Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
January 22, 2017
SMU sources advised that US Steel Great Lakes had a furnace issue due to a leaking water line and a weld gas explosion. They were down for about a shift and are now back up and working for the time being.
I wrote the Price Momentum article this evening to make sure that there was no misunderstanding regarding the article I wrote on Sunday evening regarding “cracks” in the price floor. In that article I stated that there were potentially some issues on hot rolled that needed to be watched (and I still believe that), but I did not have information suggesting lower prices being offered on cold rolled or coated steels.
In the article I wrote this evening I quoted a large number of manufacturing, service centers and one wholesaler. I suggest you read those quotes as they are not necessarily singing the same song. This is one of the issues that I deal with each and every week – I have to sift through a large number of comments, opinions and specific orders and then I have to take into consideration any “agendas” that might be part of the process and, then find a way to present that information to my readers that gives them enough detail for them to do further research and then make decisions.
Many of those reacting to my questions today believe we are “close to” the peak of the market. There may still be a small uptick in prices but they will be short-lived. Others are of the opinion “what is going to stop the mills” from pushing prices?
I did spot check a few mills today where I have contacts that I feel that I can trust to provide me accurate information and found the order books strong on cold rolled and coated and good on hot rolled suggesting that any discounted offers were few and minimal.
I am in Alabama for yet another day as we finish up our Steel 101 workshop. I want to take a moment to thank the Nucor Decatur team for their hospitality and an excellent tour of the mill for our group.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
From one group of folks, I’ve heard that Trump might not wait until Feb. 1 – the date he threatened on to place tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. They say he could act as soon as Friday. And then there are those who don’t think anything will happen before April 1. That’s the deadline for Commerce, Treasury, and USTR to submit key reports on “America First Trade Policy” to President Trump.
Final Thoughts
Trump made a clarification in a speech on Monday. Previously, he had declared the word “tariff” the most beautiful word in the dictionary. No longer.
Final Thoughts
President Donald Trump on Sunday hammered Colombia with 25% tariffs and threatened to increase them to 50%. Trump in a post on Truth Social said he took the action not because of a trade dispute but because the South American nation had refused to accept planes carrying deported immigrants. The president also cited "national security" concerns, just as he did to justify 25% Section 232 tariffs on steel in his first term. Even the 50% threat echoes his first term. Turkish steel, like that of most nations, was assessed a 25% tariff in March 2018. Trump doubled Turkey's tariff to 50% via a tweet in August of that year over a matter unrelated to steel.
Final Thoughts
We surveyed many of you this week and asked what you wanted to see from the new Trump administration. Responses were varied but fell largely into three groups: tariffs and trade policy, the Nippon-U.S. Steel deal, and those who are concerned about too much government sway in steel. Some also expressed hope that President Trump would continue the infrastructure spending that began under former President Biden.
Final Thoughts
Sometimes new presidential administrations hit the ground running. No time for change like the present. And sometimes new administrations blast off on a SpaceX rocket bound for Mars. There’s a big universe, and we’ve got a lot of flags to plant. Such seems to be the case with the new Trump administration.