SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Negotiations: “They Can Charge Whatever They Want”
Written by Tim Triplett
January 7, 2021
With steel in such tight supply as 2021 gets off to a fast start, it’s clearly a seller’s market, with little to no price negotiation between buyers and the mills.
Based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week, average hot rolled steel prices have surpassed $1,000 per ton. SMU has received anecdotal reports of service centers and OEMs paying nearly $1,200 per ton to secure critically needed hot rolled. Similar premiums have been reported for most other flat rolled products as well.
Virtually all the steel buyers responding to SMU’s market trends questionnaire this week said the mills are unwilling to deal on almost any product, as indicated by the predominantly blue bars below. As one buyer said, “Right now they can charge whatever they want.”
With demand staying strong into the new year, steel is expected to remain in short supply for some time, at least until more mills bring on additional capacity.
Note: These negotiations are based on the average from manufacturers and steel service centers who participated in this week’s SMU market trends analysis. To see an interactive history of our Negotiations data, visit our website here.
By Tim Triplett, tim@steelmarketupdate.com

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times ease further, plate hits one-year high
Steel buyers responding to this week’s SMU market survey report a continued softening in sheet lead times. Meanwhile, plate lead times have moderately extended and are at a one-year high.

SMU Survey: Buyers report more price flexibility from mills
Nearly half of the steel buyers responding to this week’s SMU market survey say domestic mills are showing increased willingness to negotiate pricing on new spot orders. This marks a significant shift from the firmer stance mills held in prior weeks.

SMU Survey: Buyers’ Sentiment Indices fall
Current Sentiment Index dropped six points to +42 this week compared to two weeks earlier. It has fallen in every successive survey since reaching a 2025 high of +66 on Feb. 19.

March service center shipments and inventories report
Steel service center shipments and inventories report through March 2024.

Apparent steel supply contracts in February
The amount of finished steel that entered the US market in February receded from January’s peak, according to our analysis of Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data.