Steel Markets
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Still Falling
Written by Becca Moczygemba
August 20, 2022
July proved to be another bleak month for existing-home sales in all four major US regions, according to the National Association of Realtors. Home sales were down 5.9% from June, declining 20.2% when compared to the same year-ago perido.
Home sales have fallen for six consecutive months through July, while total inventory of unsold homes accelerated from 1.26 million units in June to 1.31 million units last month.
“The ongoing sales decline reflects the impact of the mortgage rate peak of 6% in early June,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Home sales may soon stabilize since mortgage rates have fallen to near 5%, thereby giving an additional boost of purchasing power to home buyers.”
The median existing-home price was $403,800 in July, a 10.8% boost year-on-year (YoY). The result marked the 125th straight month of YoY gains, and the longest-running streak on record.
Yun said the market is in the midst of a housing recession, even while properties averaged just 14 days on the market – the lowest total on record. “It’s not a recession in home prices. Inventory remains tight and prices continue to rise nationally with nearly 40% of homes still commanding the full list price.”
Houses are still selling in record time, and first-time buyers are responsible for 29% of sales. “Buying a home remains a worthwhile investment that brings an unmatched combination of security, freedom and accomplishment associated with the American dream,” stated Leslie Rouda Smith, NAR president and a broker associate at Dave Perry-Miller Real Estate in Dallas.
Single-family home sales decreased 5.5% in July, down from 4.56 million the month prior and down 19% YoY. Condo and co-op sales declined even more at 9.1% month-on-month (MoM) and down 29.6% YoY.
All-cash sales decreased 1% from June to 24% of transactions, while individual investors or second-home buyers made up 14%. Foreclosures and short sales only contributed 1%.
Regionally, sales in the Northeast decreased 7.5% from June to 620,000. The Midwest saw a 3.3% decline MoM to 1,190,000, while the South dwindled 5.3% to 2,130,000. Sales in the West shrank 9.4% to 870,000 over the same period.
The most significant YoY average list price increases were reported in Miami, Memphis, and Orlando.
NAR has been tracking existing home sales since May 2011.
By Becca Moczygemba, Becca@SteelMarketUpdate.com
Becca Moczygemba
Read more from Becca MoczygembaLatest in Steel Markets
Latin America’s steel industry grapples with declining demand, rising imports
With climbing imports and falling consumption, the Latin American steel industry has had a challenging 2024, according to an Alacero report.
CRU: Trump tariffs could stimulate steel demand
Now that the dust has settled from the US election, as have the immediate reactions in the equity, bond, and commodity markets, this is a prime opportunity to look at how a second Trump presidency might affect the US steel market.
HVAC shipments slip in September but are still trending higher
Following a strong August, total heating and cooling equipment shipments eased in September to a five-month low, according to the latest data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI).
GrafTech Q3 loss widens as electrode demand remains soft
GrafTech International’s third-quarter net loss increased from last year, with the company anticipating continuing weakness in near-term demand for graphite electrodes.
Cliffs forecasts 2025 rebound after Q3’s weakest demand since Covid
The negative impact of high interest rates on consumer behavior, particularly in the automotive and housing sectors, was the primary driver of the demand weakness seen across the third quarter, according to Cleveland-Cliffs executives.