
March scrap market starts to shape up
After an unusually long period of waiting for the March scrap market settlements, several mills are now actively buying ferrous scrap. And it looks like prices are ticking up.
After an unusually long period of waiting for the March scrap market settlements, several mills are now actively buying ferrous scrap. And it looks like prices are ticking up.
Domestic shredded scrap has experienced a renaissance in pricing since January. And that increase had caused traditional exporters to ship their material to domestic users instead of overseas. But with recent changes, this cycle may end with the resurgence of export demand and continued foreign exchange fluctuations.
The situation on ferrous scrap has cleared up with the pause of the implementation of Canadian and Mexican blanket tariffs.
In the final week of February, SMU polled steel and scrap executives to gather their insights on the current state of the scrap market as well as future projections.
We really don’t know yet what and how severe the impact will be. But we do know ferrous scrap will become more expensive in the US. And it will be less expensive for Canadian mills. The larger consequences will be felt on the Canadian front. Even so, in the Southwest, the tariffs on Mexico will lower prices for Mexican scrap and might limit normal flows across the border.
These tariffs would significantly increase costs for American manufacturers that rely on Canadian metals. They would also disrupt supply chains and weaken economic ties that have benefited both nations for decades.
Input costs have been driven higher by tighter supplies and restricted flows after a tough winter. Could rising demand from mills fuel an extended rally into Q2? Shredder feed has been strained as shredders try to fill backlogs. And shredded prices could jump by $50 per gross ton (gt) this month, some suggest. It's a similar story with prime grades. That's because industrial generation is down, and hot-rolled coil production is picking up.
The main impact of tariffs on scrap prices would be felt in Northern states - and especially among those along the Canadian border. Many steelmakers in this area receive a substantial portion of their monthly scrap charge from Canadian processors. Much of it is prime scrap used by hot-rolled (HR) coil producers.
Buyers are optimistic for a strong scrap market in March, driven by limited scrap inflows from severe weather disruptions and increasing mill demand.
SMU's Stephen Miller provides an update on the raw materials sector.
An update on the US scrap export market.
The CRU Metallics Price Indicator (CRUmpi) rose by 5.0% m/m in February to 293.7, a five-month high. Scrap prices increased in different degrees this month, reflecting the confidence level in the steel market across different regions. While US scrap prices rose sharply m/m due to limited availability, those in Europe and Asia had only small […]
The ferrous scrap market in the US and Canada is trying to find its way through difficulties that could well determine its direction over the next several months.
The February scrap market has settled higher on all grades SMU covers.
A comparison of the current cost of pig iron vs. busheling scrap.
The reprieve for Canadian and Mexican tariffs this week has left some uncertainty for the February scrap market, with some sources pointing towards a $20-per-gross-ton (gt) increase.
The scrap and metallics market has reacted to the tariffs potentially being implemented on our neighbors to the north and south. These could have a serious impact on the market, especially on Canada, unless these products are exempted.
The US scrap market sentiment has become more bullish over the last week. Many districts are telling SMU that the potential rise in prices will exceed the earlier estimate of $20 per gross ton (gt). Several sources have pegged the February market as up $30-50/gt. Here are several regional viewpoints from the trade: In the […]
A majority of SMU survey respondents expect US prime scrap tags to land sideways in February. In our most recent survey last week, 51% said US prime scrap prices would be flat next month, and 46% anticipate rising prices; the small remainder think prices will fall. Recall that the January ferrous scrap market settled before […]
Turkish scrap prices showed little change week over week (w/w), with HMS 80:20 and shredded grades assessed at $343 per metric ton (mt) and $357/mt, respectively. Turkish scrap prices remained steady during the third week of 2025, with HMS 80:20 unchanged at $343/mt, while Shredded grades fell edged lower $5/mt to $357/mt based on confirmed […]
The US scrap market for February has a lot of moving parts that need to mesh before an accurate picture can emerge. However, the general opinion for next month is an increase of at least $20 per gross ton (gt), according to sources contacted by SMU. Among the issues are winter weather decreasing scrap flows, […]
The US and Canada have a long history of exporting ferrous scrap to numerous other countries over the last 100 years. During this period, the countries supplied have varied. In the last century, the main export destinations were Japan, South Korea, and the Far East in general. As the installation of EAF melting proliferated, the […]
The export scrap markets continue to lose ground. Unlike the domestic markets in the US and Canada, which have shown some strength in January, there have been multiple sales by US East Coast (USEC) exporters at lower prices, even after the US markets prices settled. And February looks even stronger. There are several reasons for […]
US scrap tags rose for all the grades tracked by SMU in January in what was deemed a "restocking rally," sources said. The January market was up ~$20 per gross ton (gt) across the board. This did not include turnings, which were up $30/gt.
The ferrous scrap market at the start of the new year came into focus late yesterday, with overall prices seen rising from December.
The company said the biggest headwind it's facing is the downturn in manufacturing.
The ferrous scrap markets start the year off in a battered condition after a real drubbing in 2024. There is optimism, but this was felt at times last year, only to succumb to the reality of weak demand and lower steel production.
The role of dealer resistance has had many ups and down over the last decades. At times dealer resistance to ferrous scrap pricing was justified and had positive effects on prices.
The US domestic ferrous scrap market had a rough 2024, despite optimism as the year started.
Scrap prices were stable-to-down in most regions as demand weakness offset seasonal supply tightness