Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
October 6, 2017
This evening I received a note from a reliable source advising me that AM/NS Calvert had been hit by a tornado associated with Hurricane Nate on Saturday. The information provided noted there was damage to the administration building, a storage building and some power lines on the property. There was no mention of any injuries. The note seen by SMU indicated that the mill would begin production at 3 P.M. on Sunday. We reached out to our media contacts at ArcelorMittal for comment, but had not heard back before our publishing deadline. We will continue to follow this story and will report on what we learn from ArcelorMittal once they respond to our requests for information.
Cable news is reporting that President Trump is considering “decertifying” the treaty with Iran, which is preventing them from developing nuclear weapons. Depending on the news source you listen to, the reasons for the potential decertification appear to be related to President Trump not liking what he perceives as the terms of the agreement. At what point does “ethics” become part of the narrative? Or is ethics always involved in each decision made?
How different is the president decertifying a treaty he doesn’t like from a purchasing manager canceling a contract or an order that is no longer priced in his company’s favor? At what point does trust between customers and suppliers become an issue?
Steel Market Update would like to hear from you and your company about experiences (and resolutions) that saved relationships, allowed trust to continue to exist between supplier and customer and how “ethics” fit into the equation. You can send your thoughts to Tim Triplett at Tim@SteelMarketUpdate.com or myself at John@SteelMarketUpdate.com.
I am finally back in my office for a few days (leaving on Friday) and I will be working with the 40+ service centers signed up to participate in our flat rolled steel inventories analysis as we attempt to better determine inventories on the floor of the distributors and the need of service centers to replenish or draw down inventories in the coming months. All of the information collected by SMU will be kept in strictest confidence. We will not provide information regarding what companies are involved or any individual company’s data. If your company would like to participate, send me an email: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Nearly 50% of respondents to our latest survey thought hot-rolled coil prices have already peaked. And where will those prices be two months from now? Responses were decidedly split on that question.

Final Thoughts
A modest week-to-week change in HR price understates a huge swing in expectations.

Final Thoughts
What happens when ChatGPT meets SMU's Market Chatter? No, this is not an idea for the latest Hollywood blockbuster. Then again, with what Hollywood is putting out these days, Chatter Meets Chat might just turn out to be a hit. Rather, it’s that old idea of putting theory into practice. Recently, I conducted an interview with Doug Schrock, managing principal of AI at public accounting and consulting firm Crowe. He gave some tips on how to implement AI into your business.

Final Thoughts
The Trump tariff drama continues.

Final Thoughts
Let’s just say the impact of the latest tariffs on the domestic steel market is uncertain at best.