Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
July 12, 2019
We should get a better handle and read on the market, and the strength of the market over the next one to two weeks. The Fourth of July Holiday is over, people are returning to work and decisions are going to have to be made regarding purchases for September through fourth quarter. As you can see from an earlier article in tonight’s newsletter, I have adjusted our Price Momentum Indicator to Higher from Neutral. We adjusted to Neutral right after the first price announcement, and I think we have seen enough evidence to conclude that at least over the short term prices should stabilize and rise.
Whether this is a “dead cat bounce” is yet to be determined. We saw a typical dead cat bounce earlier this year after the January and February price announcements. It took about 60 days for the full “bounce” to take effect. Stay tuned.
I will be in the office all this week. No more holidays between now and the SMU Steel Summit Conference. Attendance looks like it will be another record (fingers crossed we will reach my goal of 1,000 executives).
SMU Events App will be released at the end of this week. That will give you five full weeks to prepare for dinners, break meetings, conversations, who to meet. The convention center will be set up so that you can have meetings without having to leave the premises. We have great sponsors and exhibitors this year. This will be a dynamic conference. Go to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/events/steel-summit for more details and to register.
If you need help with registration: Events@SteelMarketUpdate.com This goes to our London offices and they will contact you to get you registered or deal with any issues that you might have. You can also reach out to Paige@SteelMarketUpdate.com or 724-720-1012 and she can assist you from our Pittsburgh office.
If you are totally stymied or just want to vent, I am here for you – John@SteelMarketUpdate.com or 800-432-3475.
You can register for the next Steel 101 workshop, which will be in Cincinnati on Oct. 8-9, and we will be visiting the Nucor Gallatin steel mill for the first time. Go to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/events/steel101 for details, costs and how to register.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
And just like that, we’re wrapping up the last SMU newsletter of 2024. We’re closing out our 19th year and looking with wide-eyed anticipation to what 2025 will bring.
Final Thoughts
SMU looks back at stories from Decembers past, one, five, 10, and 100 years ago.
Final Thoughts
It's that time of year again. You know, that time when people wonder if those things are drones in New Jersey or if the aliens are ready to come onto the stage just in time for Inauguration Day. What will that do for steel price volatility? In any case, the SMU team finds itself in Pittsburgh this week.
Final Thoughts
The Community Chat last Wednesday with ITR economist Taylor St. Germain is worth listening to if you couldn’t tune in live. You can find the replay and Taylor’s slide deck here. You can also find SMU reporter Stephanie Ritenbaugh’s writeup of the webinar here. Taylor is Alan Beaulieu’s protégé at ITR. Many of you know Alan from his talks at SMU Steel Summit. I found Taylor’s analysis just as insightful as Alan’s.
Final Thoughts
Cracks have formed in what has been presented as the Biden administration’s united front against Nippon Steel’s play for U.S. Steel. A report from the Financial Times said parts of the administration are at odds on the deal.