Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
July 27, 2020
Watch the market closely. I am hearing rumors that at least one EAF mill is trying to get flat rolled numbers up. Right now, most (not all) data providers were not supportive of higher numbers. I am hearing integrated mills are not booking a lot of spot business, and thus are able to get slightly higher prices. Although with new capacity coming back online there is a struggle for market share. We will need to watch lead times closely in the coming weeks.
Here are just two of the comments we received from steel buyers today:
“I do not believe pricing will rise with the announced price increases. If it does it will be short lived, as I believe the minimills’ lead time is too short, and they need tons to fill.”
“Although I was not really expecting it, I am now thinking some of the increase will stick. As a side note, based on numbers we have received, the offshore spread is shrinking a bit. The offshore increase was certainly more than the domestic.”
Less than a month to go… (26 days)
I added a couple new speakers to the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference. I added Big River Steel CEO David Stickler, and I added Tom Cullen, CEO of Magic Coil Products.
We have the CEOs for the following steel mills speaking at this year’s conference:
David Burritt, U.S. Steel
Leon Topalian, Nucor
Mark Millett, Steel Dynamics
Maximo Vedoya, Ternium
David Stickler, Big River Steel
Lourenco Goncalves, Cleveland-Cliffs/AK Steel
We could never have had as many mill CEOs in a live event (just not enough time in the program). With a virtual event, we can control time and offer more speakers, cover more topics.
We have a couple of professional speakers for this year’s conference that I think you will find quite interesting. Ryan Avery THE Keynote Speaker will discuss how to stop being “a” leader and become “THE” leader. In 2012 Ryan won the prestigious World Championship of Public Speaking. Jeff Butler is an entrepreneur and he will discuss Building an Effective Multi-Generational Workplace. You will not want to miss either of these young speakers.
Encourage the “C-Suite,” Human Resources and young up-and-coming leaders to attend this year’s conference.
Our parent company’s events team produced a virtual conference for the wire and cable industry last week using the same platform we will be using for the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference. That conference attendance was larger than the normal live event, as it was very much international in focus, and the virtual nature allowed for attendees from around the world to interact with the platform on their schedule.
The ability to multi-task and network with large numbers of people was appreciated by the wire and cable attendees. One analyst reported having 20 conversations going on at the same time.
Whether you are registered or not, you will want to participate in Wednesday’s SMU Community Chat Webinar as Paul Terry of CRU Events and I unveil the new platform from which we will host our conference this year. We will provide answers to many questions you might have about the conference, the program and your ability to network.
You can register for the webinar by clicking here, or going to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/blog/smu-community-chat-webinars We will record this webinar and it will be available later this week under the SMU Community Chat webinar link in our website (same one referenced at the beginning of this paragraph).
We are closing in on 600 registered attendees, having added these companies over the past 24 hours (those with an * mean more than one attendee registered from that company): Medtrade*, Bailey Metal Products, Ltd, Magic Coil Products*, Zekelman Industries*, Verde Industries, Inc., Minnesota Power*, and Metal Master. If you would like to join them click here. If you have questions, please feel free to reach out to us at Events@SteelMarketUpdate.com
Don’t forget SMU NexGen Leadership Award nominees will be given free registration to this year’s conference. You can nominate someone by clicking here or going to www.smusteelsummit.com and clicking on the 2020 Award tab. Nominations close soon.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Sometimes new presidential administrations hit the ground running. No time for change like the present. And sometimes new administrations blast off on a SpaceX rocket bound for Mars. There’s a big universe, and we’ve got a lot of flags to plant. Such seems to be the case with the new Trump administration.
Final Thoughts
What’s been the impact of tariff threats on prices and demand? In short, not much – or at least that was the case when I was writing this column on Sunday afternoon. Spot activity for Canadian material, for example, has been put on hold over the last few weeks while the market waits to see what the new tariff landscape might look like.
Final Thoughts
Next Monday marks the start of the second Trump administration. The limbo we’ve been living in since Election Day in early November will finally come to an end. What better way to take a look at what’s coming up in Washington, D.C., than a conversation with Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA) President Philip K. Bell. He […]
Final Thoughts
It’s another week of big headlines and ho-hum pricing moves – which is to say the start of 2025 is looking a lot like the end of 2024. Scrap has settled up $20 per gross ton (gt). Steel prices, however, were a soft sideways this week. Chalk it up to uneven demand and abundant supply. And while we’re not aware of any major outages, some of you tell us that you’ve lost some shipping days here and there because of the recent cold snap.
Final Thoughts
I wrote in a Final Thoughts a few years ago that it seemed all the swans were black. More recently, I’ve been asked by some of you what the wildcards are for 2025. You could probably make the case that all the cards are wild now.