On Wednesday morning, Nucor announced a $40 per ton ($2.00/cwt) “minimum” price increase on flat rolled steel products. The mill advised their customers the increase was to be “effective immediately.” This is the second price increase announcement out of Nucor in less than 30 days. On Jan. 28, 2019, Nucor announced a $40 per ton […]
As the domestic steel mills started raising flat rolled prices on Wednesday, Steel Market Update reached out to a number of steel buyers in order to get their reaction to the news. We discussed the $40 per ton increases announced by Nucor, NLMK USA, U.S. Steel, California Steel and USS/POSCO along with ArcelorMittal USA’s new […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel Market chatter suggests that February has been a fairly active month for HR physical steel sales as spot price indexes have pushed […]
We found mixed results in flat rolled steel prices this week. Steel buyers are telling Steel Market Update that the bottom has been “firming” and that prices are moving sideways to slightly higher on most products. SMU talks more about price momentum and pricing in a separate article in tonight’s issue. Here is how we […]
The U.S. steel industry has produced 12,737,000 tons of steel so far in 2019, an 8.4 percent increase from the same period last year. Mill utilization has averaged 80.7 percent this year, up substantially from the 75.7 percent in 2018, reported the American Iron and Steel Institute. For the week ending Feb. 16, the average […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce released new license data through the 19th of February and the trend for imports is at 2.6 million net tons (+/- 200,000 tons). Semi-finished steels continue to be the largest single product imported, with most being slabs heading to mills like California Steel, NLMK USA, JSW USA and ArcelorMittal Mobile. […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg During the past week, iron ore prices fell somewhat as weak Chinese demand continued to weigh on the market. On Tuesday, Feb. 19, CRU assessed the 62% Fe fines price at $86.60 /t, down $3.70 /t w/w. Again, the Vale dam accident dominated the talks in the market. Although […]
By CRU Analyst Jordan Permain In the previous edition of CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor, we outlined our expectation of falling prices as coke demand would weaken once restocking after the CNY holidays finished. This turned out to be true; coke demand has been low after mills completed their restocking and, as coke production remained […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
By CRU Senior Analysts Erik Hedborg and Andrew Gadd CRU’s research shows that the dam breach in Brazil, as well as the recent fire at Vale’s blending terminal in Malaysia, will have limited impact on the availability of high-grade fines. Iron ore prices of all different grades have increased since the dam breach, but the […]
February imports are trending high, close to 3 million net tons, according to U.S. Department of Commerce license data released Feb. 12. However, looking at the data more closely, the domestic steel mills continue to bring in a tremendous amount of semi-finished steels (slabs, billets – but most are slabs). The mills are on pace […]
Steel prices are trying to rise following the $40 per ton increase announced by the mills last month, but how fast, how far and for how long remains the subject of much speculation. Comments from SMU’s market canvas this week show buyers with two basic views: Either, “Mills are very firm on pricing. We’ve got […]
Editor’s note: The following is excerpted from the Feb. 13 CRU Steel Sheet Monitor; editing by CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores. In our Steel Sheet Products Monitor last month, we asked if the market was near an inflection point. That report was published on the sixth working day of the year and, at that point, global sheet […]
Cleveland-Cliffs announced that CFO Timothy K. Flanagan is leaving the company and will be succeeded by Keith Koci as executive vice president and chief financial officer, effective immediately. Regarding the personnel change, Cleveland-Cliffs’ Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Lourenco Goncalves, stated: “I appreciate the work done by Tim Flanagan during the last several years […]
The average capability utilization for U.S. steelmakers hit 81.5 percent in the week ending Feb. 9, the highest rate in about three months, with the mills producing 1,897,000 net tons of steel. Production increased 0.4 percent from the prior week and was up 4.4 percent from the same week the prior year, reported the American […]
November apparent steel supply was calculated at 9,140,649 net tons, according to data released late last week. Apparent steel supply is determined by adding domestic steel shipments and finished U.S. steel imports, then subtracting total U.S. steel exports. November apparent steel supply saw a 417,102 ton or 4.8 percent increase compared to the same month […]
U.S. steel exports in November totaled 615,818 net tons (558,661 metric tons), down 2.4 percent from October, and down 30.2 percent from levels one year ago. After the September 2018 low of 584,858 tons, last November is the next lowest month for exports since February 2009 when 602,945 tons of steel were exported outside of […]
By Erik Hedborg, CRU Senior Analyst The recent dam breach in Brazil will complicate iron ore pellet premia negotiations and is likely to lead to steel mills eventually accepting sharp premia increases. As a result of the dam breach, Vale has suspended 11 Mt/y of pellet production in the Southern System and the recently revoked operating […]
The recent mining disaster in Vale prompted a flurry of concern from analysts on the Cleveland Cliffs earnings call. Cleveland Cliff’s CEO Lourenco Goncalves said on Friday that the impact from the Vale mining disaster has yet to be properly quantified. Estimates of 11 million tons of capacity loss are likely to be double that, […]
Rolled product imports increased by 4.5 percent in January, calculated as a three-month moving average (3MMA) year over year. This early look at January’s import volume is based on Department of Commerce license data (see explanation below). Beginning in January 2018, we expanded this import analysis to include all major steel sectors: sheet, plate, longs […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Chief Market Risk Officer, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Ferrous scrap for February is settling at sideways prices for obsolete grades and down about $20 per ton for prime grades, report Steel Market Update sources. This latest dip follows on a $30-40 per ton decrease in January, largely attributed to weak demand from overseas. “A rising export market, which curtailed East Coast suppliers from […]
By CRU Australia Analyst Ryan Smith China has traditionally dominated long product exports to the South East Asia (SEA) region. However, a change in market dynamics has reduced Chinese export volumes and created an opportunity for exporters from further afield. In Turkey, economic challenges, in combination with rising trade barriers such as EU safeguards and […]
We gathered mixed results regarding flat rolled and plate steel pricing over the past two days. When we say mixed, we don’t mean some prices falling while other prices were rising. What we found was pricing stable to rising. We heard from a number of buyers that there were mills still actively pursuing prices at, […]
Steel Market Update data and comments from industry executives suggest that steel prices may be near a firm bottom. Prices are trying to move higher following the mills’ $40 per ton increase announcement last month. SMU’s Steel Price Momentum Indicators remains at Neutral, but we will be reviewing the situation over the next few days. […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce released all kinds of foreign steel import data late this afternoon. We are studying the numbers to see if they make sense, as one of the steel mills told SMU late today that the mechanical pipe and some of the other pipe categories appear to be out of whack. In […]
Harsh winter weather likely contributed to a slight slowdown in the rate of raw steel production last week after two weeks above 1.9 million tons. U.S. steelmakers produced 1,889,000 net tons of steel in the week ending Feb. 2, operating at a capability utilization rate of 81.2 percent. Production was down 1.7 percent from the […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore prices continued to climb during the week as uncertainty regarding Vale’s supply persists. With weak buying in China due to the holidays, we have seen the market react by pushing the 62% Fe fines price up to $86.00 /t, $7.40 higher w/w. The Vale story continues to […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce released import license data through the month of December 2018 earlier this week. The December license data is showing a large reduction in semi-finished imports (mostly slabs going to domestic steel mills). SMU believes the lower slab numbers may be due to quotas from Brazil having been reached, thus capping […]