In an effort to keep our readers as up to date as possible, we are adding some information to the steel mill maintenance schedule that we originally produced last week. The table did not change, but we did receive information from ArcelorMittal that we wanted to pass along. We received the following details regarding maintenance […]
It’s 10 PM and I am on a flight back to Florida having spent the last three days in Fort Wayne, Ind. We hosted one of the largest Steel 101 workshops in our history and the workshop went well. We spent Wednesday going over the classroom materials and then that evening our workshop was hosted […]
Flat rolled steel prices continue to “drift,” with some items drifting lower, some staying the same and cold rolled actually increasing by $5 per ton. One commercial officer at a steel mill told SMU that in his view the range has shrunk for the products they produce. Even so, “We are finding business, and it […]
The next Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making and Market Fundamentals workshop will be held Jan. 24-25, 2018, in Mobile, Ala. The two-day workshop will include a tour of the SSAB minimill. The conference will be held at the Hilton Garden Inn Mobile West. Our Steel 101 workshop has been well-received by the industry. Those […]
I am in Fort Wayne, Ind., along with members of my Steel 101 team, John Eckstein, Mario Briccetti, Steve Murphy, Steve Painter, Sandy Williams, as well as Tim Triplett who will be attending his first Steel 101 workshop. Over the next two days, we will be working with a large class of attendees and discussing […]
SMU Price Momentum Indicator is now at “lower,” meaning flat rolled steel spot prices are expected to move lower over the next 30 to 60 days. Steel prices have begun to retreat with benchmark hot rolled beginning the month at $630 per ton ($31.50/cwt) and ending the month down $20 to $610 per ton ($30.50/cwt). […]
Flat rolled steel prices slipped across the board this past week. All three steel indexes followed by Steel Market Update (SMU) saw prices as being down from as little as $1 per ton to as much as $20 per ton. Benchmark hot rolled continues to close in on $600 per ton with SMU down $5 […]
I am in Chicago and will be here until Tuesday when I make my way to Fort Wayne, Ind., to conduct one of our Steel 101 workshops. A special thank you to SDI and Paragon Steel for allowing our workshop to tour each of their plants. This workshop has been sold out for a number […]
Steel Market Update has been working with steel buyers and the domestic steel mills in order to provide a better understanding of what outages/maintenance is scheduled above and beyond normal mill maintenance. Even though there are a number of outages scheduled, we are being told by both mills and their customers that the downtime has […]
As was mentioned in the previous issue of Steel Market Update, foreign steel imports for September continue to trend toward another 3.0 million net ton month based on SMU analysis of import license data. If imports come in around 3.0 million tons it would be the lowest level since February 2017 when total steel imports […]
We have a busy issue this evening, so I will keep my final thoughts brief. Next week I will be in Fort Wayne, Ind., as we conduct one of our Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making and Marketing Fundamentals workshops. We will tour Steel Dynamics’ Butler facility and Paragon Steel’s flat rolled steel service center. […]
When asked to comment on spot flat rolled steel prices this week, the president of a medium-sized service center told SMU, “Drifting. Demand seems down.” He went on to report that even with AK Steel and ArcelorMittal reporting extending lead times, the market “feels soft.” Other steel buyers reported that their perception of the market […]
One of the surprises over the past year has been the amount of foreign steel imports still arriving in the United States despite antidumping (AD) and countervailing duties (CVD), a Section 337 complaint, a circumvention complaint and the Trump directive for the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) to investigate steel as it relates to national […]
There have been a number of master sheets showing projected steel mill maintenance outages for the last couple weeks of September through the end of this calendar year. Steel Market Update (SMU) is following through with our mill sources, as well as steel buyers, to see if we can confirm the outages and if there […]
On Friday, Steel Market Update (SMU) adjusted our Price Momentum Indicator to Lower from Neutral. It is our opinion that flat rolled steel prices will move lower over the next 30 days for the following 10 reasons: First, when the head of commercial of a domestic steel mill tells SMU that “transaction pricing cannot go […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) asked those responding to last week’s flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire where they see flat rolled steel prices headed? The results are shown in the graphic below. However, what is also of interest were the comments left behind by respondents. First, the results: The majority (52 percent) believe there is […]
