Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
July 22, 2019
It has been an interesting last four weeks with now three price increase announcements having been made by most of the steel mills. With this latest announcement, I am hearing from buyers the mills are pushing to get orders in “before the increases take effect.” A way of pushing the increases off for a few days (probably until next week).
How much of the $120 per ton will “stick” will depend on how much demand there is out there. I was speaking to the president of a service center this afternoon who mentioned comments made by John Ferriola during the Nucor earnings conference call. He said the Nucor CEO put manufacturing demand as being up by 4 percent. He thought that was the real gauge to the strength of the economy. Service centers, he explained, are managing inventory levels – not demand.
Speaking of inventory levels, don’t forget Steel Market Update will be rolling out our Service Center Inventories Indices at the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference. Then, beginning in September, we plan on sharing a portion of the data with our Premium level members. I, along with members of the CRU team, will be discussing this during the opening session at 1 PM on Monday, Aug. 26.
If you have not yet registered to attend this year’s conference, you can rectify that oversight by going to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/Events/Steel-Summit where you will find details about the conference and registration links. If you are having any issues, please contact Paige Mayhair at 724-720-1012 or send an email to Events@SteelMarketUpdate.com (that email address is monitored by the events team in London and they will get back with you as promptly as possible).
I had a long conference call this morning with the events team in London regarding the ongoing arrangements being made for the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference. I think those attending this year’s event will be very pleased with the cosmetic changes, more exposure for sponsors and exhibitors, networking opportunities and the availability to information from Steel Market Update and the CRU Group.
Attendees to this year’s conference will receive access to the CRU Steel Monitor; those who are not SMU members will receive free trials to our newsletter prior to the conference. We have arranged for sponsored notebooks to be given to each attendee so you can keep hand-written notes. Through one of our sponsors (Pacesetter), there will be free internet service for all attendees in the convention center.
When you walk through the doors of the Georgia International Convention Center, you will immediately notice how much more professional the conference is being run. With the inclusion of our parent company and their events team, we finally have the experience needed to cover all of the stations and to expand the overall conference experience without it becoming impersonal.
The Steel Market Update Events App has been released to paid registered attendees, sponsors and the exhibitors. Those registered will be able to search by name or by company to see who is registered for this year’s event. The App only works for those who are registered (and paid). If you believe you are registered but are unable to utilize our App, please contact Events@SteelMarketUpdate.com.
There are only a few rooms left at the Atlanta Airport Marriott Gateway Hotel at our special room block rate. We will be running a shuttle from that hotel to the convention center during the conference (it is about 1-2 miles away).
Registration is still open and there are plenty of seats available for the next Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making & Market Fundamentals workshop in Cincinnati, Ohio. We will tour the Nucor Gallatin steel mill in Ghent, Ky., as part of the workshop. For more details, go to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/Events/Steel101
If your company subscription is coming due for renewal, please reach out to Paige Mayhair to discuss renewal options – especially upgrading to Premium or to one of our Regional or Global memberships, which allow you to place as many of your employees on the subscription as you would like. You can reach Paige at 724-720-1012 or by email: Paige@SteelMarketUpdate.com
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
It’s once again A Tale of Two Cities in the steel market. Some are almost euphoric about Trump’s victory. Others, some rather bearish, are more focused on the day-to-day market between now and Inauguration Day on Jan. 20.
Final Thoughts
One of the perhaps unintentional perks of being a trade journalist is the opportunity to travel and cover an array of industry conferences and events. Some I've attended have been at fun locations, like Palm Springs and Tampa, Fla. Others have been in more practical locations, like SMU’s Steel Summit in Atlanta and American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA) meetings in Washington, D.C.
Final Thoughts
t this point in the game I think what we can say about Nippon Steel’s proposed buy of Pittsburgh-based U.S. Steel is that it will go through, it won’t go through, or the outcome will be something new and completely unexpected. Then again, I’m probably still missing a few options.
Final Thoughts
President-elect Donald Trump continues to send shockwaves through the political establishment (again). And steel markets and ferrous scrap markets continue to be, well, anything but shocking. As the French writer Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr wrote in 1849, "The more things change, the more they stay the same." (I thought the quote might have been Yankees catcher Yogi Berra in 1949. Google taught me something new today.)
Final Thoughts
President-elect Donald Trump will officially retake the White House on Jan. 20. I’ve been getting questions about how his administration’s policies might reshape the steel industry and domestic manufacturing. I covered the tumult and norm busting of Trump's first term: Section 232, Section 301, USMCA - and that's just on the trade policy side of things. It's safe to say that we'll have no shortage of news in 2025 when it comes to trade and tariffs.