SMU Data and Models
Will the New NAFTA Be Good for Your Business?
Written by Tim Triplett
October 8, 2017
Steel buyers and sellers appear evenly split on whether the renegotiation of NAFTA will benefit their companies. Responses to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire, emailed to several hundred steel executives earlier this week, suggests that most companies don’t really know if the new NAFTA being pursued by the Trump administration will be good for their businesses.
More of their comments were negative than positive, however:
· “Some of my final customers supply to Mexican manufacturing, which comes back to the U.S. They are very concerned about NAFTA as they feel any change will be negative for their business.” Trading Company
· “If it means higher steel prices, that will be bad for our business because we are competing against similar products made of other materials.” Manufacturer/OEM
· “Unintended consequences will occur if NAFTA is changed.” Manufacturer/OEM
On a more positive note, one service center executive said, “Ross Perot nailed it! And in a decade Mexico built a middle class. Unfortunately, it was a big chunk of ours.” Said another service center, “It should hopefully lead to more manufacturing in the U.S.” Agreed a manufacturer, “but only if Canadian steel products are taxed coming into the U.S.”
Several expressed doubts about the ability of the Trump administration and its trade negotiators:
· “I see it as a non-event, given the current government’s ineffectiveness in moving any initiatives.” Service Center/Wholesaler
· “NAFTA seems to neither hurt nor help us, and I lack confidence in the current administration.” Manufacturer/OEM
· “Nothing the U.S. government has done is good for our business. We all drank the Kool-Aid and we all look stupid.” Service Center/Wholesaler
Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebound
Following months of fluctuations, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week, now at multi-month highs. Both of our Indices remain in positive territory and indicate that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times remain stable and short
Steel buyers participating in our market survey this week reported stable mill lead times for both sheet and plate steel products.
SMU Survey: Most buyers report mills still willing to talk price
Most steel buyers SMU polled this week reported that mills remain willing to negotiate new order pricing.
October service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 63.4 shipping days of supply Plate = 52.4 shipping days of supply Flat rolled shipments and inventories Flat-rolled steel supply at US service centers remains seasonally high. October inventories increased after edging lower in September – a dynamic driven largely by disappointing demand. October’s report reflects lower demand and stable lead times […]