Economy
Fed Beige Book: Economic activity steady, manufacturing declines
Written by Laura Miller
January 19, 2024
While there was little change in economic activity since its last update, the Federal Reserve reported declines in manufacturing in nearly all districts in its January Beige Book update.
The Fed’s economic report, published eight times each year, said there was little or no change in overall economic activity in eight of its twelve districts since its November update.
Three districts – Chicago, Dallas, and Richmond, Va. – experienced modest economic growth, while one district – Kansas City – saw a moderate decline.
In the manufacturing sector, the Chicago and New York districts reported moderate contraction. Minneapolis noted decreasing activity in both construction and manufacturing.
Districts said high interest rates continue to dampen auto sales and limit real estate transactions. However, many sources were hopeful about a potential decline in interest rates.
Causes for economic uncertainty in the districts include waning demand, the 2024 election cycle, and worries about the office market, the report said.
“Firms in most districts cited examples of steady or falling input prices, especially in the manufacturing and construction sectors, and more discounting by auto dealers,” the Book noted.
Laura Miller
Read more from Laura MillerLatest in Economy
Architecture billings flat in October after months of contraction
Architecture firms reported stable billings in October, according to the latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) released by the American Institute of Architects (AIA) and Deltek. This follows 20 months of contracting business conditions.
Trump taps Lutnick to be Commerce Secretary
President-elect Donald Trump has named Wall Street veteran Howard Lutnick as the new US Secretary of Commerce.
New York state manufacturing activity ramps up to multi-year high
New York state’s manufacturing sector saw substantial recovery in November, according to the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
CRU: Dollar and bond yields rise, metal prices fall as Trump wins election
Donald Trump has won the US presidential election. The Republican party has re-taken control of the Senate. Votes are still being counted in many tight congressional races. But based on results so far, the Republicans seem likely to maintain control of the House of Representatives. If confirmed, this will give Trump considerable scope to pass legislation pursuing his agenda. What this means for US policy is not immediately obvious. Trump will not be inaugurated until Jan. 20. In the coming weeks and months, he will begin to assemble his cabinet, which may give a clearer signal on his policy priorities and approaches. Based on statements he made during the presidential campaign, we have set out the likely direction of his economic policy here and green policy here.
ISM: Manufacturing index fell in Oct to lowest point of ’24
Domestic manufacturing contracted for the seventh straight month in October, according to the latest report from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). This marks the 23rd time in the last 24 months that it has been in contraction.