Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts

Written by John Packard


Due to our conference, we will hold back on producing our steel indices until Thursday of this week.

It’s Tuesday evening and we are deep into our 8th SMU Steel Summit Conference. The official number of attendees is 912, which exceeded our most optimistic expectations when we did our last forecast about six months back.

Tomorrow (Wednesday) we have a very strong program with Alan Beaulieu of ITR Economics, a one-on-one discussion between Nucor CEO John Ferriola and me, an interesting manufacturing panel, followed by Ron Insana of CNBC and then another one-on-one with Robert Perlman, Executive Chairman of CRU, along with a panel consisting of Chris Houlden and Josh Spoores of CRU and myself.

Then I get to collapse and sleep for four days (thank you for the Labor Day weekend).

We will not publish on Sunday due to the holiday.

I want to thank my SMU team for all of the hard work they have put into our conference as well as our newsletters: Ray Culley, Jill Waldman, Brett Linton, Diana Packard, Alison Lalonde, Tim Triplett, Peter Wright and Sandy Williams. I also want to thank Steve Painter, Chuck McDaniels and Jeff Lalonde for their help during the conference.

We will have much more about the conference in Thursday evening’s issue of Steel Market Update.

As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.

John Packard, President & CEO

Latest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts

We never eat chicken on New Year’s Day. My Irish-Catholic grandmother thought it was bad luck – because chickens scratch backward. And one should start the year looking forward. But it’s hard to avoid the fact that we’re carrying a lot 2024 issues (and even 2023 ones) forward into 2025. That’s not all bad. We’re starting 2025 with SMU’s hot-rolled coil price at $675/per short ton (st). That’s $370/st lower than $1045/st at the outset of 2023, according to our interactive pricing tool. I think we can safely say that a decline of that magnitude won’t happen in 2025.