SMU Data and Models

Mills Show Flexibility on Spot Price Negotiations
Written by Tim Triplett
June 8, 2017
Lead times are declining, which reflects a possible softening of demand, thus domestic mills appear to be more willing to negotiate spot pricing on hot rolled, cold rolled, hot-dipped galvanized and Galvalume steels than they were earlier in the year. About 70-80 percent of steel buyers responding to this week’s flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire report that mills have shown greater flexibility on pricing since around May 1.
SMU Note: The majority of our responses were provided prior to all of the domestic mills making their price announcements. We will watch lead times and price negotiations carefully in the coming days and weeks.
Steel Market Update sends a questionnaire to active flat rolled and plate steel buyers twice each month. Their responses provide an interesting look at changing spot pricing trends. We provide our members with various ways to analyze current and historical data using the graph below.
The graphic below is not associated with the steel mill lead times published by Nucor, ArcelorMittal, etc. The data comes from our market trends analysis and is an average by product. Each mill has their own lead times and we will do a separate analysis on those reports in Sunday evening’s issue of Steel Market Update.
SMU note: The data for both lead times and negotiations comes from only service center and manufacturer respondents. We do not include commentary from the steel mills, trading companies, or toll processors in this particular group of questions.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.