Flat rolled steel prices have begun to uniformly move lower based on what we have been collecting for steel price averages from ours and other steel indexes. Both Platts and Steel Market Update (SMU) had benchmark hot rolled as moving lower by $10 per ton this past week. Cold rolled prices were $10 lower on […]
A note that SMU adjusted our Price Momentum Indicator to Lower from Neutral on Friday. I have explained 10 of the reasons why (and there are more) in the first article in tonight’s newsletter. If you would like to make comments, feel free to reach out to me at John@SteelMarketUpdate.com. I will be working on […]
Earlier this month, foreign steel imports for September were trending toward a 2.6-million-ton month based on import licenses through the first 12 days of the month. Over the past week, the pace for import license requests has picked up. This is most likely due to the impact of the two hurricanes: Harvey in Texas and […]
Spot iron ore pricing dropped 7.4 percent within the past 24 hours with 62% Fe iron ore fines hitting $63 per dry metric ton (dmt). Iron ore has dropped $15.80/dmt over the past month. On Aug. 22, 62% Fe fines were trading at $78.8/dmt, according to The Steel Index. This morning, we received a note […]
For the second month in a row, Steel Market Update (SMU) did reasonably well with our forecast for August shipments, inventories and where we thought the Apparent Deficit/Excess for service center carbon flat rolled inventories would be at the end of August. SMU forecast shipments of hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steels would total […]
Zinc is once again trading above $1.40 per pound ($1.42 as of 3:30 PM ET) and the smaller steel mills and converters are wondering why U.S. Steel, ArcelorMittal USA and Nucor haven’t made the move to higher zinc coating extras on galvanized steel? We have seen four mills make changes on their “spot” new orders: […]
Flat rolled and plate steel prices, which have been fairly resilient over the past couple of months, slipped this week. The biggest move was in plate, which was down $30 per ton, while flat rolled products were lower by $5 to $20 per ton. We will wait to see if this move was nothing more […]
The Metals Service Center Institute (MSCI) reported carbon flat rolled steel inventories as growing in August compared to the end-of-July 2017 data, but still below August 2016 levels. MSCI data shows the number of months of flat rolled supply at very low levels. This week, MSCI reported total steel shipments (all products) during August out […]
There is a wide variance between what the MSCI reported for flat rolled inventories this week and what Steel Market Update reported on Sunday. As we look at our numbers, the mega service centers tended to carry less inventories (based on months of supply, not in total tons) than the medium and smaller distributors that […]
Steel Market Update is working on a new index to measure flat rolled steel inventories in service center warehouses at the end of each month. Our goal is to assist the flat rolled steel industry to better understand inventories and their potential impact on steel mill order books and lead times. SMU will also analyze […]
Steel Market Update is working on a new index to measure flat rolled steel inventories in service center warehouses at the end of each month. Our goal is to assist the flat rolled steel industry to better understand inventories and their potential impact on steel mill order books and lead times. SMU will also analyze […]
Flat rolled steel average prices are once again “mixed” as some items have dropped, some have remained the same and some rose last week compared to the previous week. We received numbers from Platts, SteelBenchmarker and our own steel index late last week and we found hot rolled down $5 on SMU, up $7 on […]
We will begin our mid-September flat rolled steel market trends analysis first thing on Monday morning. Invitations to participate will go out at 8 AM ET tomorrow morning. We currently send out approximately 650 invitations. Note: We are correcting the galvanized comparison of coating extras as Nucor has not yet made a change to the […]
World Trade Online reported this morning that Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told a U.S. Senator the Section 232 review on steel will not be ready until after tax reform legislation has been completed. This is in line with what President Trump said in July when he told The Wall Street Journal, “We’re waiting till we […]