SMU Data and Models

Steel Mills Divided on Negotiating Flat Rolled Prices
Written by Tim Triplett
July 9, 2017
We saw steel mill lead times as being essentially the same to slightly higher than what we measured at the time of the last price increase announcements (week of June 5th). When the announcements were made, most steel mills were actively trying to collect increases. We saw the bottom of our price range rise, and steel price averages have slowly risen with hot rolled coil now topping $600 per ton (average). Those responding to last week’s flat rolled steel market trends survey reported a weakening in the negotiation positions on hot rolled and Galvalume and strengthening of their resolve on cold rolled and galvanized.
Steel Market Update found 37 percent of hot-roll buyers, 58 percent of cold roll buyers, 60 percent of galvanized buyers and 44 percent of Galvalume buyers report that domestic mills were willing to negotiate pricing on new orders placed this past week. Those percentages are down considerably from SMU surveys dating back to May 1 (prior to June 5th price announcement) when 70-80 percent of respondents found mills willing to discuss price.
Steel Market Update sends an invitation to participate in our flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire to active flat rolled and plate steel buyers twice each month. The data we report for both lead times and negotiations comes from steel service center and manufacturing respondents. We do not include commentary from the steel mills, trading companies or toll processors.
SMU surveys active steel buyers twice each month to gauge the willingness of their steel suppliers to negotiate pricing. The results reflect current steel demand and changing spot pricing trends. SMU provides our members with a number of ways to interact with current and historical data. To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.