Economy

Richmond and Dallas Fed Reports Slightly Less Optimistic
Written by Sandy Williams
April 24, 2017
Two important Federal Reserve reports on manufacturing came out this week from Dallas and Richmond.
The Dallas Federal Reserve reports that growth in the manufacturing sector continued for the tenth consecutive month but at a slower pace in April.
The production index of the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey dipped three points to 15.4. New orders edged up to 11.5 and the shipment index gained three points to register 9.4. The capacity utilization rate remained positive at 11.5 although falling slightly in April.
Input costs continued to feel upward pressure although pulling back slightly as the raw materials index lost four points to register 20.8. The finished goods prices index continued to be well above average gaining 4.5 points to register 12.0. Wages and benefits index was steady for the month. The employment index remained steady.
Texas manufacturers were slightly less optimistic in April compared to March. Indexes for future general business activity and future company outlook slipped to 27.1 and 26.2, respectively.
The Richmond Federal Reserve reported that the composite index for the Fifth District of Manufacturing Activity remained high with a reading of 20 in April, dropping 2 points from March. It was the first time since 1994 that the composite score was at or above 20 for two consecutive months.
The shipment index rose 8 points to register 25 while new orders remained strong at an unchanged reading of 26. Capacity utilization increased from a reading of 21 to 22. Finished inventory levels receded slightly while raw material inventories grew one point to an index reading of 24.
Prices paid rose slightly while prices received moderated, said survey respondents. The index for number of employees dropped to 5 from a reading of 20 in March along with a plunge in average workweek to an index reading of 8 from 21. Wages remained steady.
The Richmond outlook indexes for manufacturing slid somewhat from their March readings but were still strong and generally optimistic.

Sandy Williams
Read more from Sandy WilliamsLatest in Economy

CRU: Will US tariff policy be transactional or transformational?
The Trump 1.0 tariffs appeared to have little positive effect on the US manufacturing, partly because they hurt export competitiveness.

Beige Book finds mixed demand trends, tariff concerns
Manufacturing activity exhibited slight to modest increases across a majority of districts. However, manufacturers expressed concerns over the potential impact of looming trade policy changes between late January and February.

Construction spending drops marginally in January
Construction spending edged down slightly in January, slipping for the first time in four months. The US Census Bureau estimated spending at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,196 billion in January, down 0.2% from December’s downward revised rate. The January figure is 3.3% higher than a year ago. January’s result, despite the slight erosion, […]

ISM: Manufacturing expansion slowed in February
The Manufacturing PMI registered 50.3% in February. That’s 0.6 percentage points lower compared to the 50.9% recorded in January.

Chicago Business Barometer up but still pointing to weak conditions
The Chicago Business Barometer rose to an eight-month high in February. Despite the recovery, the measure continues to indicate deteriorating business conditions, as it has for over a year.