Scrap, iron ore and zinc prices advanced in February, while the price of coking coal has declined by $4 per ton since mid-January. To put the raw materials analysis into perspective, Figure 1 shows the spread between Chicago #1 busheling and hot rolled coil ex works Indiana through Feb. 9, both in dollars per net […]
This analysis breaks down the imported tonnage of six flat rolled products into the district of entry and the source country. We believe that misinformation (or lack of) about regional import volumes are often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis is to describe in detail what is going on in a […]
Total rolled steel imports declined by 15 percent in the three months through January compared to the previous three-month period, August through October. Sheet product imports declined by 17.3 percent on the same basis, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of U.S. Department of Commerce data released Feb. 6. The data is reported within the […]
The employment picture looks attractive so far for 2018, particularly for construction and manufacturing. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday that the economy created 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in January. The BLS data included revisions for previous years, which we have incorporated into this update. There were increases in the total number […]
In December, total construction spending expanded by 1.4 percent year over year. Viewed in the longer term, however, the growth rate is slowing. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year slowed every month in 2017. On a rolling three-months basis, growth improved in October and December. On this three-month […]
Consumer confidence dipped slightly in December, but recovered in January and remains at an extremely high level, according to The Conference Board’s January Consumer Confidence Survey. The composite value of consumer confidence in January was 125.4, up from 123.1 in December. Last July, the composite reached 120 for the first time since November 2000 and […]
Consumer confidence dipped slightly in December, recovered partially in January and surged in February to the highest level since November 2000, according to The Conference Board’s February Consumer Confidence Survey. The composite value of consumer confidence in February was 130.8, up from 124.3 in January (1985=100). The three-month moving average (3MMA) increased from 125.3 in […]
Of the four raw materials tracked by Steel Market Update, scrap and zinc prices advanced in January, iron ore took a small step back and coking coal declined by 10 percent. Each January, Bloomberg and U.S. Global Investors compile their Periodic Table of Commodity Returns. Figure 1 shows the returns of commodities each year of […]
Economic indicators are strong overall and portend well for the first half of 2018. This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing, construction, steel activity and the overall market in the United States. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, and therefore will […]
Steel Market Update publisher, John Packard, traded comments with a financial analysts who was of the opinion that demand was under duress and the future of the steel using markets was in doubt. This does not match our belief based on a review of the SMU Key Market Indicators. We are sharing this report with […]
The growth of U.S. Gross Domestic Product in the fourth quarter of 2017 declined from the strong performance of the second and third quarters, but the overall trend is good. The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimate of GDP growth in the fourth quarter on Friday. Growth was reported to be 2.57 percent […]
Which region of the United States is tops in job creation? The Pacific now has the greatest number of employed people of all 10 regions and in 2017 created the most jobs, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of government employment data. Fourth-quarter employment data by state was released by the Bureau of Labor […]
In Q4 2017, the Pacific pulled ahead of the East North Central region in total employment and held onto that lead in Q1 2018, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of government employment data. First-quarter employment data by state was released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. Economy.com summarized as follows: […]
Global steel production grew significantly in 2017, though the pace of growth slowed somewhat in December due to pollution control cutbacks in China, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of World Steel Association data. “Global growth has been accelerating since mid-2016, and all signs point to a further strengthening both this year and […]
Auto and light truck production continued to decelerate in December, even in Mexico, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of auto production in the NAFTA region. U.S. Vehicle Sales Economy.com reported that a tumultuous 2017 ended on a high note. “U.S. December vehicle sales posted a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 17.85 million […]
Service center shipments in December were stronger than the seasonal norm, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Metals Service Center Institute data. Daily shipments in December were 11.8 percent lower than in November. On average since 2009, December shipments have decreased by 13.1 percent; therefore, these latest numbers were seasonally better than the […]
U.S. demand for steel sheet products continued to expand through November, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and the U.S. Department of Commerce. Apparent supply is a proxy for market demand. Demand momentum for sheet products in total was negative in the three months through […]
Imports of rolled steel into the United States have been on the decline since peaking in July, based on a three-month moving average of government import data through the end of 2017. In three months through December compared to three months through September, total rolled steel imports declined by 16.8 percent, while sheet products dropped […]
In Q1 2018, long product imports increased by 9.5 percent compared to Q4 2017. Total long product imports were down by 150,000 tons per month year over year on a three-month moving average (3MMA) basis, but there was a turn for the worse in the first quarter, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of federal […]
In Q1 2018, tubular product imports increased by 3.8 percent compared to Q4 2017. Total rolled steel imports increased by 3.6 percent, and tubular products by 3.8 percent, in the three months through March compared to three months through December 2017, but on a year-over-year basis tubulars were up by 20.2 percent, according to Steel […]
This analysis breaks down the imported tonnage of six flat rolled products into the district of entry and the source country. We believe that misinformation (or lack of) about regional import volumes is often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis is to describe in detail what is going on in a […]
While the December jobs report was a bit disappointing, it still represents the 85th consecutive month of job growth and left the unemployment rate unchanged. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment report for December was released on Friday. The total number of nonfarm jobs created was 148,000. October was revised down by 33,000 and […]
Total construction spending in the United States expanded by 1.3 percent in November, versus November 2016, but in the longer term the growth rate is slowing. On a rolling 12-month basis year over year, construction spending slowed every month in 2017. On a rolling three-months basis year over year, growth improved in October and November, […]
Total construction expenditures have turned around and grew by 3.9 percent in three months through February year over year. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year has been constant at 2.1 percent for each month December through February. On a rolling three-month year-over-year basis, the situation is much better […]
Key market indicators bode well for business conditions in the first quarter of 2018. Steel Market Update’s view of the present situation based on our examination of data released in December shows that 47.2 percent of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 19 percent negative. The balance is within the historically normal band. […]
Global steel production grew by 4.6 percent in the three months through November year over year with negative momentum, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of World Steel Association data. The reduced growth rate was driven by pollution control cutbacks in China. Production in the month of November totaled 136,280,000 metric tons, down from 144,972,000 […]
All four raw materials tracked by Steel Market Update— iron ore, scrap, coking coal and zinc—increased in price in December. From Australia News Digest on Dec.18: “Steelmaking raw materials made strong gains on Monday as Chinese mills, responsible for half the world’s steel output, restock ahead of the resumption of full production at the end […]
The growth of U.S. Gross Domestic Product in the third quarter of 2017 maintained the strong performance of the second quarter. On Dec. 20, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter. Growth was reported to be 3.16 percent quarter-on-quarter and 2.3 percent year-on-year. At the end […]
The Fed rate increase in December was a non-event as far as the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar was concerned. From Jan. 3 through Sept. 8, 2017, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar depreciated by 9.3 percent. The value rebounded by 2.97 percent from Sept. 9 through Dec. 15. Please see […]
Through November, Mexico continued to take a greater share of light vehicle assemblies from the U.S. and Canada. U.S. Vehicle Sales At the close of 2017, the Big Three U.S. auto makers see their market share closing in on less than 44 percent, down from over 50 percent in 2007. This comes as analysts are […]