Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
September 24, 2018
The number of flat rolled and plate spot transactions has dwindled over the past couple of weeks. End users are squeamish about ordering any steel other than what is needed for the work on the floor. Steel buyers are reporting a weakening of the top end of the range but firming at the lower ends. Plate prices continue to be solid due to controlled order entry (tight order books).
One of the service centers with whom I spoke earlier today told me that a month ago prices were slipping, then there was a week when things dropped a little more than expected. Over the past two weeks, things have firmed and the slipping seems to have subsided.
We were also told today that the rumor mill has Nucor leading with a price increase on flat rolled, especially if scrap prices rise this month (which they are supposed to do based on our research).
Our service center spot pricing results indicate we are not quite yet at capitulation, but we are getting close. As I stated in an earlier article, whether this means an increase is coming is not yet known. You would think the mills would be happy with HRC prices averaging $850 per ton…
I am in Pittsburgh today (Tuesday) and tomorrow and will return to my office on Thursday.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
The US steel market has whipsawed upward on the prospect of expanded Section 232 tariffs of 25% being applied to imported steel - including downstream goods - on March 12. It seems pretty clear that domestic steel mills have the ear of the Trump administration when it comes to Section 232. The result? The much-anticipated Trump bump has finally arrived - and then some.

Final Thoughts
Some of you have told me that the current market feels about as crazy as early 2021 when demand snapped back after the initial outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Others have said it might be more like late February/early March 2022, when Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine – and, in the process, caused […]

Final Thoughts
To say we’ve entered a “Brave New World” since Jan. 20 might be an exaggeration, but we’ve definitely entered a different one.

Final Thoughts
I think it’s fair to say that the last few weeks – and last week especially – have been among the most intense for any of us covering steel (or aluminum).

Final Thoughts
A look at how SMU survey respondents are reacting to President Trump's recent actions on tariffs.