hurricanes, though they undoubtedly had a big effect. Net job creation in September was negative 33,000 positions. July […]
Total rolled steel imports declined by 5.8 percent in the three months through September, compared with the three months through June. Sheet product imports were down by 3.9 percent on the same basis. The final license data for September was reported by of the U.S. Commerce Department on Oct. 3. The data is reported within […]
We are continuing our analysis to quantify the players in the global trade of both hot rolled coil (HRC) and cold rolled coil (CRC). We now have data for the second quarter of this year. This information is sourced quarterly from the Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau in the UK. It takes about 11 weeks […]
We are continuing our analysis to quantify the players in the global trade of both hot rolled coil (HRC) and cold rolled coil (CRC). We now have data through Q2 2017. This information is sourced quarterly from the Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau in the UK. Data is not very current because many countries are […]
Total construction expenditures contracted in the three months through August year over year for the first time since November 2011, according to August data for construction put in place (CPIP) released by the Department of Commerce on Monday. Privately funded projects still have positive growth on a rolling 12-month basis, but are more than negated […]
The United States’ share of the global steel scrap trade has changed little in the two and a half years through second-quarter 2017. Steel Market Update performs this analysis quarterly to understand the gyrations of the domestic scrap market and where the U.S. stands as a global player. This data is not very current because […]
Steel market indicators look good in the September data. Our view of the present situation is that 50 percent of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 19 percent negative. The balance of them are within the band of historically normal. This was the same result as May and August. Along with September, these […]
Economic indicators of manufacturing activity are still healthy overall and portend well for the balance of this year. This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing in the U.S. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, therefore will be brief in this summary. We […]
The growth of U.S. Gross Domestic Product in second-quarter 2017 was the strongest since first-quarter 2015. On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third estimate of GDP growth in the second quarter. Growth was reported to be 3.06 percent quarter on quarter and 2.21 percent year on year. Economy.com had this to say […]
Consumer confidence dipped slightly in September, but continues to be encouraging for the U.S. economy, according to The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. The composite value of consumer confidence in September was 119.8, down from 120.4 in August. The first estimate for August was revised down from 122.9. The last seven months have each been […]
The price of iron ore is falling but zinc is at a 10-year high. In this report, we examine the latest prices for iron ore, scrap, coking coal and zinc and their relationship to the dollar. “Right now, the dollar has a lot going against it. The administration in the U.S. continues to hope the […]
On Wednesday, Sept. 20, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose above $50 per barrel for the first time since July 31, which was the only day greater than $50 since May 24. WTI closed at $51.86 on the 25th. The number of operating rigs exploring for both oil and gas had a recent […]
The oil and gas drill rig count is increasing rapidly as the price of West Texas Intermediate hovers near $60 per barrel. The spot price of WTI broke through the $60 level on Dec. 29 for the first time since Dec. 18, 2014. It reached $64.22 on Jan. 12 before falling back to $59.41 on […]
Growth in Chinese steel production continues to outpace the world, according to a Steel Market Update analysis of World Steel Association data. Production in the month of August was 143,580,000 metric tons, down slightly from 143,729,000 metric tons in July. Capacity utilization was unchanged at 71.7 percent. The three-month moving averages (3MMA) that we prefer […]
The U.S. dollar is continuing to collapse on the international foreign exchange markets. Through Sept. 8, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar had depreciated by 9.3 percent since Jan. 3 and the decline is accelerating. See the end of this report for an explanation of data sources. The analysis of currency trends is […]
The value of the U.S. dollar on the international exchange markets has been in freefall since Dec. 12, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of currencies. From Jan. 3 through Sept. 8, 2017, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar depreciated by 9.3 percent. The value rebounded by 2.97 percent from Sept. 9 […]
Service center shipments in August failed to perform as well as the average since 2009, according to data from the Metals Service Center Institute. Daily shipments in August were 1.8 percent higher than in July. On average since 2009, August has increased by 3.0 percent, therefore the latest numbers were less than the historical average […]
The Mexican share of light truck assemblies in NAFTA is expanding rapidly at the expense of the United States. Economy.com reported that U.S. new-vehicle sales dropped nearly 6.3 percent in August, reaching their lowest level at a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate since February 2014. August marks the eighth consecutive month in which sales were lower on […]
The Producer Price Index of commodities increased by 3.8 percent in the 12 months through August 2017, according to data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The BLS released its series of producer price indexes (PPIs) for more than 10,000 goods and materials this week. The latest release reported results through August. For […]
The Producer Price Index of commodities increased by 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended in November, according to data released Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics—the largest advance since the 12 months ending January 2012. On Thursday, the BLS released its series of producer price indexes (PPIs) for more than 10,000 goods and […]
Imports continued to increase their share of the steel sheet market in July. Apparent supply is a proxy for market demand. For all sheet products except other metallic coated, demand had positive momentum in three months through July. This report summarizes total steel supply from 2003 through July 2017 and year-on-year changes. It then compares […]
We believe that misinformation, or a lack of information, about regional import volumes is often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis of sheet steel imports by district of entry and source through July 2017 is to describe in detail what is going on in a company’s immediate neighborhood and thus provide […]