Economy

Deloitte: Manufacturers Need to Get Houses in Order for 2020
Written by Sandy Williams
November 21, 2019
Manufacturers still face slowing business conditions for 2020, according to the Deloitte 2020 Manufacturing Industry Outlook. Deloitte projects that annual manufacturing GDP growth will end 2019 at 2.7 percent and at 1.3 percent for 2020, down from prior projections of 3.7 and 2.0 percent, respectively.
Job growth was muted in 2019 with the manufacturing sector adding about 6,000 jobs per month compared to an average of 22,000 per month in 2018. A historically tight labor market has contributed to the decrease in hiring as has weaker demand.
Trade wars and tariffs have caused uncertainty in the future outlook and that is likely to continue into 2020. Increasing costs have prompted industrial companies to get their “houses in order” by streamlining operations and focusing on core operations.
Divestitures and mergers are one way industry is cleaning house. Thirteen divestitures valued at $500 million or more occurred between January and August of 2019 and are likely to surpass the 16 recorded in 2018, said Deloitte.
Technology investment is another way companies are managing risk and building “digital muscle” to increase flexibility in global supply chains. “Shifts in sourcing (and thus production) are already playing out on the global stage,” reports Deloitte. “Manufacturers have shifted both sourcing and production to different geographies, seeking tariff-friendly combinations.”
Industrial firms are also finding a need to cultivate a business ecosystem that improves value for customers and builds new business models. Manufacturers are looking to use digital technologies in manufacturing processes, which could include acquiring or partnering with other companies.
Another trend that Deloitte notes is one of corporate social responsibility. Manufacturers are working to be good stewards of the environment by sourcing renewable energy, including solar, wind, hydro and geothermal.
“The coming year promises to be an ever-changing environment for manufacturers as they try to regain their footing amidst continued volatility in costs and policy decisions,” said Deloitte. “While the potential for uncertainty may continue for the foreseeable future, manufacturing leaders should increase resilience in their operations and double down on the core of their portfolios.”

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Economy

CRU: Will US tariff policy be transactional or transformational?
The Trump 1.0 tariffs appeared to have little positive effect on the US manufacturing, partly because they hurt export competitiveness.

Beige Book finds mixed demand trends, tariff concerns
Manufacturing activity exhibited slight to modest increases across a majority of districts. However, manufacturers expressed concerns over the potential impact of looming trade policy changes between late January and February.

Construction spending drops marginally in January
Construction spending edged down slightly in January, slipping for the first time in four months. The US Census Bureau estimated spending at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,196 billion in January, down 0.2% from December’s downward revised rate. The January figure is 3.3% higher than a year ago. January’s result, despite the slight erosion, […]

ISM: Manufacturing expansion slowed in February
The Manufacturing PMI registered 50.3% in February. That’s 0.6 percentage points lower compared to the 50.9% recorded in January.

Chicago Business Barometer up but still pointing to weak conditions
The Chicago Business Barometer rose to an eight-month high in February. Despite the recovery, the measure continues to indicate deteriorating business conditions, as it has for over a year.