SMU Data and Models
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/media/k2/items/src/2d4da8ffc3004f1a8475eb96a68de3bb.jpg)
SMU Survey: Service Center Spot Price Trend Broken
Written by John Packard
April 22, 2018
According to manufacturing companies, as well as steel service centers, the steady trend for higher flat rolled steel spot prices out of the distributors is changing. For the past four months, at least 74 percent of distributors and their manufacturing customers have been reporting spot flat rolled prices as rising.
The 46 percent of the service centers currently reporting higher spot prices to their end customers is 33 percent lower than what was reported at the beginning of April and 54 percent lower than mid-March 2018.
In SMU’s opinion, how service centers handle their spot pricing into their end customers is a harbinger of things to come. In this case, it could be signaling the end of the “up” price cycle the flat rolled industry has been on since mid-fourth-quarter 2017.
The trend has shifted with a majority of our service center respondents reporting spot prices as either stable (52 percent) or being lowered (2 percent). The balance (46 percent) are still reporting prices as rising. We haven’t seen the rising numbers below 50 percent since the first week of December 2017.
Manufacturing companies are echoing the distributors as 57 percent of the manufacturing respondents are reporting service centers raising spot pricing. This represents a drop of 31 percent reporting higher spot prices than what we saw at the beginning of April.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/04/john-packard.png)
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/01/cropped-SMU_Mobile_final.png)
SMU’s August at a glance
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of important steel market metrics for the previous month. Our August report includes data updated through August 30th.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/images/Featured_News_Icons/Premium1.png)
SMU market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.”
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/01/cropped-SMU_Mobile_final.png)
SMU survey: Lead times edge higher for sheet
Current steel mill lead time averages are a few days longer than levels seen one month prior, but remain near historical lows for both sheet and plate products.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/01/cropped-SMU_Mobile_final.png)
SMU survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices surge
Both our Current and Future Indices are now up to multi-month highs, indicating continued optimism among steel buyers.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/01/cropped-SMU_Mobile_final.png)
SMU survey: Mills’ flexibility on prices up slightly
Steel buyers found mills slightly more willing to negotiate spot prices this week, according to our most recent survey data. Though this negotiation rate has ticked up vs. our previous market check, overall rates have been trending downward since July’s highs.